Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.001 to 99.9%
74-48   .607

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Nationals 3 Mets 2 +2.7
+0.4
+0.2
Rockies 5 Reds 3 -0.3
Cardinals 14 Marlins 6 +0.3
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Nationals 11 Mets 4 +2.3
+0.3
+0.2
Braves 4 Astros 16 +0.8
Rockies 1 Reds 8 +0.2
Cardinals 2 Marlins 5 -0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
11440-0In1000664,012
11238-2In1007
11137-3In98261
11036-4In928679
10935-5In84164,780
10834-6In742628,219
10733-7In6238136,985
10632-8In4951562,973
10531-9In35652,003,759
10430-10In237706,201,866
10329-11In1486016,894,798
10228-12In892040,791,207
10127-13In496087,793,680
10026-14In29800169,219,220
9925-15In19900293,224,281
9824-16In010000458,009,701
9723-17In0100000646,414,792
9622-18In0100000825,880,182
9521-19In0100000956,204,496
9420-20In01000001,003,955,758
9319-21100.0%0991000956,212,704
9218-22100.00981000825,878,972
9117-23100.00964000646,436,594
9016-24100.009280000458,004,226
8915-25100.0084150000293,193,803
8814-2699.90722711000169,235,878
8713-2799.655421200087,822,707
8612-2898.0355913200040,797,702
8511-2993.3177015510016,890,035
8410-3083.1672051061006,202,087
839-3167.81640312155002,004,833
828-3250.0049018231720564,609
817-3332.203200321331110136,869
806-3417.417011138285028,663
795-356.7704304117204,862
784-361.6201104333101638
773-37Out22314914365
762-38Out5025254
751-39Out1001
740-40Out00104141800664,012
Total:99.9%09630000000000008,012,070,720

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersRockiesDiamondbacksCubsBrewersCardinalsMarlinsPiratesBravesPadresMetsRedsGiants
101-11412.5%Yes
10026-1412.510000000
9925-1512.5100000000
9824-1612.51000000000
9723-1712.51000000000
9622-1812.51000000000
9521-1912.510000000000
9420-2012.510000000000
9319-2112.510000000000000
9218-2212.5100000000000000
9117-2312.51000000000000000
9016-2412.51000000000000000
8915-2512.51000000000000000
8814-2612.4990100000000000
8713-2712.3970110000000000
8612-2812.0940220000000000
8511-2911.3870320000000000
8410-3010.1780320000000000
839-318.3650110000000000
828-326.2490000000000
817-334.03200000
806-342.21700
78-790.96
74-77No
Total:12.5%99.80.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals 3 Mets 2 -0.4
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals 11 Mets 4 -0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
11440-01000
11238-2100
11137-3982
11036-4928
10935-58416
10834-674260
10733-762380
10632-849510
10531-935650
10430-1023770
10329-11148600
10228-1289210
10127-1349520
10026-14294400
9925-15191800
9824-1608515000
9723-1707525000
9622-1806137100
9521-19046504000
9420-200305910000
9319-21017602120000
9218-22085134600000
9117-2303364316200000
9016-2401194229810000
8915-25008303720510000
8814-260214313116410000
8713-2700416292916510000
8612-28001414272918520000
8511-29000311253222520000
8410-30000029254767310000
839-3100018583910731000
828-32001491491412720000
817-33003200381619146100
806-34170001515232112410
795-35701311242718710
784-36201101933231030
773-37212143226122
762-387525
751-39100
740-4000172536247100
Total:03737156211000000000000000000000