"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Washington Nationals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 97.5%
24-13   .649

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 +0.1
Marlins 2 Astros 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Nationals-0.5+0.4
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Phillies+0.1-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Mets+0.0-0.1
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.0-0.1
Marlins vs Astros-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
120-149In100147,442*
11995-30In10003,683
11894-31In10009,018
11793-32In100020,707
11692-33In100045,871
11591-34In100095,288
11490-35In1000192,230
11389-36In10000374,344
11288-37In10000699,870
11187-38In100001,260,368
11086-39In100002,184,371
10985-40In1000003,651,292
10884-41In100005,880,625
10783-42In1000009,154,175
10682-43In10000013,722,643
10581-44In9910019,883,467
10480-45In9910027,822,705
10379-46In9820037,611,969
10278-47In9640049,143,288
10177-48In9460062,048,493
10076-49In91900075,775,873
9975-50In861400089,484,940
9874-51In8019100102,214,783
9773-52100.0%72271000113,018,534
9672-53100.062353000120,906,228
9571-54100.051445000125,226,831
9470-55100.0395190000125,511,765
9369-56100.02856160000121,828,143
9268-57100.018572410000114,530,085
9167-58100.0105336100000104,224,800
9066-5999.85444821000091,871,621
8965-6099.52346022000078,448,751
8864-6198.41237023100064,885,892
8763-6296.0014762431000051,986,803
8662-6391.20777156200040,352,285
8561-6483.503751596200030,324,028
8460-6573.001680410115100022,082,511
8359-6660.700580291611300015,580,325
8258-6747.90470161819710010,642,272
8157-6835.503500315261630007,054,518
8056-6924.302400192727910004,521,009
7955-7015.215000421342040002,807,666
7854-718.5080002123331122001,688,159
7753-724.2400062436226100981,988
7652-731.82000214333214200554,634
7551-740.610017233624710302,520
7450-750.200031432341530159,679
7349-760.1000172337256081,806
7248-770.0000314333514240,661
7147-78Out018253923419,620
7046-79Out01417373389,112
6945-80Out02113240154,098
6844-81Out0172545221,767
6743-82Out02184534747
6642-83Out3134143320
6541-84Out83556133
6440-85Out4385845
6339-86Out6128217
24-62Out100145,042*
Total:97.5%4530211111100000001,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersRedsCubsPhilliesMetsBravesMarlinsPiratesGiantsPadres
114-14916.0%Yes
11389-3616.11000
11288-3716.21000
11187-3816.1100000
11086-3916.110000000
10985-4016.110000000000
10884-4116.21000000000
10783-4216.210000000000
10682-4316.1100000000000
10581-4416.210000000000000
10480-4516.11000000000000
10379-4616.21000000000000
10278-4716.210000000000000
10177-4816.2100000000000000
10076-4916.210000000000000000
9975-5016.210000000000000000
9874-5116.210000000000000000
9773-5216.210000000000000000
9672-5316.210000000000000000
9571-5416.210000000000000000
9470-5516.210000000000000000
9369-5616.110000000000000000
9268-5716.19900000000000000
9167-5816.09800000000000000
9066-5916.09711100000000000
8965-6015.89611100000000000
8864-6115.59311100000000000
8763-6215.09012111000000000
8662-6314.28412211000000000
8561-6413.07811111000000000
8460-6511.56911100000000000
8359-669.65901000000000000
8258-677.64700000000000000
8157-685.73500000000000000
8056-693.92400000000000000
7955-702.415000000000000
7854-711.48000000000
7753-720.74000000
7652-730.320
72-750.10
24-71No
Total:15.7%96.30.30.30.30.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates vs Nationals+0.3-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-149100
12096-291000
11995-301000
11894-311000
11793-321000
11692-331000
11591-341000
11490-351000
11389-361000
11288-371000
11187-3810000
11086-3910000
10985-409910
10884-419910
10783-429820
10682-4397300
10581-4495500
10480-45928000
10379-468812000
10278-478217100
10177-4875232000
10076-4966304000
9975-50563671000
9874-514441132000
9773-52334419400000
9672-53224227810000
9571-5414363314300000
9470-5572736227100000
9369-563173230144100000
9268-571924322392000000
9167-58031428291861000000
9066-59016182926145100000
8965-600028202824123000000
8864-61000310212823102100000
8763-62000131123292283100000
8662-63000131125312053100000
8561-6400013133036663100000
8460-650001419495984100000
8359-6600019512711106210000
8258-6700034513913138410000
8157-68001350149151612620000
8056-690024001391619168310000
7955-7000150001381622191141000
7854-710800002715222214620000
7753-7204000002614222417820000
7652-7320000151322251993100
7551-74100001412212621103100
7450-7500001411212721113100
7349-76000141122272110300
7248-7700001512232820820
7147-7800251426281861
7046-790027183027132
6945-800013112434225
6844-81001517323211
6743-82039283822
6642-8316213933
6541-845164138
6440-85133849
6339-8661282
24-62100
Total:2520151186433300000000000000000000