New York Mets Playoff Chances

Lost to Diamondbacks 3-7, playoff odds down 1.5 to 3.8%
16-21   .432

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 -0.9
-0.2
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.1
Giants 8 Dodgers 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks vs Mets-0.7+0.9
-0.2+0.2
Twins vs Rockies+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Nationals+0.1-0.1
Padres vs Brewers+0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Dodgers+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-141In100145,079*
10589-36In98252
10488-37In9711205
10387-38In9712502
10286-39In94331,207
10185-40In92342,928
10084-41In8760706,927
9983-42In818011014,868
9882-43In7313014031,856
9781-44100.0%63171190066,262
9680-45100.0522112500131,454
9579-46100.0402523110253,066
9478-4799.92928437200470,633
9377-4899.81828643400847,117
9276-4999.5102694781001,475,892
9175-5098.55211147141002,483,305
9074-5196.121513442240004,039,509
8973-5291.119133731810006,361,259
8872-5382.0051228371620009,705,375
8771-5468.20210183825610014,317,281
8670-5550.701810333413200020,467,543
8569-5632.80054233823610028,307,733
8468-5718.0003213343313200037,921,034
8367-588.3002062438246000049,187,442
8266-593.2010214343413200061,811,095
8165-601.1010162539235000075,199,060
8064-610.30000214363412100088,643,388
7963-620.10000172639224000101,164,736
7862-630.000002163733111000111,882,394
7761-640.00000172839204000119,800,077
7660-650.000000317383110100124,289,504
7559-660.0000019303719400124,883,035
7458-670.000004203829910121,548,078
7357-680.0000011132361730114,536,638
7256-690.00000522382771104,520,849
7155-70Out000213343514292,381,181
7054-71Out0017264023479,036,877
6953-72Out0003173933865,462,415
6852-73Out0011033411552,471,577
6751-74Out000525462340,707,770
6650-75Out000217473430,554,898
6549-76Out00111434522,181,656
6448-77Out0006375715,587,351
6347-78Out0003306710,578,825
6246-79Out00223766,943,025
6145-80Out00116834,408,113
6044-81Out00011882,697,798
5943-82Out008921,598,056
5842-83Out00595915,394
5741-84Out00397503,908
5640-85Out0298267,471
5539-86Out0199137,170
5438-87Out19967,559
5337-88Out010032,476
5236-89Out010014,752
5135-90Out01006,536
5034-91Out01002,804
4933-92Out01001,141
16-48Out100145,724*
Total:3.8%001124691214141311851,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersRedsCubsPhilliesBravesMarlinsPiratesGiantsPadres
106-1415.8%Yes
10589-369.6982
10488-376.899000
10387-386.09810100
10286-394.99701100000
10185-404.796111000000
10084-414.9931221100000
9983-425.58932211100000
9882-435.4863431111000000
9781-445.38104552211000000
9680-455.07506662211100000
9579-464.86807873321100000
9478-474.561091093422100000
9377-484.35301011114432100000
9276-494.04501213135532100000
9175-503.73701315145642100000
9074-513.43001416156643100000
8973-523.02301516156643200000
8872-532.61701416156643100000
8771-542.11201213125532100000
8670-551.68091094432100000
8569-561.0606762221100000
8468-570.6303431111000000
8367-580.3201210100000000
8266-590.1100100000000000
8165-600.0100000000000000
8064-610.0000000000000000
7963-620.0000000000000000
7862-630.0000000000000000
7761-640.000000000000
7660-650.0000000
7559-660.0000
72-740.00
16-71No
Total:0.1%0.90.00.60.70.70.20.30.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 +0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Diamondbacks vs Mets+0.4-0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
107-141100
10690-35973
10589-369010
10488-379450
10387-3889111
10286-3982161
10185-4076222
10084-41672940
9983-425735810
9882-43454013200
9781-4432432040000
9680-4522412891000
9579-461334331641000
9478-4762435249200000
9377-48314303017510000
9276-4917213125123000100
9175-5002112430218200100
9074-51014142627176104000
8973-520016162625134181000
8872-5300027172521921520000
8771-5400002716211662471000
8670-5500002714171130154100000
8569-560000261213282511310000
8468-5700001511172822113100000
8367-580000177192622124100000
8266-590000328182523146200000
8165-600001027162424167200000
8064-6100000161423251893100000
7963-62000000141221252011410000
7862-63000000131019262213510000
7761-64000000013818252414610000
7660-650000002717252515620000
7559-6600000002716252516620000
7458-670000000271626261661000
7357-6800000027172626155100
7256-690000002819282514410
7155-7000000392129241120
7054-710000131225302171
6953-72000015163030153
6852-730000292335256
6751-740001415333513
6650-75000018274122
6549-7600004194334
6448-770002124047
6347-78000163459
6246-7900032770
6145-8000022079
6044-810011485
5943-8200990
5842-8300694
5741-840496
5640-850298
5539-860199
5438-87199
5337-880100
5236-890100
5135-900100
5034-910100
16-49100
Total:000000111122233445566777776653