Miami Marlins Playoff Chances

Lost to Astros 2-7, playoff odds down 1 to 1.8%
14-23   .378

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marlins 2 Astros 7 -0.5
-0.2
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marlins vs Astros+0.4-0.3
+0.2-0.2
Twins vs Rockies+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Nationals+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
104-139In100145,078*
10389-36In971176
10288-37In9424205
10187-38In9244483
10086-39In886051,258
9985-40In849082,886
9884-41In751301206,545
9783-42100.0%67171150014,763
9682-43In5622121031,522
9581-44100.044262271065,271
9480-45100.0322943320128,657
9379-4699.92130639400248,798
9278-4799.612289437000462,898
9177-4898.7623124513100831,290
9076-4996.731714432030001,445,704
8975-5092.2111153729710002,439,564
8874-5183.806142836142003,969,340
8773-5270.6031219382451006,256,114
8672-5353.30191033331220009,553,191
8571-5435.10065243722500014,113,220
8470-5519.6004214343212200020,174,715
8369-569.102062537235000027,958,630
8268-573.6010215353312200037,492,355
8167-581.201017253823500048,691,475
8066-590.40000215353312200061,247,012
7965-600.100017263923500074,626,260
7864-610.00000215363312200088,054,729
7763-620.0000172739225000100,651,753
7662-630.00000316363211200111,456,901
7561-640.0000018283821500119,536,650
7460-650.0000031837311010124,163,171
7359-660.000001930371940124,914,581
7258-67Out000420382981121,730,841
7157-68Out0001113337162114,889,318
7056-69Out00062441254104,982,336
6955-70Out0002163935992,916,416
6854-71Out001933431579,602,569
6753-72Out000425472466,020,085
6652-73Out000217473452,999,061
6551-74Out00110444541,181,841
6450-75Out0006385630,954,520
6349-76Out0003316622,515,220
6248-77Out002247515,837,908
6147-78Out001178210,764,943
6046-79Out0012877,082,044
5945-80Out008924,504,867
5844-81Out005952,766,444
5743-82Out03971,637,175
5642-83Out0298938,969
5541-84Out0199517,788
5440-85Out0199276,102
5339-86Out0100141,847
5238-87Out010070,464
5137-88Out010033,621
5036-89Out010015,631
4935-90Out01006,878
14-48Out100149,877*
Total:1.8%000012469121415151391,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersRedsCubsPhilliesMetsBravesPiratesGiantsPadres
104-1395.8%Yes
10389-363.9991
10288-377.89600101
10187-387.0961110000
10086-395.695111010000
9985-405.59212211100000
9884-415.48823311100000
9783-425.0854441111000000
9682-435.27905552211000000
9581-444.97306772221000000
9480-454.76608883321100000
9379-464.3570910104422100000
9278-474.15001112124532100000
9177-483.84101214135532110000
9076-493.53401415145643110000
8975-503.12601416156643110000
8874-512.72001415146643110000
8773-522.21401213135542110000
8672-531.6100910104432100000
8571-541.1706762321100000
8470-550.6403431111000000
8369-560.3201221100000000
8268-570.1100110000000000
8167-580.0100000000000000
8066-590.0000000000000000
7965-600.0000000000000000
7864-610.0000000000000000
7763-620.000000000000
7662-630.0000000
7561-640.000
73-740.00
14-72No
Total:0.1%0.50.00.30.30.30.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins 2 Astros 7 +0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins vs Astros-0.5+0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
104-139100
10389-36919
10288-3776222
10187-38712630
10086-39623251
9985-405437800
9884-4142421420
9783-423244204000
9682-432140289100
9581-441234331641000
9480-45624352492000
9379-46315303017510000
9278-4717213125113000000
9177-4803112529208200100
9076-49014142627176103000
8975-50001616262513417100
8874-51000271725211021420000
8773-5200027162217623610000
8672-530000271518112914310000
8571-540000261314272411310000
8470-5500001612172721104100000
8369-560000277192621124100000
8268-570000328182523146200000
8167-580001027162424168200000
8066-5900000151322251910310000
7965-60000001411202521124100000
7864-6100000013919252314510000
7763-62000000002817252415620000
7662-6300000002716252517720000
7561-640000002615252617720000
7460-650000000161525261772000
7359-6600000016162626176100
7258-670000002717272615510
7157-680000282029251230
7056-690000031124312271
6955-70000015163031153
6854-710000282335266
6753-720000315333513
6652-73000018274222
6551-7400004194433
6450-7500001124146
6349-7600173558
6248-7700032868
6147-7800022177
6046-790011584
5945-80001089
5844-8100793
5743-8200496
5642-8300397
5541-840298
5440-850199
5339-86199
5238-870100
5137-880100
5036-890100
4935-900100
4834-910100
4733-920100
14-46100
Total:000000000111122234455677889986