New York Mets Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Giants 1-5, playoff odds down 3.4 to 40.2%

12-11 .522

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Giants 5 Mets 1	-3.2		-0.3		-0.3
Cubs 7 Astros 2	-0.3
Braves 5 Marlins 0	-0.2		-0.1
Rockies 7 Padres 4	+0.1
Nationals 1 Dodgers 4	+0.1
Reds 8 Phillies 1	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Giants vs Mets	-3.2+3.2		-0.3+0.3		-0.3+0.3
Cubs vs Astros	-0.3+0.3
Braves vs Marlins	-0.2+0.2		-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs Padres	+0.1-0.1
Nationals vs Dodgers	-0.1+0.1
Reds vs Phillies	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

111	-151				In		100															45,516	*
110		98	-	41	In		100	0														259
108	-109				In		100															1,852	*
107		95	-	44	In		100	0														2,748
106		94	-	45	In		100															5,852
105		93	-	46	In		100	0		0												12,131
104		92	-	47	In		100	0		0												23,624
103		91	-	48	In		100	0		0												45,260
102		90	-	49	In		100	0		0												84,149
101		89	-	50	In		99	1	0	0												151,376
100		88	-	51	In		98	1	0	1	0											262,989
99		87	-	52	In		97	2	0	1	0											446,756
98		86	-	53	In		96	3	0	2	0											733,669
97		85	-	54	In		93	4	0	3	0											1,164,497
96		84	-	55	In		89	7	0	4	0											1,799,243
95		83	-	56	In		83	10	0	7	0	0										2,697,366
94		82	-	57	100.0	%	76	14	0	10	0	0	0	0								3,928,236
93		81	-	58	100.0		66	19	1	14	0	0	0									5,548,574
92		80	-	59	100.0		54	25	2	19	1	0	0	0								7,613,847
91		79	-	60	100.0		40	29	4	24	2	0	0	0								10,146,412
90		78	-	61	100.0		28	32	6	30	5	0	0	0	0							13,141,867
89		77	-	62	99.9		16	30	9	34	9	1	0	0	0							16,530,300
88		76	-	63	99.7		8	25	13	35	16	3	0	0	0	0						20,194,851
87		75	-	64	98.9		3	18	15	32	24	7	1	0	0	0	0					23,986,667
86		74	-	65	96.1		1	11	15	24	30	14	3	0	0	0	0	0				27,659,624
85		73	-	66	88.4		0	5	13	15	31	24	9	2	0	0	0	0				31,013,498
84		72	-	67	72.9		0	2	10	7	24	30	19	7	1	0	0	0	0			33,792,748
83		71	-	68	50.2		0	1	7	3	13	27	28	16	5	1	0	0	0	0		35,773,208
82		70	-	69	27.0		0	0	4	1	5	17	28	26	14	4	1	0	0	0		36,803,241
81		69	-	70	10.8		0	0	2	0	1	7	20	29	24	12	3	1	0	0	0	36,818,320
80		68	-	71	3.2			0	1	0	0	2	9	22	29	23	10	3	0	0	0	35,765,741
79		67	-	72	0.8			0	0	0	0	0	3	11	24	30	21	9	2	0	0	33,789,393
78		66	-	73	0.2			0	0	0	0	0	1	4	13	26	30	19	6	1	0	31,017,745
77		65	-	74	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	1	5	17	29	29	15	4	0	27,668,304
76		64	-	75	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	2	8	21	33	26	9	1	23,976,155
75		63	-	76	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	3	12	28	34	19	4	20,189,568
74		62	-	77	0.0				0				0	0	0	1	5	20	36	30	9	16,524,934
73		61	-	78	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	2	11	31	39	17	13,139,338
72		60	-	79	0.0				0					0	0	0	1	5	23	43	27	10,148,363
71		59	-	80	Out									0	0	0	0	2	15	43	39	7,611,268
70		58	-	81	Out										0	0	0	1	9	38	52	5,544,976
69		57	-	82	Out											0	0	0	5	31	63	3,923,775
68		56	-	83	Out												0	0	2	24	73	2,696,920
67		55	-	84	Out												0	0	1	18	81	1,798,582
66		54	-	85	Out													0	0	12	87	1,164,495
65		53	-	86	Out													0	0	8	92	732,068
64		52	-	87	Out													0	0	5	95	445,843
63		51	-	88	Out														0	3	97	262,636
62		50	-	89	Out														0	2	98	151,310
61		49	-	90	Out														0	1	99	84,204
60		48	-	91	Out															1	99	45,447
59		47	-	92	Out															0	100	23,466
58		46	-	93	Out															0	100	12,017
57		45	-	94	Out															0	100	5,850
56		44	-	95	Out															0	100	2,776
55		43	-	96	Out																100	1,259
54		42	-	97	Out															0	100	546
12	-53				Out																100	45,761	*

Total:					40.2	%	6	6	5	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	547,201,420

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Braves	Phillies	Brewers	Cubs	Dodgers	Reds	Pirates	Padres	Diamondbacks	Giants	Nationals	Cardinals	Rockies	Marlins

106	-151				12.5	%	Yes
105		93	-	46	12.0		100		0		0		0
104		92	-	47	12.7		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0		0
103		91	-	48	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
102		90	-	49	12.7		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		89	-	50	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		88	-	51	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		87	-	52	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		86	-	53	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		85	-	54	12.3		97	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		84	-	55	12.2		96	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		83	-	56	12.1		93	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
94		82	-	57	11.9		90	1	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
93		81	-	58	11.6		86	2	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
92		80	-	59	11.3		80	3	4	2	2	1	2	2	1	1	1	2	1	0	0
91		79	-	60	10.8		73	4	5	3	2	1	2	2	1	1	1	2	1	0	0
90		78	-	61	10.3		65	5	6	4	3	2	3	3	1	1	1	3	2	0	1
89		77	-	62	9.7		56	6	7	4	4	2	4	4	2	2	2	4	2	0	1
88		76	-	63	9.0		46	7	8	5	5	3	5	4	2	2	2	4	2	1	1
87		75	-	64	8.0		36	7	8	6	6	3	5	5	3	2	2	4	3	1	1
86		74	-	65	6.8		27	7	8	6	6	3	5	5	3	2	3	4	3	1	1
85		73	-	66	5.2		19	5	6	5	5	3	4	4	2	2	2	3	2	1	1
84		72	-	67	3.5		12	3	4	3	3	2	3	3	2	1	2	2	2	0	1
83		71	-	68	1.9		7	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
82		70	-	69	0.9		4	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		69	-	70	0.3		2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		68	-	71	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		67	-	72	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		66	-	73	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		65	-	74	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
76		64	-	75	0.0		0		0	0	0		0	0	0
72	-75				0.0		0
12	-71				No

Total:					3.0	%	16.0	2.0	2.4	1.7	1.6	0.9	1.5	1.4	0.8	0.7	0.7	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.3

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs