New York Mets Playoff Chances

Lost to Yankees 3-5, playoff odds down 0.004 to 0.01%
53-65   .449

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals 3 Mets 2 -0.1
-0.1
Rockies 5 Reds 3 -0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals 11 Mets 4 -0.1
-0.1
Rockies 1 Reds 8 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9744-0In850150200,787
9239-5In2550254
9138-689.1%1146331146
9037-782.743235317196
8936-869.42214523011,197
8835-949.71164246405,803
8734-1030.8012285811025,742
8633-1115.50011458252098,214
8532-126.10006464080333,695
8431-131.80002285019101,013,361
8330-140.40000134834302,759,480
8229-150.10000536491006,773,021
8128-160.00012155221015,038,771
8027-170.00001049364030,254,818
7926-180.000033649110055,311,701
7825-190.000012255220092,022,503
7724-200.000011523610139,517,854
7623-210.000044250400192,919,121
7522-220.000128601000243,441,838
7421-23Out00166221100280,392,806
7320-24Out0085535300294,658,713
7219-25Out034148800282,431,522
7118-26Out01255517200246,684,918
7017-27Out00125230500196,115,187
6916-28Out00539421300141,645,282
6815-29Out012346272092,764,122
6714-30Out001140427054,909,126
6613-31Out004265316129,303,122
6512-32Out01135330314,021,877
6411-33Out005424495,995,989
6310-34Out012652202,278,978
629-35Out00145036763,295
618-36Out064054222,717
607-37Out2277156,040
596-38Out1178312,189
585-39Out07932,049
574-40Out298308
55-56Out10041*
530-44Out0100200,787
Total:0.0%0000014163627114102,422,177,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCubsCardinalsBrewersMarlinsPiratesPadresGiants
9744-00.9%8559000
9239-5No255025
9138-6No1137392
9037-7No73639111
8936-80.532935110
8835-90.222224010000
8734-100.1114150000000
8633-110.110780000000
8532-120.000330000000
8431-130.000110000000
8330-140.00000000000
8229-150.00000000
8128-160.000000
8027-170.00000
7926-180.000
7825-190.000
75-770.00
53-74No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals 3 Mets 2 +0.3
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals 11 Mets 4 +0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9744-0285714100
9239-5255025
9138-629352813211
9037-75183619517
8936-801924279301
8835-900212211414640
8734-100031214257121
8633-11004835526300
8532-1200132404112100
8431-13001120432771000
8330-140000628362171000
8229-1500011027312182000
8128-160002102330231030000
8027-170000282029251230000
7926-180000016172927154100
7825-19000015162929164000
7724-20000014153031153000
7623-21000014173431122000
7522-220000152138287100
7421-230001828391940000
7320-240002143734122000
7219-25000042339267100
7118-26000193037184000
7017-27000315353212200
6916-2800052337268100
6815-2900110293720300
6714-3000031536351010
6613-31000524442330
6512-32001113937111
6411-330032644233
6310-3400113393810
629-35005274622
618-3601144540
607-37063559
596-38022475
585-3911188
574-40496
55-56100
530-440100
Total:000000000000011235813171614963100