Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.006 to 40%

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Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Reds vs Nationals	-3.0+3.0		-0.3+0.3		-0.3+0.3
Rangers vs Cubs	+0.2-0.2
Marlins vs Pirates	-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Brewers	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

109	-162				In		100															83,378	*
108		108	-	54	In		100	0														6,540
107		107	-	55	In		100	0														12,824
106		106	-	56	In		100	0														24,314
105		105	-	57	In		100	0		0												45,485
104		104	-	58	In		100	0		0												82,048
103		103	-	59	In		100	0	0	0												143,268
102		102	-	60	In		100	0	0	0												246,879
101		101	-	61	In		99	1	0	0	0											412,687
100		100	-	62	In		99	1	0	0	0											670,766
99		99	-	63	In		98	2	0	0	0											1,064,453
98		98	-	64	In		96	3	0	1	0											1,645,313
97		97	-	65	In		94	4	0	1	0											2,480,233
96		96	-	66	In		91	7	0	2	0											3,639,562
95		95	-	67	In		86	10	0	3	0	0										5,217,061
94		94	-	68	In		79	15	1	5	0	0										7,286,421
93		93	-	69	100.0	%	70	20	1	8	0	0	0									9,924,776
92		92	-	70	100.0		59	27	2	12	0	0	0	0								13,171,220
91		91	-	71	100.0		46	32	4	16	1	0	0	0								17,081,674
90		90	-	72	100.0		33	36	7	21	3	0	0	0	0							21,570,453
89		89	-	73	100.0		21	36	12	26	6	1	0	0	0							26,585,397
88		88	-	74	99.9		11	31	16	29	11	2	0	0	0	0						31,959,945
87		87	-	75	99.4		5	24	20	28	18	4	1	0	0	0	0	0				37,489,685
86		86	-	76	97.5		2	15	22	24	25	10	2	0	0	0	0	0				42,925,136
85		85	-	77	91.9		0	8	20	17	28	19	7	1	0	0	0	0	0			47,925,939
84		84	-	78	79.1		0	3	17	9	24	26	15	5	1	0	0	0	0	0		52,226,698
83		83	-	79	58.2		0	1	12	3	15	26	24	13	4	1	0	0	0	0		55,531,159
82		82	-	80	34.2		0	0	8	1	7	19	27	23	11	3	1	0	0	0	0	57,598,687
81		81	-	81	15.4		0	0	4	0	2	9	21	28	22	11	3	1	0	0	0	58,323,122
80		80	-	82	5.4			0	2	0	0	3	11	22	28	21	10	3	0	0	0	57,602,801
79		79	-	83	1.6			0	1	0	0	1	4	12	24	28	20	9	2	0	0	55,528,061
78		78	-	84	0.5			0	0	0	0	0	1	4	14	26	28	19	7	1	0	52,223,902
77		77	-	85	0.2			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	16	28	28	16	4	0	47,940,898
76		76	-	86	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	20	31	26	11	2	42,932,530
75		75	-	87	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	3	11	26	34	21	5	37,486,165
74		74	-	88	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	1	5	17	34	32	11	31,958,994
73		73	-	89	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	2	9	28	40	21	26,585,815
72		72	-	90	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	1	4	20	42	33	21,561,316
71		71	-	91	0.0				0					0	0	0	0	2	12	40	46	17,056,238
70		70	-	92	Out									0	0	0	0	1	7	34	59	13,168,620
69		69	-	93	Out										0	0	0	0	3	26	70	9,919,510
68		68	-	94	Out											0	0	0	2	19	79	7,283,627
67		67	-	95	Out												0	0	1	13	86	5,214,828
66		66	-	96	Out												0	0	0	9	91	3,640,297
65		65	-	97	Out													0	0	6	94	2,481,696
64		64	-	98	Out													0	0	3	97	1,643,926
63		63	-	99	Out														0	2	98	1,065,173
62		62	-	100	Out														0	1	99	670,378
61		61	-	101	Out														0	1	99	411,568
60		60	-	102	Out														0	0	100	246,414
59		59	-	103	Out															0	100	143,535
58		58	-	104	Out															0	100	82,129
57		57	-	105	Out															0	100	44,936
56		56	-	106	Out															0	100	24,565
55		55	-	107	Out															0	100	12,782
54		54	-	108	Out															0	100	6,643
53		53	-	109	Out																100	3,369
52		52	-	110	Out															0	100	1,527
0	-51				Out																100	78,534	*

Total:					40.0	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	932,395,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Giants	Rockies	Diamondbacks	Braves	Brewers	Phillies	Pirates	Reds	Marlins	Cubs	Cardinals	Mets	Padres	Dodgers

106	-162				12.5	%	Yes
105		105	-	57	12.3		100						0	0					0		0
104		104	-	58	12.2		100		0	0	0	0	0			0			0
103		103	-	59	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
102		102	-	60	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		101	-	61	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		100	-	62	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		99	-	63	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		98	-	64	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		97	-	65	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		96	-	66	12.3		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		95	-	67	12.3		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
94		94	-	68	12.1		95	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0
93		93	-	69	12.0		92	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0
92		92	-	70	11.8		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
91		91	-	71	11.4		83	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	2	1	1	2	1	1
90		90	-	72	11.0		76	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	2	1	1	2	1	1
89		89	-	73	10.5		68	2	2	2	3	2	3	2	2	3	2	2	3	2	2
88		88	-	74	9.8		59	2	2	2	4	2	4	2	2	4	2	2	4	2	2
87		87	-	75	9.0		49	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	3	4	3	3	4	3	3
86		86	-	76	7.9		39	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	3	4	3	3	4	3	3
85		85	-	77	6.4		29	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	3	4	3	3	4	3	3
84		84	-	78	4.6		20	2	2	2	3	2	3	2	2	3	2	2	3	2	2
83		83	-	79	2.8		13	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
82		82	-	80	1.5		8	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
81		81	-	81	0.7		4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		80	-	82	0.3		2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		79	-	83	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		78	-	84	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		77	-	85	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
76		76	-	86	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
75		75	-	87	0.0		0	0	0				0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0
71	-74				0.0		0
0	-70				No

Total:					3.3	%	20.0	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.2	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.9

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs