Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 33.3%
0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Cubs+2.5-3.3
+0.3-0.4
+0.3-0.4
Cincinnati vs Angels-0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.1-0.2
Milwaukee vs Colorado-0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.1-0.2
Milwaukee vs Colorado-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-162In10011,952*
105105-57In10003,885
104104-58In100006,988
103103-59In1000012,550
102102-60In1000022,371
101101-61In991037,392
100100-62In991061,319
9999-63In98200097,659
9898-64In973010152,164
9797-65In954010231,260
9696-66In927020343,342
9595-67100.0%87100300494,981
9494-68100.081140400696,928
9393-69100.0722016000952,066
9292-70100.061272100001,272,934
9191-71100.0483341410001,658,876
9090-7299.9353781920002,107,586
8989-7399.7223712244000002,607,957
8888-7499.0123317299100003,146,315
8787-7596.65252230163000003,706,831
8686-7690.221523262481000004,251,864
8585-7776.5072218301851000004,759,779
8484-7854.9031792628143000005,199,108
8383-7930.90111316292511300005,536,248
8282-8013.30071620302410200005,744,956
8181-814.703018223123920005,817,917
8080-821.6010029233122920005,747,994
7979-830.60100021125312181005,533,270
7878-840.20000003122731196105,197,906
7777-850.1000001415303016404,763,360
7676-860.000000161933281124,251,394
7575-870.00000002926362253,704,755
7474-880.00000004163534123,146,133
7373-89Out0000182742222,608,631
7272-90Out0000031843352,106,340
7171-91Out000011140491,657,972
7070-92Out0000633611,274,767
6969-93Out00032572952,680
6868-94Out00011881696,640
6767-95Out00011287495,803
6666-96Out000892343,503
6565-97Out00595232,302
6464-98Out00397152,859
6363-99Out029899,007
6262-100Out019960,921
6161-101Out019937,527
6060-102Out010022,120
5959-103Out010013,007
5858-104Out01007,235
5757-105Out01003,985
5656-106Out01002,197
0-55Out1009,784*
Total:33.3%77777777777777792,057,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMetsColoradoDodgersMiamiCubsAtlantaMilwaukeeArizonaSt. LouisCincinnatiWashingtonSan DiegoPhilliesGiants
105-16213.9%Yes
104104-5813.51000000
103103-5913.31000000000000
102102-6014.1100000000000000
101101-6113.710000000000000000
100100-6213.710000000000000000
9999-6313.910000000000000000
9898-6413.79900000000000000
9797-6513.79900000000000000
9696-6613.69800000000000000
9595-6713.59700000000000000
9494-6813.49600000000000000
9393-6913.19300001010110000
9292-7012.89011111111111111
9191-7112.48511111111111111
9090-7211.87911112121221111
8989-7311.17122223232332222
8888-7410.26222223232332222
8787-759.15133334343443333
8686-767.84033334343443333
8585-776.12933334343443333
8484-784.22033223232332322
8383-792.41211111111111111
8282-801.1700000000000000
8181-810.5300000000000000
8080-820.2100000000000000
7979-830.1100000000000000
7878-840.0000000000000000
7777-850.0000000000000000
7676-860.00000000000000
7575-870.000
7474-88No0
0-73No
Total:3.3%20.00.90.90.90.91.10.91.10.91.11.10.90.90.90.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Cubs-0.6+0.8
TuesdayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-162100
109109-53991
108108-541000
107107-551000
106106-561000
105105-571000
104104-581000
103103-59991
102102-60991
101101-619820
100100-629730
9999-6395500
9898-64928000
9797-658712100
9696-6681182000
9595-67722530000
9494-686032710000
9393-694639132000000
9292-7032402161000000
9191-711836291231000000
9090-7292632219200000000
8989-733142728187200000000
8888-7415162626177200100000
8787-7501615242517820300000
8686-760014122124188282000000
8585-7700013917221871661000000
8484-780000151320151916720000000
8383-79000013101712211911510000000
8282-800000310311202217931000000
8181-810000040271522221683100000
8080-82000200138162222157310000
7979-83000100001410182321146200000
7878-84000000000251220232012510000
7777-85000000012715222317831000
7676-86000000001411202521124100
7575-8700000013918252415610
7474-8800000000271726261651
7373-8900000027182827143
7272-90000000292132269
7171-91000001312293618
7070-92000016214032
6969-9300002133946
6868-94000173260
6767-9500032572
6666-9600021881
6565-970011287
6464-98000892
6363-9900595
6262-1000397
6161-1010298
6060-1020199
5959-103199
5858-1040100
5757-1050100
5656-1060100
5555-107100
5454-108199
0-53100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333