Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 38.2%
9-9   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

ThursdayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Reds vs Angels+2.9-2.9
+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Pirates vs Red Sox-0.3+0.3
Phillies vs White Sox-0.2+0.2
Braves vs Rangers-0.2+0.2
Padres vs Blue Jays-0.2+0.2
Nationals vs Astros-0.2+0.2
Cubs vs Marlins-0.2+0.2
Rockies vs Mariners-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-153In10016,840*
10798-46In1000962
10697-47In10001,994
10596-48In10003,932
10495-49In100007,853
10394-50In1000014,734
10293-51In1000027,242
10192-52In9910048,418
10091-53In9910084,073
9990-54In98101141,710
9889-55In972010231,546
9788-56In944020368,626
9687-57In9160300566,568
9586-58In869050848,594
9485-59In791307001,238,549
9384-60In7018111001,755,010
9283-61100.0%59242151002,410,582
9182-62100.0462832120003,227,097
9081-63100.0323152740004,199,777
8980-64100.02031832810005,320,520
8879-6599.81126123514200006,538,873
8778-6699.25191433226100007,827,279
8677-6796.921214273013300009,112,836
8576-6890.3061218322282000010,318,594
8475-6976.1029926301761000011,359,906
8374-7054.00163162927144100012,171,412
8273-7129.900317192925124100012,692,094
8172-7212.3001029212923113000012,860,866
8071-733.6010031123292210200012,685,151
7970-740.800001312242920820012,171,342
7869-750.100000141427291861011,362,162
7768-760.00000016172928144010,317,707
7667-770.00000028223225919,109,793
7566-780.000000031228341947,831,321
7465-790.0000001519353096,542,293
7364-800.0000002113139175,315,381
7263-81Out000152343284,200,431
7162-82Out000021542403,223,670
7061-83Out0001938532,413,740
6960-84Out000531641,752,484
6859-85Out00224741,240,442
6758-86Out0011782848,857
6657-87Out0001287567,392
6556-88Out00892366,805
6455-89Out0595231,218
6354-90Out0397141,692
6253-91Out029884,122
6152-92Out019948,368
6051-93Out19927,033
5950-94Out010014,644
5849-95Out01007,902
5748-96Out01003,891
53-56Out1003,649*
5243-101Out19988
9-51Out10016,135*
Total:38.2%654888877777765193,924,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBravesBrewersCubsDodgersPhilliesPiratesMetsPadresCardinalsDiamondbacksGiantsNationalsRockiesMarlins
108-15312.5%Yes
10798-4612.21000
105-10612.1Yes
10495-4912.5100000
10394-5012.310000000
10293-5112.610000000000000
10192-5212.61000000000000000
10091-5312.710000000000000000
9990-5412.49900000000000000
9889-5512.59900000000000000
9788-5612.49800000000000000
9687-5712.49700000000000000
9586-5812.29501100100000000
9485-5912.09311101110100000
9384-6011.88912211111100100
9283-6111.58412211211211100
9182-6211.17723312321211100
9081-6310.56934422421311201
8980-649.95946523532422211
8879-659.14947634642422311
8778-668.23857735743522311
8677-677.02757735653523311
8576-685.41856634543422311
8475-693.61134423432322211
8374-702.0622212221111100
8273-710.9311101110100000
8172-720.3100000000000000
8071-730.1100000000000000
7970-740.0000000000000000
7869-750.0000000000000000
7768-760.000000000000000
7667-770.000000000
7566-780.000
73-740.00
9-72No
Total:2.8%14.91.51.91.90.91.31.81.30.91.30.70.70.90.30.3
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs