New York Mets Playoff Chances

Lost to Braves 2-8, playoff odds down 5.6 to 11.2%
8-12   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mets 2 Braves 8 -2.0
-0.1
-0.3
Giants 4 Dodgers 3 +0.2
Diamondbacks 5 Padres 8 +0.1
Pirates 6 Cubs 5 +0.1
Rockies 4 Nationals 11 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mets vs Braves+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.3
Giants vs Dodgers+0.1-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Padres-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
105-150In1004,587*
10496-46In9821133
10395-47In991270
10294-48In9910626
10193-49In98201,222
10092-50In97212,408
9991-51In94424,489
9890-52In9160308,460
9789-53In86805014,739
9688-54In801208025,497
9587-55In7117111042,493
9486-56100.0%612211600069,992
9385-57100.04927321100110,409
9284-5899.93730527200169,842
9183-5999.825317324000253,815
9082-6099.3152810379100368,271
8981-6198.07231340152000520,857
8880-6294.631614382450000716,081
8779-6387.319143132112000953,792
8678-6473.90412223620510001,237,797
8577-6554.80291233301220001,560,412
8476-6633.60055233423810001,913,244
8375-6716.100321229321751002,282,104
8274-685.801041732291330002,641,759
8173-691.601017233325910002,974,828
8072-700.4000021127332061003,259,237
7971-710.10000041531311530003,472,852
7870-720.0000016213427102003,596,637
7769-730.000002102734216103,624,946
7668-740.000000416323114303,551,652
7567-750.0000018243524713,379,070
7466-760.0000031432341523,128,549
7365-77Out0001724382552,815,462
7264-78Out0003153635112,465,425
7163-79Out000182942202,099,372
7062-80Out00042145301,734,275
6961-81Out00021443421,396,334
6860-82Out001838531,089,269
6759-83Out0043164828,574
6658-84Out0022474610,892
6557-85Out0011881437,196
6456-86Out001287304,542
6355-87Out00891205,780
6254-88Out00595134,441
6153-89Out039786,211
6052-90Out029853,056
5951-91Out019931,819
5850-92Out19918,694
5749-93Out010010,483
5648-94Out01005,720
5547-95Out01003,143
5446-96Out01001,619
8-53Out1005,963*
Total:11.2%1123456791010111110954,229,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDiamondbacksCubsRockiesBrewersPhilliesMarlinsDodgersRedsCardinalsPiratesBravesGiantsPadres
105-1509.4%Yes
10496-469.8991
10395-4712.69900
10294-4810.71000
10193-499.310000
10092-509.099000000000
9991-518.69800000100000000
9890-529.39700000100000000
9789-538.99501010110000000
9688-548.69211111111000000
9587-558.58911111221000000
9486-568.38422121321100000
9385-578.07822232332110000
9284-587.77133242543110000
9183-597.36344343653110110
9082-606.95365354764211110
8981-616.34376474875211110
8880-625.73377575986321110
8779-634.92477585886321110
8678-644.01667575776321110
8577-652.91055464554211110
8476-661.7633242333111110
8375-670.8311121211100000
8274-680.3100010100000000
8173-690.1100000000000000
8072-700.0000000000000000
7971-710.0000000000000000
7870-720.000000000000000
7769-730.0000000000000
7668-740.00000
74-75No0
8-73No
Total:0.7%3.70.80.80.60.90.61.00.90.70.30.20.10.10.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 2 Braves 8 +0.6
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets vs Braves-0.5+0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
105-150100
10496-46955
10395-479810
10294-48973
10193-49955
10092-509190
9991-51851410
9890-52791920
9789-537026300
9688-5459337100
9587-55463913200
9486-5632412151000
9385-572037281130000
9284-581029331972000000
9183-5941830271451000000
9082-6018212923124100100
8981-610311222721103102000
8880-6201411212520103050000
8779-6300131019241992112000
8678-640001381722176186100000
8577-65000026141912231561000000
8476-660001512151823167200000
8375-670001411819241810310000
8274-680001528182422136200000
8173-690001026142224189310000
8072-7000000141018242213620000
7971-7100000002614222418931000
7870-7200000000141119242113510000
7769-730000013816242316720000
7668-7400000002614232518931000
7567-750000001512222620103100
7466-7600000141222262110300
7365-7700001412232721920
7264-780000151425281971
7163-79000016172928153
7062-800000292333257
6961-810001415323415
6860-8200018254025
6759-830004184136
6658-840002113849
6557-8500163261
6456-860032671
6355-8700021979
6254-88011486
6153-8900990
6052-9000694
5951-910496
5850-920397
5749-930199
5648-940199
5547-95199
5446-960100
5345-97199
8-52100
Total:001111122223333444455556666554