St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 33.3%

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona vs St. Louis	-2.4+3.2		-0.3+0.3		-0.3+0.4
Cincinnati vs Angels	-0.2+0.3		-0.0+0.1
Milwaukee vs Colorado	-0.1+0.2

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona vs St. Louis	-2.4+3.2		-0.3+0.3		-0.3+0.4
Milwaukee vs Colorado	-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

108	-162				In		100															8,659	*
107		107	-	55	In		100			0												1,107
106		106	-	56	In		100	0														2,115
105		105	-	57	In		100	0		0												3,881
104		104	-	58	In		100	0		0												7,216
103		103	-	59	In		100	0		0												12,728
102		102	-	60	In		100	0		0												22,188
101		101	-	61	In		99	1		0												37,376
100		100	-	62	In		99	1	0	0												61,349
99		99	-	63	In		98	1	0	0												98,223
98		98	-	64	In		97	3	0	1	0											153,135
97		97	-	65	In		95	4	0	1	0											232,252
96		96	-	66	In		92	6	0	2	0											342,434
95		95	-	67	100.0	%	87	10	0	3	0	0										494,945
94		94	-	68	100.0		81	14	0	4	0	0	0									696,913
93		93	-	69	100.0		72	20	1	6	0	0	0									953,318
92		92	-	70	100.0		61	26	2	10	0	0	0									1,274,451
91		91	-	71	100.0		49	33	4	14	1	0	0	0								1,659,750
90		90	-	72	99.9		35	37	7	19	2	0	0	0	0							2,107,455
89		89	-	73	99.7		22	37	12	24	4	0	0	0	0	0						2,607,217
88		88	-	74	99.0		12	33	17	29	9	1	0	0	0	0						3,148,262
87		87	-	75	96.6		5	25	21	30	16	3	0	0	0	0	0					3,705,849
86		86	-	76	90.2		2	15	23	26	24	8	1	0	0	0	0					4,252,154
85		85	-	77	76.5		0	7	22	18	30	18	5	1	0	0	0	0	0			4,761,807
84		84	-	78	54.9		0	3	17	9	26	28	14	3	0	0	0	0	0			5,195,611
83		83	-	79	30.9		0	1	11	3	16	29	25	11	3	0	0	0	0			5,533,930
82		82	-	80	13.3		0	0	7	1	6	20	30	24	10	2	0	0	0	0		5,745,404
81		81	-	81	4.7			0	3	0	1	8	22	31	23	9	2	0	0	0		5,814,274
80		80	-	82	1.6			0	1	0	0	2	9	23	31	22	9	2	0	0	0	5,744,544
79		79	-	83	0.6			0	1	0	0	0	2	11	25	31	21	8	1	0	0	5,535,599
78		78	-	84	0.2				0	0	0	0	0	3	12	27	31	19	6	1	0	5,194,757
77		77	-	85	0.1				0	0	0	0	0	1	4	15	30	30	16	4	0	4,765,516
76		76	-	86	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	19	33	28	11	2	4,253,688
75		75	-	87	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	2	9	26	36	22	5	3,707,500
74		74	-	88	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	0	4	16	35	34	12	3,149,057
73		73	-	89	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	1	8	27	42	22	2,604,724
72		72	-	90	Out								0	0	0	0	0	3	18	43	35	2,105,323
71		71	-	91	Out									0	0	0	0	1	11	40	49	1,660,185
70		70	-	92	Out										0	0	0	0	6	33	61	1,274,591
69		69	-	93	Out											0	0	0	3	25	72	952,329
68		68	-	94	Out											0	0	0	1	18	81	695,897
67		67	-	95	Out												0	0	1	12	87	494,994
66		66	-	96	Out													0	0	8	92	344,431
65		65	-	97	Out													0	0	5	95	232,346
64		64	-	98	Out													0	0	3	97	153,052
63		63	-	99	Out													0	0	2	98	98,115
62		62	-	100	Out														0	1	99	61,301
61		61	-	101	Out															1	99	37,329
60		60	-	102	Out															0	100	22,210
59		59	-	103	Out														0	0	100	12,516
58		58	-	104	Out															0	100	7,281
57		57	-	105	Out															0	100	3,981
56		56	-	106	Out															0	100	2,209
0	-55				Out																100	9,842	*

Total:					33.3	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	92,057,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Mets	Colorado	Dodgers	Miami	Cubs	Atlanta	Milwaukee	Arizona	Cincinnati	Washington	San Diego	Pittsburgh	Phillies	Giants

108	-162				13.3	%	Yes
107		107	-	55	14.4		100										0
106		106	-	56	13.4		Yes
105		105	-	57	13.7		100		0
104		104	-	58	13.3		100						0	0		0
103		103	-	59	14.0		100					0	0	0		0			0		0
102		102	-	60	13.8		100		0		0	0		0	0	0			0		0
101		101	-	61	13.7		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		100	-	62	13.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		99	-	63	14.0		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		98	-	64	13.6		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		97	-	65	13.7		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		96	-	66	13.6		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		95	-	67	13.5		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
94		94	-	68	13.4		96	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
93		93	-	69	13.2		93	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0
92		92	-	70	12.8		90	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
91		91	-	71	12.4		85	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
90		90	-	72	11.8		79	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	2	1	1	2	1	1
89		89	-	73	11.1		71	2	2	2	2	3	2	3	2	3	2	2	3	2	2
88		88	-	74	10.2		62	2	2	2	2	3	2	3	2	3	2	2	3	2	2
87		87	-	75	9.1		51	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	4	3	3	4	3	3
86		86	-	76	7.8		40	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	4	3	3	4	3	3
85		85	-	77	6.1		29	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	4	3	3	4	3	3
84		84	-	78	4.2		20	2	3	3	3	3	2	3	2	3	3	2	3	3	2
83		83	-	79	2.4		12	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
82		82	-	80	1.1		7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		81	-	81	0.5		3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		80	-	82	0.2		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		79	-	83	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		78	-	84	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		77	-	85	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
76		76	-	86	0.0		0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0
75		75	-	87	0.0		0					0				0
73	-74				No		0
0	-72				No

Total:					3.3	%	20.0	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.1	0.9	1.1	0.9	1.1	0.9	0.9	1.1	0.9	0.9

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona vs St. Louis	+0.6-0.8

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona vs St. Louis	+0.6-0.8

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	-162				100
107		107	-	55	100	0
106		106	-	56	100	0
105		105	-	57	100	0
104		104	-	58	100	0
103		103	-	59	99	1
102		102	-	60	99	1	0
101		101	-	61	98	2	0
100		100	-	62	97	3	0	0
99		99	-	63	95	5	0	0
98		98	-	64	92	8	0	0
97		97	-	65	87	12	1	0	0
96		96	-	66	81	18	2	0	0	0
95		95	-	67	72	25	3	0	0	0					0
94		94	-	68	60	32	7	1	0	0	0				0	0
93		93	-	69	46	39	13	2	0	0	0	0			0	0
92		92	-	70	32	40	21	6	1	0	0	0			0	0
91		91	-	71	18	36	29	13	3	1	0	0	0		0	0	0
90		90	-	72	9	26	32	21	9	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
89		89	-	73	3	14	27	28	18	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
88		88	-	74	1	5	16	26	26	17	7	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
87		87	-	75	0	1	6	15	24	25	17	8	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
86		86	-	76	0	0	1	5	12	21	24	18	8	2	8	2	0	0	0	0	0
85		85	-	77	0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	18	7	16	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
84		84	-	78		0	0	0	0	1	5	13	20	15	19	16	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
83		83	-	79			0	0	0	0	1	3	10	17	12	21	19	11	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
82		82	-	80				0	0	0	0	0	3	10	3	11	20	22	17	9	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		81	-	81						0	0	0	0	4	0	2	7	15	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
80		80	-	82						0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	15	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
79		79	-	83							0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
78		78	-	84								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0	0	0
77		77	-	85									0	0			0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
76		76	-	86									0	0				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	11	20	24	21	12	4	1	0	0
75		75	-	87										0					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	18	25	24	15	6	1	0
74		74	-	88										0							0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	17	26	26	16	5	1
73		73	-	89										0							0		0	0	0	0	0	2	7	18	28	27	14	3
72		72	-	90																			0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9	22	32	26	9
71		71	-	91																					0	0	0	0	1	3	12	29	36	18
70		70	-	92																						0	0	0	0	1	6	21	41	31
69		69	-	93																							0	0	0	0	2	13	39	46
68		68	-	94																									0	0	1	7	32	60
67		67	-	95																									0	0	0	3	25	71
66		66	-	96																									0	0	0	2	18	81
65		65	-	97																										0	0	1	12	87
64		64	-	98																										0	0	0	8	92
63		63	-	99																												0	5	95
62		62	-	100																												0	3	97
61		61	-	101																												0	2	98
60		60	-	102																												0	1	99
59		59	-	103																												0	1	99
58		58	-	104																													0	100
57		57	-	105																													0	100
56		56	-	106																													0	100
54	-55																																	100
53		53	-	109																													0	100
0	-52																																	100

Total:					3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3