New York Mets Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Diamondbacks 5-2, playoff odds up 3.1 to 34.9%
8-7   .533

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mets 2 Nationals 8 -2.7
-0.3
-0.3
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mets 4 Reds 3 +2.4
+0.3
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
104-155In100130*
10395-52In99184
10294-53In100116
10193-54In1000240
10092-55In9810411
9991-56In9910617
9890-57In9630895
9789-58In945011,532
9688-59In917022,246
9587-60In86110303,401
9486-61In78160504,918
9385-62In70211706,591
9284-63100.0%5828211009,047
9183-64100.045335161011,521
9082-6599.9323782120014,803
8981-6699.619361227500018,561
8880-6798.7113016311010022,154
8779-6896.1422203118400026,445
8678-6988.81142126271020030,105
8577-7074.00619173120610033,796
8476-7152.0021492729154000036,321
8375-7227.9193153026123000038,340
8274-7311.505161931251120039,277
8173-743.702018223123920039,738
8072-751.210029243122810038,303
7971-760.300031126322071036,802
7870-770.10000031328311851033,713
7769-780.000015173130143029,934
7668-79Out00172133279126,083
7567-80Out000211283520422,364
7466-81Out0014193631918,178
7365-82Out0002930411814,925
7264-83Out00421443011,563
7163-84Out0021442428,723
7062-85Out001736556,624
6961-86Out00429664,853
6860-87Out0222773,333
6759-88Out0115842,303
6658-89Out010891,486
6557-90Out07931,001
6456-91Out397623
6355-92Out298348
6254-93Out397210
6153-94Out100131
6052-95Out19968
5951-96Out29854
8-58Out10089*
Total:34.9%776887777776665603,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBrewersDodgersBravesGiantsCardinalsNationalsPiratesRockiesPhilliesPadresMarlinsCubsRedsDiamondbacks
101-15513.3%Yes
10092-559.21000
9991-5613.51000
9890-5712.3100000
9789-5812.79900000000
9688-5913.1980000000000000
9587-6011.39700000000000000
9486-6112.49500000100000000
9385-6212.09310101110101000
9284-6312.18811111111111010
9183-6411.18321211211111110
9082-6510.67722322321212110
8981-6610.36833423422322111
8880-679.75743533532323221
8779-688.74744544543433221
8678-697.73654545543433331
8577-706.32554545543333221
8476-714.41643333332322221
8375-722.31021212221111111
8274-731.1511111010000000
8173-740.4200000000000000
8072-750.1100000000000000
7971-760.00000000000
7870-770.000000
7769-78No0
8-76No
Total:3.4%19.81.41.21.51.21.31.51.20.91.20.91.00.70.70.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 2 Nationals 8 +0.6
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 4 Reds 3 -0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
104-155100
10395-52991
10294-53100
10193-54982
10092-55964
9991-56964
9890-579361
9789-5886131
9688-59801820
9587-607126300
9486-616033710
9385-62453913200
9284-6331402161000
9183-641836291431000
9082-6582532229300000
8981-6631426281882000000
8880-6715152526178200100
8779-68015142325188203000
8678-690014112024188292000
8577-70013816221871771000
8476-7100151219142017821000
8375-72001310151222201251000
8274-7300029311202318941000
8173-740030271521221683100
8072-750010013817232215721000
7971-7600000141018232114620000
7870-7700000025122023201141000
7769-78000137162223178310
7668-79000151221242011410
7567-80000013918252314510
7466-81000381726251551
7365-8200128192926133
7264-8300292332258
7163-8401414303516
7062-85016234030
6961-86002153844
6860-870183457
6759-88042670
6658-89012079
6557-90001485
6456-910991
6355-920496
6254-93496
6153-94100
6052-95199
5951-96298
8-58100
Total:344444433344444443333333333332