Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances

Beat Blue Jays 10-6, playoff odds up 0.7 to 1.9%
14-21   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays 6 Braves 10 +0.3
+0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.4+0.4
-0.2+0.2
Twins vs Rockies+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Nationals+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
105-141In100145,051*
10490-37In97339
10389-38In991115
10288-39In9712277
10187-40In9154696
10086-41In8770601,653
9985-42In82100803,766
9884-43In751301108,264
9783-44100.0%66171160017,843
9682-45In5423121037,061
9581-46100.043273271076,249
9480-47100.0313053320148,454
9379-4899.820307394000282,465
9278-4999.5122710437000519,141
9177-5098.6622134513100921,969
9076-5196.42161442213001,585,400
8975-5291.711015362981002,641,258
8874-5382.9061427361520004,256,125
8773-5469.3031218372461006,650,185
8672-5552.001910323313200010,057,423
8571-5633.90064233723610014,739,730
8470-5718.8004213343213200020,935,436
8369-588.702062537236000028,785,439
8268-593.4010214343413200038,377,115
8167-601.201016253923500049,562,218
8066-610.40000214353413200062,025,315
7965-620.1000016263923500075,238,720
7864-630.00000215363312200088,458,078
7763-640.00000172739225000100,747,117
7662-650.00000316363211200111,232,677
7561-660.0000018283821500119,002,287
7460-670.0000031837311010123,409,070
7359-680.000001930371940123,971,907
7258-690.00000420382981120,675,365
7157-70Out0001113337162113,845,655
7056-71Out00062441254104,023,936
6955-72Out0002153935992,067,456
6854-73Out0001932431578,930,712
6753-74Out000424472465,534,088
6652-75Out000216473452,707,453
6551-76Out00110444541,013,643
6450-77Out0006385630,904,367
6349-78Out0003306622,524,461
6248-79Out001237515,894,920
6147-80Out001178210,843,166
6046-81Out00012887,150,576
5945-82Out008924,561,178
5844-83Out005952,813,523
5743-84Out03971,673,328
5642-85Out0298964,049
5541-86Out0199535,465
5440-87Out199287,237
5339-88Out0100149,044
5238-89Out010073,765
5137-90Out010035,670
5036-91Out010016,744
4935-92Out01007,295
4834-93Out1003,105
4733-94Out01001,324
14-46Out100145,792*
Total:1.9%000012469121415151391,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersRedsCubsPhilliesMetsMarlinsPiratesGiantsPadres
103-1415.1%Yes
10288-395.4981000
10187-404.09612100
10086-415.39411111000
9985-424.592222111000
9884-434.68933311100000
9783-444.58403442211000000
9682-454.2790555221100000
9581-464.37206762321000000
9480-474.06507883421100000
9379-483.8570910104432100000
9278-493.64901112115532100000
9177-503.34101214135642100000
9076-513.03301315146643110000
8975-522.72601416146743110000
8874-532.32001315146643110000
8773-541.91401113125542110000
8672-551.410091094432100000
8571-560.9606762321100000
8470-570.5403431111000000
8369-580.3201211100000000
8268-590.1100100000000000
8167-600.0100000000000000
8066-610.0000000000000000
7965-620.0000000000000000
7864-630.000000000000000
7763-640.00000000000
7662-650.000000
7561-660.0000
72-740.00
14-71No
Total:0.1%0.50.00.30.30.30.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays 6 Braves 10 -0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.4-0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
106-141100
10591-36919
10490-379083
10389-389541
10288-3984141
10187-40722520
10086-41623261
9985-425437910
9884-43414115200
9783-443043215100
9682-4519402910200
9581-461133341741000
9480-476233525920000
9379-482132931176100000
9278-4916203126123000000
9177-5002102430219200100
9076-51014142628176103000
8975-52001616262514418100
8874-5300027172521102152000
8773-540002716221662361000
8672-55000271418113014410000
8571-560000261214282411310000
8470-5700001612182821103100000
8369-580000277202621124100000
8268-590000328182522145100000
8167-600001027162424167200000
8066-6100000026142325189310000
7965-62000000141221252011410000
7864-63000000131019252213510000
7763-64000000013818252415610000
7662-650000002716252516720000
7561-6600000002616252517720000
7460-67000000261525261772000
7359-68000000026162626166100
7258-690000002718272615510
7157-7000000292029251130
7056-710000131125312171
6955-72000015163031153
6854-730000282335256
6753-7400000415333513
6652-7500018274222
6551-7600004194433
6450-770002124145
6349-7800173657
6248-7900042968
6147-8000022277
6046-810011684
5945-820001189
5844-8300793
5743-8400495
5642-850397
5541-860298
5440-870199
5339-88199
5238-890100
5137-900100
5036-910100
4935-920100
4834-930100
4733-940100
14-46100
Total:000000000111122334455677889886