New York Mets Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 49.9%
31-27   .534

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 2 Mets 8 +2.8
+0.3
+0.3
SundayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-135In10035,869*
10574-30In10002,417
10473-31In10005,614
10372-32In1000013,280
10271-33In99128,752
10170-34In991060,043
10069-35In98200119,953
9968-36In96400228,228
9867-37In94600419,320
9766-38In91900741,249
9665-39In87130001,253,277
9564-40In80190002,031,860
9463-41In72261103,176,184
9362-42100.0%623421004,759,137
9261-43100.0504252006,859,613
9160-44100.03849940009,503,786
9059-45100.02552166000012,676,169
8958-4699.91550259100016,251,489
8857-4799.674235124000020,048,171
8756-4898.4330441481000023,811,437
8655-4994.611849131451000027,203,354
8554-5085.408481018113000029,922,844
8453-5168.803426181992000031,675,448
8352-5247.60132212232082000032,294,962
8251-5328.20022151826197100031,686,875
8150-5415.10140192229186100029,931,801
8049-557.50700212263017510027,200,425
7948-563.403000415292915400023,805,311
7847-571.31000151832281220020,053,968
7746-580.4000001722342591016,254,469
7645-590.1000002112834205012,671,094
7544-600.00000041634321319,508,147
7443-610.000001725382456,859,521
7342-620.000002143636114,757,451
7241-630.00000172844213,173,754
7140-64Out00031845342,039,173
7039-65Out00011042471,255,517
6938-66Out0053460743,283
6837-67Out0022671420,824
6736-68Out011980229,419
6635-69Out001387119,151
6534-70Out0089160,152
6433-71Out059528,671
6332-72Out039712,923
6231-73Out2985,767
6130-74Out1992,416
6029-75Out199983
5928-76Out0100371
31-58Out10034,498*
Total:49.9%61222467777654321415,576,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeCardinalsDodgersGiantsPiratesNationalsCubsPadresBravesDiamondbacksRockiesRedsMarlinsPhilliesBrewers
104-13512.3%Yes
10372-3212.61000
10271-3312.8Yes
10170-3412.310000
10069-3512.6100000000
9968-3612.41000000000000
9867-3712.61000000000000000
9766-3812.510000000000000000
9665-3912.410000000000000000
9564-4012.510000000000000000
9463-4112.59900000000000000
9362-4212.49900000000000000
9261-4312.39800000000000000
9160-4412.39610010100000000
9059-4512.19311110110000000
8958-4611.88911120210100000
8857-4711.58422231311111000
8756-4811.07732241321111000
8655-4910.16833351421111000
8554-508.95733351421111000
8453-517.14533341421111000
8352-525.13322230211111000
8251-533.22211110100000000
8150-541.81400000000000000
8049-550.9700000000000000
7948-560.4300000000000000
7847-570.2100000000000000
7746-580.10000000000000
7645-590.0000
72-750.00
31-71No
Total:5.6%39.81.21.11.11.90.31.60.80.40.50.50.50.20.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 2 Mets 8 -0.6
SundayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109-135100
10877-27991
10776-28100
10675-291000
10574-301000
10473-311000
10372-32991
10271-33991
10170-349820
10069-359730
9968-3695500
9867-3792800
9766-38861310
9665-397919100
9564-4069273000
9463-41573571000
9362-42434114200000
9261-43284223610000
9160-441636311441000000
9059-457243323103000000
8958-46212262920820000000
8857-47041325271982000000
8756-480141323262093010000
8655-490013102026211134100000
8554-500000271725231194100000
8453-51000015142524121162000000
8352-520000031331714151041000000
8251-53000004242715181694100000
8150-5400001140151218201683100000
8049-550007001271421211583100000
7948-560030000139172321146200000
7847-5700100000151220242011410000
7746-58000000013716232316820000
7645-590000001512212520114100
7544-600000013919262313410
7443-61000001281927251440
7342-620000028202926122
7241-63000003102433247
7140-640001414313516
7039-65000017234128
6938-6600003144043
6837-6700173458
6736-6800042670
6635-690021880
6534-70011287
6433-7100892
6332-720496
6231-73397
6130-74199
6029-75199
31-59100
Total:344455556933333333333322221110