Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 40%

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Phillies vs Braves	+3.1-3.1		+0.3-0.3		+0.3-0.3
Rangers vs Cubs	+0.2-0.2
Reds vs Nationals	+0.1-0.1
Mets vs Brewers	-0.1+0.1
Marlins vs Pirates	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

109	-162				In		100															83,268	*
108		108	-	54	In		100	0														6,511
107		107	-	55	In		100	0														12,752
106		106	-	56	In		100	0		0												24,654
105		105	-	57	In		100	0		0												45,314
104		104	-	58	In		100	0		0												81,656
103		103	-	59	In		100	0		0												144,288
102		102	-	60	In		100	0	0	0												246,148
101		101	-	61	In		99	1	0	0												411,299
100		100	-	62	In		99	1	0	0	0											671,392
99		99	-	63	In		98	2	0	0	0											1,066,085
98		98	-	64	In		96	3	0	1	0											1,643,457
97		97	-	65	In		94	4	0	1	0											2,480,235
96		96	-	66	In		91	7	0	2	0	0										3,640,285
95		95	-	67	In		86	10	0	3	0	0										5,216,150
94		94	-	68	100.0	%	79	15	1	5	0	0	0									7,281,618
93		93	-	69	100.0		70	20	1	8	0	0	0									9,922,034
92		92	-	70	100.0		59	27	2	12	0	0	0	0								13,175,448
91		91	-	71	100.0		46	32	4	16	1	0	0	0								17,063,611
90		90	-	72	100.0		33	36	7	21	3	0	0	0								21,568,004
89		89	-	73	100.0		21	36	12	26	6	1	0	0	0	0						26,587,616
88		88	-	74	99.9		11	31	16	29	11	2	0	0	0	0						31,960,097
87		87	-	75	99.4		5	24	20	28	18	4	1	0	0	0	0	0				37,493,452
86		86	-	76	97.5		2	15	22	24	25	10	2	0	0	0	0	0				42,906,079
85		85	-	77	91.9		0	8	20	17	28	19	7	1	0	0	0	0	0			47,929,008
84		84	-	78	79.1		0	3	17	9	24	26	15	5	1	0	0	0	0			52,238,437
83		83	-	79	58.2		0	1	12	3	15	26	24	13	4	1	0	0	0	0		55,525,713
82		82	-	80	34.2		0	0	8	1	7	19	27	23	11	3	1	0	0	0		57,604,912
81		81	-	81	15.4		0	0	4	0	2	9	21	28	22	11	3	1	0	0	0	58,316,260
80		80	-	82	5.4		0	0	2	0	0	3	11	22	28	21	10	3	0	0	0	57,621,275
79		79	-	83	1.6			0	1	0	0	1	4	12	24	28	20	9	2	0	0	55,527,770
78		78	-	84	0.5			0	0	0	0	0	1	4	14	26	28	19	7	1	0	52,231,349
77		77	-	85	0.2			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	16	28	28	16	4	0	47,925,020
76		76	-	86	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	20	31	26	11	2	42,923,944
75		75	-	87	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	3	11	26	34	21	5	37,495,262
74		74	-	88	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	1	5	17	34	32	11	31,966,244
73		73	-	89	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	2	9	28	40	21	26,572,828
72		72	-	90	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	0	4	20	42	33	21,568,632
71		71	-	91	0.0				0					0	0	0	0	2	12	40	46	17,068,141
70		70	-	92	Out										0	0	0	1	7	34	59	13,174,555
69		69	-	93	0.0				0						0	0	0	0	3	26	70	9,920,093
68		68	-	94	Out											0	0	0	2	19	79	7,282,252
67		67	-	95	Out												0	0	1	13	86	5,216,597
66		66	-	96	Out												0	0	0	9	91	3,641,377
65		65	-	97	Out												0	0	0	6	94	2,477,877
64		64	-	98	Out													0	0	3	96	1,646,749
63		63	-	99	Out													0	0	2	98	1,064,044
62		62	-	100	Out														0	1	99	670,057
61		61	-	101	Out														0	1	99	412,090
60		60	-	102	Out														0	0	100	246,503
59		59	-	103	Out														0	0	100	143,578
58		58	-	104	Out															0	100	81,814
57		57	-	105	Out															0	100	45,108
56		56	-	106	Out															0	100	24,366
55		55	-	107	Out															0	100	12,575
54		54	-	108	Out															0	100	6,495
0	-53				Out																100	83,522	*

Total:					40.0	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	932,395,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Giants	Rockies	Diamondbacks	Nationals	Braves	Brewers	Pirates	Reds	Marlins	Cubs	Cardinals	Mets	Padres	Dodgers

107	-162				12.5	%	Yes
106		106	-	56	12.0		100					0
105		105	-	57	12.3		100					0	0		0					0	0
104		104	-	58	12.3		100			0				0		0	0			0
103		103	-	59	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
102		102	-	60	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		101	-	61	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		100	-	62	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		99	-	63	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		98	-	64	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		97	-	65	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		96	-	66	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		95	-	67	12.3		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
94		94	-	68	12.2		95	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0
93		93	-	69	12.0		92	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0
92		92	-	70	11.7		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
91		91	-	71	11.4		83	1	1	1	2	2	1	1	1	2	1	1	2	1	1
90		90	-	72	11.0		76	1	1	1	2	2	1	1	1	2	1	1	2	1	1
89		89	-	73	10.5		68	2	2	2	3	3	2	2	2	3	2	2	3	2	2
88		88	-	74	9.8		59	2	2	2	4	4	2	2	2	4	2	2	4	2	2
87		87	-	75	9.0		49	3	3	3	4	4	3	3	3	4	3	3	4	3	3
86		86	-	76	7.9		39	3	3	3	4	4	3	3	3	4	3	3	4	3	3
85		85	-	77	6.4		29	3	3	3	4	4	3	3	3	4	3	3	4	3	3
84		84	-	78	4.6		20	2	2	2	3	3	2	2	2	3	2	2	3	2	2
83		83	-	79	2.8		13	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
82		82	-	80	1.5		8	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
81		81	-	81	0.7		4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		80	-	82	0.3		2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		79	-	83	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		78	-	84	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		77	-	85	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
76		76	-	86	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
75		75	-	87	0.0		0	0	0		0	0		0	0		0		0	0	0
74		74	-	88	0.0		0		0											0
71	-73				0.0		0
70		70	-	92	No
69		69	-	93	No		0
0	-68				No

Total:					3.3	%	20.0	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.2	1.2	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.9

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs