Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.0007 to 0.02%
53-72   .424

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rockies 5 Reds 3 -1.0
-0.1
-0.3
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 -0.3
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rockies 1 Reds 8 +0.8
+0.1
+0.3
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 -0.2
Cubs 5 Rays 6 +0.1
Cardinals 2 Marlins 5 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9037-0100.0%892000664,012
88-89In10041*
8734-398.50883710402
8633-492.0078311804,085
8532-579.0061216192025,968
8431-656.904111534810137,628
8330-731.00210104323400606,967
8229-811.50704353913102,266,339
8128-92.52011843307007,288,441
8027-100.3000529432120020,367,644
7926-110.00001123840910049,956,899
7825-120.00003214725400108,153,500
7724-130.00007364014200207,826,689
7623-14Out002184330700356,123,512
7522-15Out006314119200545,861,990
7421-16Out001154034900750,334,890
7320-17Out000527442210926,739,643
7219-18Out001144239401,029,696,696
7118-19Out000530531201,029,625,587
7017-20Out0011658241926,745,949
6916-21Out000751394750,349,019
6815-22Out00238519545,855,485
6714-23Out000245817356,101,617
6613-24Out00135729207,839,853
6512-25Out0065043108,159,068
6411-26Out03395849,961,331
6310-27Out01287120,383,782
629-28Out0018817,290,617
618-29Out011892,264,700
607-30Out0694606,151
596-31Out0397137,819
585-32Out19925,989
574-33Out1993,866
563-34Out0100494
54-55Out10035*
530-37Out0100664,012
Total:0.0%0000001381422311748,012,070,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersNationalsRockiesDiamondbacksCubsBrewersCardinalsMarlinsPiratesBravesPadresMetsGiants
9037-012.5%100000000
88-899.8Yes
8734-39.589450
8633-411.17807600000
8532-58.661108000000
8431-66.14100970000000
8330-73.321006400000000
8229-81.27002200000000
8128-90.320010000000000
8027-100.0000000000000
7926-110.000000000
7825-120.0000
7724-13No0
53-76No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies 5 Reds 3 +0.6
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies 1 Reds 8 -0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9037-0043540173000
8936-1100
8835-28204528
8734-3182733208110
8633-40110253119680
8532-5019223017173100
8431-60017222724135100
8330-7001723162118103100
8229-80011041323241672000
8128-90020392026221241000
8027-1000000151424261982000
7926-11000000291927241341000
7825-1200000151527281761000
7724-1300000031225312071000
7623-14000021024322282000
7522-1500002924322381000
7421-1600002102533227100
7320-1700002112734215000
7219-180000313303517200
7118-1900004173733910
7017-200001625432230
6916-210001124037101
6815-2200042745222
6714-2300011342377
6613-240005314716
6512-25002195030
6411-260094545
6310-270043561
629-28012474
618-29001585
607-300891
596-310496
585-320298
574-33199
563-34199
54-55100
530-370100
Total:0000000000000000112357101417181372