Miami Marlins Playoff Chances

Lost to Phillies 4-7, playoff odds down 6.4 to 38.8%
10-9   .526

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies 7 Marlins 4 -3.4
-0.4
-0.3
Giants 4 Dodgers 3 +0.2
Mets 2 Braves 8 +0.2
Diamondbacks 5 Padres 8 +0.2
Pirates 6 Cubs 5 +0.2
Rockies 4 Nationals 11 -0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies vs Marlins-3.3+3.3
-0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.3
Diamondbacks vs Padres-0.2+0.2
Giants vs Dodgers+0.2-0.2
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1
Mets vs Braves-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs Nationals+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-153In1005,324*
10797-46In1000925
10696-47In10001,785
10595-48In100003,507
10494-49In100006,600
10393-50In990011,883
10292-51In991120,760
10191-52In97201034,873
10090-53In96201057,769
9989-54In94402093,311
9888-55In906040144,701
9787-56In859060219,440
9686-57In7813080322,599
9585-58100.0%691811200459,359
9484-59100.0592321600638,014
9383-60100.04728321100859,991
9282-61100.035315272001,126,510
9181-6299.9233283340001,434,352
9080-6399.51429123880001,773,566
8979-6498.472315401420002,135,339
8878-6595.531616382240002,499,415
8777-6688.91101632301010002,845,520
8676-6776.70514233519400003,151,488
8575-6858.602111333291120003,389,931
8474-6937.40176243421610003,547,544
8373-7019.1004213303115400003,614,267
8272-717.502052033271120003,574,865
8171-722.301019253322710003,439,469
8070-730.6000031329321751003,226,867
7969-740.20000151832291330002,933,569
7868-750.000001823342481002,603,474
7767-760.000002122833195102,239,570
7666-770.000001518332912201,874,202
7565-780.0000019253523611,531,237
7464-79Out00031532321421,211,487
7363-80Out000182537245933,993
7262-81Out0000316363411699,460
7161-82Out0019294119509,807
7060-83Out0004214430360,830
6959-84Out0002144342248,005
6858-85Out00183853166,107
6757-86Out00043164107,425
6656-87Out002247467,714
6555-88Out01188141,768
6454-89Out01138724,863
6353-90Out099114,061
6252-91Out06948,203
6151-92Out05954,366
6050-93Out3972,340
5949-94Out1991,245
5848-95Out199625
5747-96Out199294
10-56Out1004,721*
Total:38.8%66511111099876543154,229,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDiamondbacksCubsRockiesBrewersPhilliesDodgersRedsCardinalsMetsPiratesBravesGiantsPadres
107-15313.1%Yes
10696-4712.710000
10595-4812.31000000
10494-4911.91000000000
10393-5012.210000000000000
10292-5112.39900000000000000
10191-5212.19900000000000000
10090-5312.09900000000000000
9989-5411.79800000000000000
9888-5511.79601010100000000
9787-5611.69401111110000000
9686-5711.49201111210000000
9585-5811.18812121211000000
9484-5910.98412122321110000
9383-6010.57813232421110000
9282-6110.17124343531110110
9181-629.66335353642121110
9080-639.15446464852121110
8979-648.54557575963221110
8878-657.73658586973231110
8777-666.82758696973231111
8676-675.61957586863221111
8575-684.21346475653221110
8474-692.6824343432111110
8373-701.4412121221110000
8272-710.6201011110000000
8171-720.2100000000000000
8070-730.1000000000000000
7969-740.0000000000000000
7868-750.0000000000000000
7767-760.00000000000
7666-770.000000
7565-780.00
10-74No
Total:3.3%17.21.82.71.93.12.13.32.41.10.80.90.40.50.40.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 7 Marlins 4 +0.6
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies vs Marlins+0.6-0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
108-153100
10797-461000
10696-47991
10595-48991
10494-499910
10393-509730
10292-519640
10191-5293700
10090-53901000
9989-548415100
9888-557721200
9787-566728400
9686-5756358100
9585-5843401430000
9484-59304122610000
9383-60183629133000000
9282-61927332182000000
9181-6241629281661000000
9080-6318202824134100000
8979-640210212722124102000
8878-6501310202621113040000
8777-66001310192420102920000
8676-67000138172319716610000
8575-68000026152114211451000000
8474-6900001514171722156200000
8373-700001513819231893100000
8272-7100016281724211352000000
8171-720002026142224179310000
8070-7300100141019242113520000
7969-74000000002715222417931000
7868-75000000141120242112510000
7767-7600000013817242315720000
7666-770000000261423241893100
7565-780000001513222520103100
7464-790000141222262010300
7363-8000001412232720920
7262-810000151425281971
7161-820000016172928153
7060-83000292333257
6959-840001415313415
6858-8500018254025
6757-86004184136
6656-87002113849
6555-880173360
6454-89032670
6353-90022079
6252-91011485
6151-9201089
6050-930693
5949-94496
5848-95397
5747-96298
5646-97298
10-55100
Total:334444444455444444433332222111