New York Mets Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 40%

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Mets vs Brewers	+3.0-3.0		+0.3-0.3		+0.3-0.3
Rangers vs Cubs	+0.2-0.2
Reds vs Nationals	+0.1-0.1
Marlins vs Pirates	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

109	-162				In		100															83,451	*
108		108	-	54	In		100	0														6,506
107		107	-	55	In		100	0														12,861
106		106	-	56	In		100	0		0												24,168
105		105	-	57	In		100	0		0												45,071
104		104	-	58	In		100	0		0												82,140
103		103	-	59	In		100	0		0												144,250
102		102	-	60	In		100	0		0												246,730
101		101	-	61	In		99	1	0	0												411,673
100		100	-	62	In		99	1	0	0	0											671,560
99		99	-	63	In		98	2	0	0	0											1,064,832
98		98	-	64	In		96	3	0	1	0											1,646,239
97		97	-	65	In		94	4	0	1	0											2,479,919
96		96	-	66	In		91	7	0	2	0	0										3,638,129
95		95	-	67	In		86	10	0	3	0	0										5,214,230
94		94	-	68	In		79	15	1	5	0	0										7,285,285
93		93	-	69	100.0	%	70	20	1	8	0	0	0									9,921,395
92		92	-	70	100.0		59	27	2	12	0	0	0									13,176,730
91		91	-	71	100.0		46	32	4	16	1	0	0	0								17,060,131
90		90	-	72	100.0		33	36	7	21	3	0	0	0	0							21,557,828
89		89	-	73	100.0		21	36	12	26	6	1	0	0	0	0						26,575,477
88		88	-	74	99.9		11	31	16	29	11	2	0	0	0	0	0					31,959,674
87		87	-	75	99.4		5	24	20	28	18	4	1	0	0	0	0	0				37,503,069
86		86	-	76	97.5		2	15	22	24	25	10	2	0	0	0	0	0				42,913,058
85		85	-	77	91.9		0	8	20	17	28	19	7	1	0	0	0	0	0			47,933,945
84		84	-	78	79.1		0	3	17	9	24	26	15	5	1	0	0	0	0			52,229,915
83		83	-	79	58.1		0	1	12	3	15	26	24	13	4	1	0	0	0	0		55,532,027
82		82	-	80	34.2		0	0	8	1	7	19	27	23	11	3	1	0	0	0		57,601,473
81		81	-	81	15.4		0	0	4	0	2	9	21	28	22	11	3	1	0	0	0	58,321,194
80		80	-	82	5.4			0	2	0	0	3	11	22	28	21	10	3	0	0	0	57,603,064
79		79	-	83	1.6			0	1	0	0	1	4	12	24	28	20	9	2	0	0	55,535,095
78		78	-	84	0.5			0	0	0	0	0	1	4	14	26	28	19	7	1	0	52,229,493
77		77	-	85	0.2			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	16	28	28	16	4	0	47,940,473
76		76	-	86	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	20	31	26	11	2	42,927,371
75		75	-	87	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	3	11	26	34	21	5	37,495,265
74		74	-	88	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	1	5	17	34	32	11	31,975,360
73		73	-	89	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	0	2	9	28	40	21	26,574,278
72		72	-	90	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	0	4	20	42	33	21,559,126
71		71	-	91	0.0				0					0	0	0	0	2	12	40	46	17,063,428
70		70	-	92	Out									0	0	0	0	1	7	34	59	13,172,447
69		69	-	93	Out											0	0	0	3	26	70	9,915,779
68		68	-	94	Out											0	0	0	2	19	79	7,283,280
67		67	-	95	Out												0	0	1	13	86	5,218,736
66		66	-	96	Out												0	0	0	9	91	3,642,882
65		65	-	97	Out													0	0	6	94	2,478,710
64		64	-	98	Out														0	3	96	1,645,161
63		63	-	99	Out														0	2	98	1,063,092
62		62	-	100	Out														0	1	99	672,016
61		61	-	101	Out														0	1	99	413,471
60		60	-	102	Out														0	0	100	246,544
59		59	-	103	Out															0	100	143,939
58		58	-	104	Out															0	100	81,418
57		57	-	105	Out															0	100	45,352
56		56	-	106	Out															0	100	24,489
55		55	-	107	Out															0	100	12,872
0	-54				Out																100	89,799	*

Total:					40.0	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	932,395,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Giants	Rockies	Diamondbacks	Nationals	Braves	Brewers	Phillies	Pirates	Reds	Marlins	Cubs	Cardinals	Padres	Dodgers

107	-162				12.6	%	Yes
106		106	-	56	12.7		100				0
105		105	-	57	12.3		100	0		0					0			0			0
104		104	-	58	12.2		100	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
103		103	-	59	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
102		102	-	60	12.4		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		101	-	61	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		100	-	62	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		99	-	63	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		98	-	64	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		97	-	65	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		96	-	66	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		95	-	67	12.3		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
94		94	-	68	12.2		95	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
93		93	-	69	12.0		92	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
92		92	-	70	11.8		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
91		91	-	71	11.4		83	1	1	1	2	2	1	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	1
90		90	-	72	11.0		76	1	1	1	2	2	1	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	1
89		89	-	73	10.5		68	2	2	2	3	3	2	3	2	2	3	2	2	2	2
88		88	-	74	9.8		59	2	2	2	4	4	2	4	2	2	4	2	2	2	2
87		87	-	75	9.0		49	3	3	3	4	4	3	4	3	3	4	3	3	3	3
86		86	-	76	7.9		39	3	3	3	4	4	3	4	3	3	4	3	3	3	3
85		85	-	77	6.4		29	3	3	3	4	4	3	4	3	3	4	3	3	3	3
84		84	-	78	4.6		20	2	2	2	3	3	2	3	2	2	3	2	2	2	2
83		83	-	79	2.8		13	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
82		82	-	80	1.5		8	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
81		81	-	81	0.7		4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		80	-	82	0.3		2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		79	-	83	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		78	-	84	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		77	-	85	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
76		76	-	86	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
75		75	-	87	0.0		0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0		0	0
71	-74				0.0		0
0	-70				No

Total:					3.3	%	20.0	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.2	1.2	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs