New York Mets Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Braves 4-3, playoff odds up 0.7 to 3%

27-40 .403

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Phillies 7 Mets 3	-3.0		-0.3		-0.3
Nationals 5 White Sox 2	-0.4

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Nationals 7 White Sox 4	-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

122		95	-	0	In		100															58
97		70	-	25	In		50	50														2
95		68	-	27	In		44	56														9
94		67	-	28	In		75	25														20
93		66	-	29	In		53	29	6	12												34
92		65	-	30	In		36	57	6	2												53
91		64	-	31	In		20	63	5	11	1											186
90		63	-	32	98.9	%	10	63	10	12	4	1										378
89		62	-	33	98.1		5	57	16	13	8	2	0									648
88		61	-	34	96.2		2	44	22	15	14	4	0									1,276
87		60	-	35	91.0		0	29	27	13	21	8	1									2,150
86		59	-	36	79.6		0	17	28	10	25	18	2	0								3,581
85		58	-	37	62.6			9	27	5	22	28	8	1	0							5,601
84		57	-	38	41.4			3	21	2	15	33	20	5	1	0						8,709
83		56	-	39	23.1			1	14	1	7	29	32	13	3	0	0					12,718
82		55	-	40	10.4			0	8	0	3	17	33	27	11	2	0	0				17,809
81		54	-	41	4.3			0	4	0	0	6	23	34	24	8	1	0				23,915
80		53	-	42	1.6				2		0	1	10	28	34	20	5	0	0			30,417
79		52	-	43	0.6				1		0	0	3	14	31	33	15	3	0	0		37,634
78		51	-	44	0.1				0			0	1	5	19	35	29	10	1	0		44,620
77		50	-	45	0.0				0				0	1	8	25	36	23	6	1	0	50,320
76		49	-	46	0.0				0				0	0	2	14	33	34	15	2	0	54,693
75		48	-	47	Out									0	1	5	22	38	27	6	0	57,093
74		47	-	48	Out									0	0	2	11	33	38	15	1	56,957
73		46	-	49	Out										0	0	5	23	43	26	3	54,601
72		45	-	50	Out											0	2	14	40	38	7	50,354
71		44	-	51	Out											0	0	7	32	48	13	44,471
70		43	-	52	Out											0	0	3	22	53	22	37,718
69		42	-	53	Out												0	1	14	52	33	30,560
68		41	-	54	Out													0	8	48	44	23,758
67		40	-	55	Out													0	4	40	55	17,750
66		39	-	56	Out													0	2	33	65	12,648
65		38	-	57	Out														1	24	75	8,645
64		37	-	58	Out														0	17	82	5,697
63		36	-	59	Out														0	12	88	3,550
62		35	-	60	Out														0	7	93	2,251
61		34	-	61	Out															4	96	1,192
60		33	-	62	Out															2	98	654
59		32	-	63	Out															2	98	372
58		31	-	64	Out															1	99	176
27	-57				Out																100	202	*

Total:					3.0	%	0	0	1	0	1	2	3	4	6	9	11	14	17	19	11	703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Cardinals	Braves	Reds	Pirates	Diamondbacks	Giants	Rockies	Padres	Phillies	Nationals	Dodgers	Cubs	Brewers	Marlins

94	-122				12.4	%	Yes
93		66	-	29	5.9		88	3		3	6
92		65	-	30	7.5		98				2
91		64	-	31	8.6		88	3		5	3	1							1
90		63	-	32	9.0		83	4		5	5	0	0	1	0	0		0	0
89		62	-	33	9.3		78	6	0	5	6	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
88		61	-	34	8.7		68	8	0	8	8	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
87		60	-	35	10.0		57	9	1	9	9	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	1	0
86		59	-	36	7.6		45	9	1	10	9	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
85		58	-	37	5.6		36	7	0	8	7	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0
84		57	-	38	4.2		24	5	0	5	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
83		56	-	39	2.4		15	2	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
82		55	-	40	1.1		8	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		54	-	41	0.5		4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		53	-	42	0.2		2	0		0	0
79		52	-	43	0.1		1	0			0
76	-78				0.0		0
27	-75				No

Total:					0.3	%	2.0	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Phillies 7 Mets 3	+0.7

Thursday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

122		95	-	0	100
97		70	-	25	50	50
95		68	-	27	33	56	11
94		67	-	28	55	35	10
93		66	-	29	29	38	26	6
92		65	-	30	19	42	23	17
91		64	-	31	7	25	32	23	11	2	1
90		63	-	32	1	12	28	29	20	8	1				1
89		62	-	33	1	5	16	29	24	15	6	2	0		2	0
88		61	-	34		1	6	17	26	25	15	5	1	0	4	0
87		60	-	35		0	1	5	14	24	25	15	5	1	8	1	0
86		59	-	36			0	1	4	12	21	23	15	4	16	3	0	0
85		58	-	37				0	0	3	9	18	20	12	23	11	3	0	0
84		57	-	38					0	0	2	7	16	17	20	21	12	4	1	0
83		56	-	39						0	0	1	6	15	10	20	23	15	7	2	0	0	0
82		55	-	40						0		0	1	9	2	8	18	23	21	11	5	1	0	0
81		54	-	41									0	4	0	1	6	14	22	24	17	8	3	1	0	0
80		53	-	42									0	2	0	0	1	3	9	18	24	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
79		52	-	43										1			0	0	1	5	13	21	25	19	10	4	1	0	0
78		51	-	44										0				0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	7	2	0	0	0
77		50	-	45										0					0	0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	3	1	0	0
76		49	-	46										0						0	0	0	1	3	10	20	26	22	13	5	1	0	0
75		48	-	47																		0	0	0	2	8	18	26	25	15	5	1	0
74		47	-	48																			0	0	0	2	7	17	27	26	16	5	1	0
73		46	-	49																					0	0	2	7	18	28	28	14	4	0
72		45	-	50																					0	0	0	2	8	21	32	26	10	1
71		44	-	51																						0	0	0	2	11	26	35	21	4
70		43	-	52																								0	1	4	17	35	33	10
69		42	-	53																								0	0	1	9	28	42	20
68		41	-	54																									0	0	4	19	45	32
67		40	-	55																										0	1	12	41	46
66		39	-	56																										0	0	6	35	58
65		38	-	57																											0	3	27	70
64		37	-	58																												1	19	79
63		36	-	59																											0	0	13	87
62		35	-	60																												0	9	91
61		34	-	61																												0	4	96
60		33	-	62																													2	98
59		32	-	63																													2	98
58		31	-	64																													2	98
57		30	-	65																													1	99
27	-56																																	100

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	8	8	9	10	10	8