New York Mets Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Beating Nationals 1-0 (Top 5th), playoff odds down 0.1 to 4.6%
57-63   .475

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Angels 14 Mets 2 -2.6
-0.3
-0.3
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7 +2.6
+0.2
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
92-99In100102*
9134-8In5043728
9033-9In3550122130
8932-10In19512360397
8831-1199.8%10373814201,124
8730-1299.022447187103,013
8629-1393.70104917185106,933
8528-1479.203401225164014,518
8427-1552.40024523301520027,200
8326-1624.301111231311220045,522
8225-177.4040318372891069,662
8124-181.4100624382461097,283
8023-190.20001930371930122,272
7922-200.000021436351210140,767
7821-210.0000422412840147,906
7720-22Out001934431310140,639
7619-23Out0219472750122,553
7518-24Out0073739152096,717
7417-25Out022142286069,480
7316-26Out0010334016145,891
7215-27Out03214230327,427
7114-28Out1103746714,551
7013-29Out0042455176,972
6912-30Out011356303,036
6811-31Out0650431,188
6710-32Out23860423
669-33Out3466119
658-34Out138739
57-64Out100108*
Total:4.6%002024711141820127301,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersNationalsBrewersPiratesGiantsCardinalsBravesMarlinsRedsPadresPhilliesCubsDiamondbacks
91-998.5%Yes
9033-910.098111
8932-1014.1931211200
8831-1111.7851034321010
8730-1210.67321664510100
8629-139.559208966111000
8528-147.542218967112000
8427-154.725116745111000
8326-162.112003422001000
8225-170.740011010000000
8124-180.21000000000000
8023-190.000000000
7922-200.000
7821-21No0
57-77No
Total:0.4%2.50.10.00.50.60.30.40.10.00.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Angels 14 Mets 2 +0.7
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9942-0955
92-93100
9134-871443324
9033-9818382872
8932-102102332211020
8831-11021123282210300
8730-12018203025132100
8629-130015162929135100
8528-140004153129983100
8427-150031634815147200
8326-16004203112122135100
8225-17007031122271982000
8124-18010028192725134100
8023-19000151426271872000
7922-20000031023292210300
7821-2100028202925123100
7720-22001617292714410
7619-230015162928155100
7518-24001516292816510
7417-25001517292815400
7316-26001517302914300
7215-2700161932291120
7114-2801723352671
7013-2902102938193
6912-300031640339
6811-3116294519
6710-322184534
669-3384546
658-3431879
57-64100
Total:000000001201234578910101087532100