Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 8.6%
14-21   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.2
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 -0.1
Giants 8 Dodgers 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs Phillies-1.2+1.3
-0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2
Twins vs Rockies+0.2-0.2
Diamondbacks vs Mets-0.1+0.2
Padres vs Brewers+0.2-0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.1+0.1
Pirates vs Nationals+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Dodgers+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-141In100145,055*
10894-33In99175
10793-34In982133
10692-35In991308
10591-36In9801825
10490-37In96121,913
10389-38In94244,486
10288-39In913610,144
10187-40In8750822,154
10086-41In827011046,731
9985-42In7410015094,795
9884-43100.0%661402000185,416
9783-44100.0551812600352,605
9682-45100.0442213200642,919
9581-46100.03325238101,135,774
9480-4799.9232744430001,940,190
9379-4899.8142664950003,206,396
9278-4999.3822851101005,128,248
9177-5098.241710511620007,929,647
9076-5195.4112114625400011,873,265
8975-5289.9071138339100017,210,897
8874-5380.30410273917200024,141,660
8773-5466.1029173927610032,801,487
8672-5548.80169323514200043,159,393
8571-5631.50054233824600054,997,302
8470-5717.4003113343313200067,902,411
8369-588.100206253824500081,209,380
8268-593.2010214353412100094,102,985
8167-601.1000172640224000105,659,633
8066-610.400002163833101000114,961,606
7965-620.10000172940193000121,240,972
7864-630.00000318393091000123,888,345
7763-640.00000193137183000122,668,108
7662-650.0000042038289100117,730,432
7561-660.00000111313617300109,487,649
7460-670.00000521372781098,698,373
7359-680.000002123135173086,188,172
7258-69Out00052237277172,931,800
7157-700.00000213333515259,807,385
7056-71Out00016254024447,528,690
6955-72Out0003163834936,573,527
6854-73Out001932431627,246,547
6753-74Out000424472519,676,033
6652-75Out000216463613,749,472
6551-76Out001942489,305,012
6450-77Out000536596,097,638
6349-78Out00328693,866,022
6248-79Out00121772,370,774
6147-80Out00115841,409,651
6046-81Out001089809,155
5945-82Out00793450,105
5844-83Out0495241,601
5743-84Out0397125,178
5642-85Out029862,776
5541-86Out19930,096
5440-87Out19914,277
5339-88Out01006,557
5238-89Out01002,719
5137-90Out1001,158
5036-91Out0100487
14-49Out100145,316*
Total:8.6%011247101315141297421,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersRedsCubsMetsBravesMarlinsPiratesGiantsPadres
109-1417.3%Yes
10894-336.7991
10793-348.39811
10692-355.8991
10591-365.39900000
10490-376.19811000000
10389-386.996111000000
10288-397.394111110000
10187-406.9922221110000
10086-417.18923311110000
9985-426.6853441111000000
9884-436.6804552211000000
9783-446.37406662221000000
9682-456.06807883321000000
9581-465.861081093422000000
9480-475.55301012114432000000
9379-485.24601214135532000000
9278-494.83801315145643000000
9177-504.53101417166643100000
9076-514.22501517166653100000
8975-523.81901517166753100000
8874-533.21401416156643100000
8773-542.61001214135543100000
8672-551.97091094432000000
8571-561.2506762221000000
8470-570.7303431111000000
8369-580.3201210100000000
8268-590.1100100000000000
8167-600.1000000000000000
8066-610.0000000000000000
7965-620.0000000000000000
7864-630.0000000000000000
7763-640.0000000000000
7662-650.000000000
7561-660.000000
73-740.00
7258-69No
7157-70No0
14-70No
Total:0.4%1.90.01.41.71.50.60.60.40.30.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers vs Phillies+0.5-0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109-141100
10894-33991
10793-34955
10692-35982
10591-369460
10490-379190
10389-38851410
10288-39792020
10187-407026300
10086-416133610
9985-42493911100
9884-433842173000
9783-4427422461000
9682-45173831122000
9581-4693035196100000
9480-47420342712300000
9379-4821127322071000000
9278-4915173028144100100
9177-50029223023102002000
9076-51003122428197104000
8975-520015142526154191000
8874-530001615242210217300000
8773-54000161521176257100000
8672-5500001613171130164100000
8571-5600001512132726123100000
8470-570000151117282211410000
8369-5800000177192622125100000
8268-590000328182523146200000
8167-6000001027162424167200000
8066-6100000016142325189310000
7965-62000000141221262011410000
7864-630000001310202622124100000
7763-6400000013919262314510000
7662-65000000028172524156100000
7561-660000002717252516620000
7460-670000000271726251661000
7359-68000000027172625155100
7258-690000002818272514410
7157-70000000292129241130
7056-710000131224302171
6955-72000015162931163
6854-730000282235267
6753-740000314323614
6652-75000017254224
6551-7600003174336
6450-770001103949
6349-78000063361
6248-790032672
6147-800011980
6046-81011387
5945-8200991
5844-8300594
5743-840397
5642-850298
5541-86199
5440-87199
5339-880100
5238-890100
5137-900100
5036-910100
14-49100
Total:000011112234445556666665544321