Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances

Beat Marlins 7-4, playoff odds up 6.9 to 40.7%
10-9   .526

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies 7 Marlins 4 +3.2
+0.3
+0.3
Giants 4 Dodgers 3 +0.2
Diamondbacks 5 Padres 8 +0.2
Mets 2 Braves 8 +0.2
Pirates 6 Cubs 5 +0.1
Rockies 4 Nationals 11 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs Marlins+3.3-3.3
+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Giants vs Dodgers+0.2-0.2
Diamondbacks vs Padres-0.2+0.2
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Braves-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs Nationals+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-153In1004,965*
10898-45In1000540
10797-46In10001,152
10696-47In10002,219
10595-48In100004,249
10494-49In99007,602
10393-50In990014,069
10292-51In9810123,858
10191-52In97201041,075
10090-53In9630266,638
9989-54In93403106,447
9888-55In896040165,057
9787-56In849060246,833
9686-57In7713090359,569
9585-58100.0%691811200509,362
9484-59100.05823217000698,888
9383-60100.04628322100934,539
9282-61100.0343152820001,215,351
9181-6299.9233183440001,535,758
9080-6399.51329123880001,883,706
8979-6498.472315401410002,249,627
8878-6595.5316163822400002,609,719
8777-6689.1191632301010002,944,142
8676-6776.90514233518400003,228,821
8575-6858.8021113332911200003,447,408
8474-6937.70176243421610003,580,262
8373-7019.400421330311540003,610,581
8272-717.6002052033271120003,542,923
8171-722.401019253322710003,385,798
8070-730.60000313293217410003,142,384
7969-740.200015183229133002,839,615
7868-750.000001823342481002,491,378
7767-760.0000002122833185102,130,949
7666-770.000001518332912201,769,291
7565-780.0000019253523711,429,457
7464-79Out000031532321421,123,837
7363-80Out0000182537245857,268
7262-81Out000316353411636,459
7161-82Out0019294220459,816
7060-83Out0004214430323,070
6959-84Out002134342219,797
6858-85Out00183754145,759
6757-86Out0004306593,310
6656-87Out002237458,658
6555-88Out01178235,561
6454-89Out00128821,028
6353-90Out089212,092
6252-91Out05956,663
6151-92Out3973,580
6050-93Out1991,937
5949-94Out199886
5848-95Out199480
5747-96Out0100234
10-56Out1004,673*
Total:40.7%66612111099876432154,229,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDiamondbacksCubsRockiesBrewersMarlinsDodgersRedsCardinalsMetsPiratesBravesGiantsPadres
108-15313.1%Yes
10797-4610.21000
10696-4712.21000000
10595-4811.310000000
10494-4912.310000000000
10393-5011.8100000000000000
10292-5111.9990000000000000
10191-5211.99900000000000000
10090-5311.99800000000000000
9989-5412.19700000000000000
9888-5511.99601010110000000
9787-5611.69401111110000000
9686-5711.49101111111000000
9585-5811.28712121211000000
9484-5911.08312232321110000
9383-6010.67713232431110000
9282-6110.37024343532111110
9181-629.76235354642121110
9080-639.15446464752221110
8979-648.54447585863221110
8878-657.83558696973231110
8777-666.92758696973231111
8676-675.71957586873231111
8575-684.31336475653221110
8474-692.7824343432111110
8373-701.4412122221110000
8272-710.6201011110000000
8171-720.2100000000000000
8070-730.1000000000000000
7969-740.0000000000000000
7868-750.0000000000000000
7767-760.000000000000000
7666-770.0000
7565-78No0
10-74No
Total:3.5%18.21.72.92.13.22.23.32.51.20.81.00.40.50.40.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 7 Marlins 4 -0.6
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies vs Marlins-0.6+0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114-153100
113103-40928
111-112100
110100-43991
10999-44100
10898-451000
10797-461000
10696-47991
10595-48991
10494-49982
10393-509820
10292-519640
10191-5293700
10090-53891000
9989-548415100
9888-557721200
9787-5667284000
9686-57553591000
9585-5843401530000
9484-592941226100000
9383-60183630133000000
9282-61927332182000000
9181-6241729281661000000
9080-6318202824134100000
8979-640310212722114101000
8878-6501310212621113040000
8777-660013101924201029200000
8676-67000138172318716510000
8575-6800002615211421145100000
8474-6900001514171722156200000
8373-700000151381923189310000
8272-7100001628182421135200000
8171-720002026142223179310000
8070-73000100141019242113520000
7969-7400000002715222417931000
7868-750000000141120242112510000
7767-7600000013817242315720000
7666-7700000002614232518931000
7565-780000001513222520103100
7464-790000141222262110300
7363-8000001412232721920
7262-810000151425291971
7161-82000016172929153
7060-830000292333258
6959-84001414313515
6858-8500018254026
6757-860004174138
6656-87002113850
6555-880163261
6454-890032572
6353-90021980
6252-9111287
6151-920991
6050-930694
5949-94496
5848-95199
5747-96199
5646-97100
5545-98298
10-54100
Total:334444554455444444333332221110