Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Lost to Mariners 5-6, playoff odds down 0.1 to 0.1%
55-68   .447

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rockies 5 Reds 3 -0.7
Nationals 3 Mets 2 -0.6
-0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Braves 4 Astros 16 -2.3
-0.3
-0.3
Rockies 1 Reds 8 +0.6
Nationals 11 Mets 4 -0.6
-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9439-0In0840150664,171
9237-2In604015
9136-3In421534126
9035-499.7%282541601,234
8934-598.5172542628,388
8833-694.88244415047,754
8732-786.43230511300226,333
8631-871.21117522720902,801
8530-949.801742427003,106,296
8429-1027.30022549213009,300,365
8328-1110.8000104037111024,499,520
8227-122.8000322452640057,116,525
8126-130.500008354214100118,535,824
8025-140.00002184530600220,028,798
7924-150.000006334317100366,538,283
7823-160.00001174434400549,671,556
7722-170.000006324813100743,511,455
7621-180.00001175027400908,587,095
7520-190.0000063940131001,004,141,350
7419-20Out0022344274001,004,236,061
7318-21Out0001036421210908,655,882
7217-22Out00322472530743,547,695
7116-23Out00110404080549,679,127
7015-24Out0032649191366,560,949
6914-25Out0011347345220,014,485
6813-26Out005364613118,545,645
6712-27Out00222512557,111,266
6611-28Out0011474124,495,858
6510-29Out00537599,301,432
649-30Out0224743,102,536
638-31Out001485902,497
627-32Out0793226,508
616-33Out039748,381
605-34Out01998,492
594-35Out1991,235
583-36Out199138
56-57Out10013*
550-39Out0100664,171
Total:0.1%000001251223221911418,013,990,260

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersNationalsRockiesDiamondbacksCubsBrewersCardinalsMarlinsPiratesPadresMetsRedsGiantsPhillies
9439-011.5%84690000000
9237-220.0602020
9136-37.143253011
9035-47.5290303711100
8934-57.01834421110000
8833-66.5100036441110000
8732-75.850035421110000
8631-84.62003035111000000
8530-93.21002124111000000
8429-101.700012130100000000
8328-110.700055000000000
8227-120.200011000000000
8126-130.000000000000000
8025-140.000000000000000
7924-150.000000000000
7823-160.00000
7722-170.0000
75-760.00
55-74No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 4 Astros 16 +0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9439-00246114100
9237-274053
9136-312245266
9035-4010343616300
8934-5031937289102
8833-61624342271050
8732-70019242917511300
8631-800292024143272000
8530-900016151894091000
8429-1000014111237249200000
8328-1100003818292413410000
8227-1200003314252718820000
8126-13000002819272413510000
8025-14000001413242719820000
7924-15000000292028241241000
7823-16000001516282816510000
7722-1700000141328311851000
7621-1800000031229331851000
7520-190000031330321741000
7419-20000031531311640000
7318-2100004173230143000
7217-220001620342811100
7116-2300017233626610
7015-2400021028381830
6914-2500003153633121
6813-2600052440265
6712-27000111343915
6611-280004214530
6510-29001104049
649-3000042868
638-31011782
627-3200991
616-330496
605-340298
594-35199
583-36199
56-57100
550-390100
Total:00000000000001122357101213131196310