New York Mets Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Phillies 0-6, playoff odds down 1.3 to 6.9%
51-56   .477

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Angels 14 Mets 2 -2.6
-0.3
-0.3
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7 +2.6
+0.2
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
98-106In10026,660*
9746-9In98264
9645-10In9810307
9544-11In97301,164
9443-12In936004,027
9342-13In86130113,149
9241-14In762112039,194
9140-15100.0%61313500107,052
9039-16100.0434071000266,629
8938-1799.925431516200611,188
8837-1899.51136232450001,287,236
8736-1997.23232928143002,506,736
8635-2088.7110272526101004,508,391
8534-2168.5031915312371007,513,627
8433-2239.601106233421500011,600,591
8332-2315.400411029341830016,649,902
8231-243.801031433341320022,195,106
8130-250.600004193930700027,514,350
8029-260.1000017284220300031,743,689
7928-270.000021339361010034,096,092
7827-280.000004254423400034,106,108
7726-29Out0011138361220031,745,065
7625-30Out00424402561027,521,293
7524-31Out001113336163022,192,849
7423-32Out0042038299116,650,915
7322-33Out019293920311,607,479
7221-34Out00316383487,515,246
7120-35Out00172945194,511,313
7019-36Out0021747342,507,949
6918-37Out001841511,285,857
6817-38Out0033066610,671
6716-39Out012079266,253
6615-40Out001288107,812
6514-41Out069439,146
6413-42Out039713,208
6312-43Out2984,008
6211-44Out1991,028
6110-45Out0100276
51-60Out10026,710*
Total:6.9%01213581116181410631321,398,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersNationalsBrewersBravesPiratesGiantsCardinalsMarlinsRedsPadresPhilliesDiamondbacksCubsRockies
97-10612.8%Yes
9645-1012.41000
9544-1113.41000
9443-1211.51000000000
9342-1312.899000000000
9241-1412.29800000000000
9140-1512.2950010111000000
9039-1611.99011212120000000
8938-1711.48212323231100000
8837-1810.67023535351100000
8736-199.55535748572200000
8635-207.93835959682200000
8534-215.72235858672200000
8433-223.11123535441200000
8332-231.2411212121100000
8231-240.3100001000000000
8130-250.1000000000000000
8029-260.0000000000000000
7928-270.00000000000
7827-280.0000000
51-77No
Total:0.6%2.70.30.40.70.40.80.50.60.20.20.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Angels 14 Mets 2 +0.7
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10655-01000
9948-7100
9847-87030
9746-98119
9645-1064325
9544-114943700
9443-1236481410
9342-13214826510
9241-14113936122000
9140-15425392471000
9039-1611130331851000
8938-1703153029165100000
8837-1800416282817610000
8736-19001413252819713000
8635-200003102228206920000
8534-21000171826161710310000
8433-22000141520152215620000
8332-230000311617252111410000
8231-2400031514242517720000
8130-250010031020272212410000
8029-260000001615252617720000
7928-2700000013112328211030000
7827-28000002820282413410000
7726-290000161728261551000
7625-300000151527271761000
7524-31000141426281871000
7423-3200014132629197100
7322-3300001413263019610
7221-34000141428311850
7120-3500015163131142
7019-36000162136287
6918-3700210314117
6817-380003194532
6716-39001104149
6615-400043165
6514-41012177
6413-42001386
6312-430892
6211-44595
6110-45298
609-46298
51-59100
Total:000001112212345667888876543210