Washington Nationals Playoff Chances

Beat Rockies 11-4, playoff odds up 8.8 to 77.8%
15-6   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rockies 4 Nationals 11 +2.9
+0.3
+0.2
Diamondbacks 5 Padres 8 +0.2
Giants 4 Dodgers 3 +0.2
Pirates 6 Cubs 5 +0.1
Mets 2 Braves 8 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rockies vs Nationals-2.5+2.4
-0.4+0.3
-0.2+0.2
Giants vs Dodgers+0.2-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Padres-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Braves-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
114-156In1005,188*
11398-43In1000809
111-112In1005,005*
11095-46In10006,202
10994-47In100011,075
10893-48In1000020,289
10792-49In1000033,902
10691-50In1000056,533
10590-51In1000091,326
10489-52In10000144,051
10388-53In99100219,512
10287-54In99100322,465
10186-55In98200463,698
10085-56In973000645,822
9984-57In955000871,766
9883-58In9270101,147,243
9782-59100.0%881101001,461,579
9681-60100.0821612001,810,100
9580-61100.0742213002,178,672
9479-62100.0642825002,549,756
9378-63100.05335480002,899,355
9277-64100.0404081210003,199,139
9176-6599.9284212162003,437,941
9075-6699.81841182040003,589,154
8974-6799.29352324710003,640,466
8873-6897.4426282613200003,591,518
8772-6992.9117302421610003,443,400
8671-7083.20928192714300003,212,980
8570-7167.20424122823810002,911,955
8469-7246.3011862230185100002,564,494
8368-7326.20011213282814300002,199,843
8267-7412.1007051931251020001,830,791
8166-754.80301924332271001,483,251
8065-761.8020031228321851001,166,166
7964-770.71001417312914300894,046
7863-780.200001721332610200665,200
7762-790.10000211263321610479,997
7661-800.00000141631311430337,373
7560-810.000001722352681231,506
7459-82Out0003133134173152,248
7358-830.0000016223727798,869
7257-84Out00021334371462,160
7156-85Out001726432337,938
7055-86Out000318453422,281
6954-87Out00112414612,895
6853-88Out01634597,107
6752-89Out0328693,858
6651-90Out0221771,984
6550-91Out0115831,003
6449-92Out01486469
6348-93Out793250
6247-94Out595128
6146-95Out49656
6045-96Out10016
5944-97Out109010
15-58Out1004,500*
Total:77.8%271913118654321110054,229,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDiamondbacksCubsRockiesBrewersPhilliesMarlinsDodgersRedsCardinalsMetsPiratesBravesGiantsPadres
109-15614.2%Yes
10893-4814.01000
10792-4914.21000
10691-5014.11000
10590-5114.010000000
10489-5214.1100000000000
10388-5314.010000000000000
10287-5414.010000000000000000
10186-5514.110000000000000000
10085-5614.110000000000000000
9984-5714.110000000000000000
9883-5814.19900000000000000
9782-5914.09900000000000000
9681-6014.09800000000000000
9580-6113.99600100000000000
9479-6213.79411111110000000
9378-6313.59211111110000000
9277-6413.28821211111010000
9176-6512.88222322221110000
9075-6612.47632422231110100
8974-6711.86843533342111110
8873-6811.05854644452121110
8772-6910.04864754453221110
8671-708.63865754453221110
8570-716.72854643352221110
8469-724.61943432232111110
8368-732.71221221121110000
8267-741.3711110010000000
8166-750.6300000000000000
8065-760.2200000000000000
7964-770.1100000000000000
7863-780.000000000000000
7762-790.00000000000
7661-800.0000
7560-810.00
7459-82No
7358-83No0
15-72No
Total:9.6%58.92.51.82.82.01.71.82.21.10.70.80.40.40.40.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies 4 Nationals 11 -0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies vs Nationals+0.5-0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114-156100
11398-431000
11297-441000
11196-451000
11095-461000
10994-471000
10893-481000
10792-491000
10691-5010000
10590-519910
10489-529910
10388-539820
10287-5496400
10186-5594600
10085-5690900
9984-578514100
9883-587920200
9782-59692740000
9681-605834710000
9580-6145391320000
9479-62324120510000
9378-63203828112000000
9277-641130331971000000
9176-655193127145100000
9075-6619222923114100000
8974-670311232721103101000
8873-6801412222620103020000
8772-69001411212520926100000
8671-70000139192419712410000
8570-710000281724161711410000
8469-720002617211519136200000
8368-73000171871721168310000
8267-7400021027162220135200000
8166-750005016132123179310000
8065-76000200131018232114620000
7964-77001000026142224189310000
7863-78000000141019242213620000
7762-7900000012715232417831000
7661-80000002513212519103100
7560-81000001411202621114100
7459-820000141020262212410
7358-83000014112128221130
7257-840000141224292181
7156-8500015152830174
7055-86000272133279
6954-87001313303617
6853-880017224128
6752-8913164040
6651-9001113850
6550-9100153262
6449-92042571
6348-9311980
6247-9411089
6146-951486
6045-961388
5944-971090
5843-98100
5742-992575
15-55100
Total:161210876654433222211111110000000