Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.007 to 40%

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Marlins vs Pirates	+3.0-3.0		+0.3-0.3		+0.3-0.3
Rangers vs Cubs	+0.2-0.2
Mets vs Brewers	-0.1+0.1
Reds vs Nationals	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

108	-162				In		100															89,796	*
107		107	-	55	In		100			0												12,810
106		106	-	56	In		100	0														24,486
105		105	-	57	In		100	0		0												44,757
104		104	-	58	In		100	0		0												81,781
103		103	-	59	In		100	0		0												143,498
102		102	-	60	In		100	0	0	0												246,810
101		101	-	61	In		99	1	0	0												413,620
100		100	-	62	In		99	1	0	0	0											670,329
99		99	-	63	In		98	2	0	0	0											1,063,283
98		98	-	64	In		96	3	0	1	0											1,646,992
97		97	-	65	In		94	4	0	1	0											2,480,526
96		96	-	66	In		91	7	0	2	0	0										3,640,555
95		95	-	67	In		86	10	0	3	0	0										5,217,873
94		94	-	68	In		79	15	1	5	0	0										7,282,371
93		93	-	69	100.0	%	70	20	1	8	0	0	0									9,918,662
92		92	-	70	100.0		59	27	2	12	1	0	0	0								13,168,608
91		91	-	71	100.0		46	32	4	16	1	0	0	0								17,070,917
90		90	-	72	100.0		33	36	7	21	3	0	0	0	0							21,562,835
89		89	-	73	100.0		21	36	12	26	6	1	0	0	0	0						26,575,697
88		88	-	74	99.9		11	31	16	29	11	2	0	0	0	0	0					31,954,859
87		87	-	75	99.4		5	24	20	28	18	4	1	0	0	0	0					37,494,186
86		86	-	76	97.5		2	15	22	24	25	10	2	0	0	0	0	0				42,910,935
85		85	-	77	91.9		0	8	20	17	28	19	7	1	0	0	0	0	0			47,930,519
84		84	-	78	79.1		0	3	17	9	24	26	15	5	1	0	0	0	0	0		52,223,212
83		83	-	79	58.2		0	1	12	3	15	26	24	13	4	1	0	0	0	0		55,545,986
82		82	-	80	34.1		0	0	8	1	7	19	27	23	11	3	1	0	0	0		57,624,632
81		81	-	81	15.4		0	0	4	0	2	9	21	28	22	11	3	1	0	0	0	58,338,986
80		80	-	82	5.4			0	2	0	0	3	11	22	28	21	10	3	0	0	0	57,615,298
79		79	-	83	1.6			0	1	0	0	1	4	12	24	28	20	9	2	0	0	55,530,494
78		78	-	84	0.5			0	0	0	0	0	1	4	14	26	28	19	7	1	0	52,221,507
77		77	-	85	0.2			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	16	28	28	16	4	0	47,919,619
76		76	-	86	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	20	31	26	11	2	42,913,354
75		75	-	87	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	3	11	26	34	21	5	37,497,440
74		74	-	88	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	1	5	17	34	32	11	31,966,812
73		73	-	89	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	0	2	9	28	40	21	26,581,907
72		72	-	90	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	0	4	20	42	33	21,562,421
71		71	-	91	0.0				0					0	0	0	0	2	12	40	46	17,067,417
70		70	-	92	0.0				0					0	0	0	0	1	7	34	59	13,170,665
69		69	-	93	Out											0	0	0	3	26	70	9,919,923
68		68	-	94	Out										0	0	0	0	2	19	79	7,283,585
67		67	-	95	Out											0	0	0	1	13	86	5,214,752
66		66	-	96	Out												0	0	0	9	91	3,637,451
65		65	-	97	Out													0	0	6	94	2,481,178
64		64	-	98	Out													0	0	3	96	1,643,397
63		63	-	99	Out														0	2	98	1,062,726
62		62	-	100	Out														0	1	99	670,214
61		61	-	101	Out														0	1	99	412,367
60		60	-	102	Out															0	100	247,199
59		59	-	103	Out															0	100	143,349
58		58	-	104	Out															0	100	81,464
57		57	-	105	Out															0	100	45,108
56		56	-	106	Out															0	100	24,414
55		55	-	107	Out															0	100	12,586
54		54	-	108	Out															0	100	6,499
0	-53				Out																100	83,233	*

Total:					40.0	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	932,395,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Giants	Rockies	Diamondbacks	Nationals	Braves	Brewers	Phillies	Pirates	Reds	Cubs	Cardinals	Mets	Padres	Dodgers

108	-162				12.4	%	Yes
107		107	-	55	12.2		100						0
106		106	-	56	12.4		Yes
105		105	-	57	12.5		100	0			0			0		0		0		0
104		104	-	58	12.6		100	0	0		0	0		0				0	0	0
103		103	-	59	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0
102		102	-	60	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		101	-	61	12.4		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		100	-	62	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		99	-	63	12.4		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		98	-	64	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		97	-	65	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		96	-	66	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		95	-	67	12.3		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
94		94	-	68	12.1		95	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
93		93	-	69	12.0		92	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
92		92	-	70	11.8		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
91		91	-	71	11.4		83	1	1	1	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	2	1	1
90		90	-	72	11.0		76	1	1	1	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	2	1	1
89		89	-	73	10.5		68	2	2	2	3	3	2	3	2	2	2	2	3	2	2
88		88	-	74	9.8		59	2	2	2	4	4	2	4	2	2	2	2	4	2	2
87		87	-	75	9.0		49	3	3	3	4	4	3	4	3	3	3	3	4	3	3
86		86	-	76	7.9		39	3	3	3	4	4	3	4	3	3	3	3	4	3	3
85		85	-	77	6.4		29	3	3	3	4	4	3	4	3	3	3	3	4	3	3
84		84	-	78	4.6		20	2	2	2	3	3	2	3	2	2	2	2	3	2	2
83		83	-	79	2.8		13	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
82		82	-	80	1.5		8	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
81		81	-	81	0.7		4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		80	-	82	0.3		2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		79	-	83	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		78	-	84	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		77	-	85	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
76		76	-	86	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
75		75	-	87	0.0		0	0		0	0	0		0			0			0
70	-74				0.0		0
0	-69				No

Total:					3.3	%	20.0	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.2	1.2	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.2	0.9	0.9

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs