Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 6.4%

6-20 .231

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

103	-142				In		100															1,166	*
102		96	-	40	In		83			17												6
100	-101				In		100															47	*
99		93	-	43	In		99	1														81
98		92	-	44	In		97	2		1												169
97		91	-	45	In		92	5		3												373
96		90	-	46	In		91	5	0	4												734
95		89	-	47	In		81	10	0	8	0											1,365
94		88	-	48	In		76	13	0	11	0											2,572
93		87	-	49	In		64	18	1	15	1	0										4,633
92		86	-	50	In		54	24	2	20	1	0										8,017
91		85	-	51	In		40	29	3	25	2	0										13,442
90		84	-	52	100.0	%	28	31	6	31	5	0	0									22,149
89		83	-	53	99.9		16	29	9	35	10	1	0	0								35,430
88		82	-	54	99.6		8	24	11	36	17	3	0	0								53,801
87		81	-	55	98.6		3	17	13	31	26	8	1	0	0	0						80,381
86		80	-	56	95.2		1	10	13	24	32	16	4	1	0	0						116,058
85		79	-	57	86.2		0	5	11	14	31	26	11	3	0	0	0					163,218
84		78	-	58	69.0		0	2	8	6	23	31	21	8	2	0	0	0				221,402
83		77	-	59	45.2		0	1	5	2	12	26	29	18	6	1	0	0	0			293,272
82		76	-	60	22.7			0	2	0	4	15	28	27	16	5	1	0	0	0		376,324
81		75	-	61	8.3			0	1	0	1	6	18	28	26	14	5	1	0	0		469,219
80		74	-	62	2.2			0	0	0	0	2	7	19	29	25	13	4	1	0	0	566,695
79		73	-	63	0.4				0		0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	3	0	0	666,148
78		72	-	64	0.1				0	0	0	0	0	3	11	24	30	22	8	1	0	759,805
77		71	-	65	0.0				0			0	0	1	4	14	27	31	18	5	0	840,991
76		70	-	66	0.0				0			0	0	0	1	6	18	32	29	13	2	905,559
75		69	-	67	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	2	9	25	35	23	5	948,704
74		68	-	68	Out									0	0	0	4	16	34	34	11	961,696
73		67	-	69	Out										0	0	1	8	28	42	21	946,764
72		66	-	70	Out										0	0	0	4	20	44	32	905,492
71		65	-	71	Out											0	0	1	12	42	45	842,760
70		64	-	72	Out											0	0	1	7	36	57	760,803
69		63	-	73	Out												0	0	3	29	68	667,023
68		62	-	74	Out												0	0	2	22	77	567,381
67		61	-	75	Out													0	1	15	84	469,362
66		60	-	76	Out													0	0	11	89	377,501
65		59	-	77	Out													0	0	7	93	293,756
64		58	-	78	Out													0	0	5	95	222,429
63		57	-	79	Out														0	3	97	162,355
62		56	-	80	Out														0	2	98	116,516
61		55	-	81	Out														0	1	99	80,663
60		54	-	82	Out															1	99	53,490
59		53	-	83	Out															0	100	35,042
58		52	-	84	Out															0	100	22,074
57		51	-	85	Out															0	100	13,629
56		50	-	86	Out															0	100	7,943
55		49	-	87	Out																100	4,644
54		48	-	88	Out															0	100	2,578
53		47	-	89	Out																100	1,357
52		46	-	90	Out															0	100	732
6	-51				Out																100	1,849	*

Total:					6.4	%	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	13	18	29	14,069,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First round opponent based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Braves	Brewers	Cubs	Phillies	Dodgers	Reds	Mets	Padres	Pirates	Diamondbacks	Giants	Nationals	Cardinals	Rockies

103	-142				14.4	%	Yes
102		96	-	40	No		83							17
99	-101				14.1		Yes
98		92	-	44	9.5		99	1	1
97		91	-	45	12.3		97	0	1	0	0			0		0	0	0	1	0
96		90	-	46	10.8		96	0	0	1	1		0	1		0		0	0	0	0
95		89	-	47	11.8		92	1	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	1
94		88	-	48	11.6		89	1	1	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0
93		87	-	49	11.1		84	2	2	2	3	0	1	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	0
92		86	-	50	11.2		79	3	2	2	3	1	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
91		85	-	51	10.8		73	4	3	3	4	1	2	3	1	2	1	1	2	1	0
90		84	-	52	10.2		64	5	4	4	5	1	3	4	1	2	1	1	2	2	0
89		83	-	53	9.8		54	6	5	4	7	2	4	5	2	3	1	1	3	2	0
88		82	-	54	8.8		43	7	6	5	8	2	4	5	2	3	2	2	3	3	0
87		81	-	55	7.8		33	7	6	6	8	3	5	6	2	4	2	2	3	3	0
86		80	-	56	6.4		24	7	6	6	7	3	5	5	2	4	2	2	3	3	0
85		79	-	57	4.7		16	5	5	5	5	2	4	4	2	3	2	2	2	2	0
84		78	-	58	2.9		9	3	3	3	3	1	3	3	1	2	1	1	2	2	0
83		77	-	59	1.5		5	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
82		76	-	60	0.6		3	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		75	-	61	0.2		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		74	-	62	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		73	-	63	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		72	-	64	0.0		0	0	0		0		0	0	0	0			0		0
75	-77				0.0		0
6	-74				No

Total:					0.4	%	1.5	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

This is basically a projection of most winningest teams at the end of the season.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

103	-142				100
102		96	-	40	83	17
101		95	-	41	100
100		94	-	42	97	3
99		93	-	43	95	5
98		92	-	44	92	8
97		91	-	45	82	17	1
96		90	-	46	76	21	3
95		89	-	47	62	30	7	1
94		88	-	48	51	37	11	1	0
93		87	-	49	36	41	18	4	1	0	0
92		86	-	50	24	40	26	9	2	0	0
91		85	-	51	13	32	32	16	6	1	0	0	0
90		84	-	52	6	20	32	26	12	4	1	0	0	0			0
89		83	-	53	2	9	22	29	22	12	4	1	0	0	0		0	0
88		82	-	54	0	3	11	21	27	21	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
87		81	-	55	0	1	3	10	20	25	22	12	5	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
86		80	-	56	0	0	0	2	8	17	24	22	14	6	2	0	4	1	0	0	0
85		79	-	57		0	0	0	2	5	13	21	22	16	7	1	11	3	0	0	0	0
84		78	-	58				0	0	1	3	8	16	20	15	6	19	9	2	0	0	0	0
83		77	-	59			0	0	0	0	0	1	5	11	16	12	21	19	10	3	1	0	0	0	0
82		76	-	60						0	0	0	1	3	8	12	12	22	22	14	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
81		75	-	61							0	0	0	0	2	6	3	11	20	24	19	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
80		74	-	62								0	0	0	0	2	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
79		73	-	63										0	0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	24	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
78		72	-	64										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	13	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
77		71	-	65											0	0			0	0	0	1	3	9	18	24	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
76		70	-	66												0			0	0	0	0	0	2	6	15	23	25	18	8	2	0	0	0
75		69	-	67												0					0	0	0	0	1	5	13	22	26	20	10	3	0	0
74		68	-	68																	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	12	22	28	21	9	2	0
73		67	-	69																		0		0	0	0	1	4	12	24	29	20	7	1
72		66	-	70																				0	0	0	0	1	5	15	29	31	17	3
71		65	-	71																						0	0	0	1	7	21	34	28	8
70		64	-	72																							0	0	0	3	12	31	38	17
69		63	-	73																							0	0	0	1	6	23	42	28
68		62	-	74																									0	0	2	15	42	41
67		61	-	75																									0	0	1	9	37	53
66		60	-	76																									0	0	0	5	31	64
65		59	-	77																										0	0	2	24	74
64		58	-	78																											0	1	17	82
63		57	-	79																											0	0	12	87
62		56	-	80																											0	0	8	91
61		55	-	81																												0	5	95
60		54	-	82																												0	3	97
59		53	-	83																												0	2	98
58		52	-	84																													1	99
57		51	-	85																													1	99
56		50	-	86																													1	99
55		49	-	87																													0	100
54		48	-	88																													0	100
53		47	-	89																													0	100
52		46	-	90																													0	100
51		45	-	91																													0	100
6	-50																																	100

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	8	10	12	14