Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Dodgers 5-6, playoff odds down 1.5 to 4.1%
60-65   .480

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies 4 Pirates 0 -1.5
-0.1
-0.3
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 -0.5
-0.1
Cardinals 14 Marlins 6 -0.3
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Phillies 0 Pirates 3 +1.2
+0.1
+0.3
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 -0.4
-0.1
Cubs 5 Rays 6 +0.3
Cardinals 2 Marlins 5 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9737-0In0973664,012
9636-1In1003
9535-2In91935
9434-3In7822473
9333-4In643603,853
9232-5In049500025,715
9131-6100.0%03564000137,600
9030-7100.002375100604,862
8929-899.80138322002,266,224
8828-999.0078345107,292,107
8727-1095.737751140020,373,940
8626-1186.31625191310049,956,318
8525-1267.204232228500108,138,827
8424-1340.90231174116200207,820,816
8323-1417.7090940348100356,075,639
8222-155.00203254522300545,841,157
8121-160.8000010383912000750,352,752
8020-170.10003224628100926,829,743
7919-180.000009394660001,029,683,354
7818-190.000022456161001,029,690,728
7717-200.000001152316000926,821,487
7616-21Out0033742162000750,322,411
7515-22Out0011942308100545,844,010
7414-23Out007303920300356,077,464
7313-24Out0021536351110207,799,024
7212-25Out00523422630108,133,840
7111-26Out0011036439049,955,423
7010-27Out003225321120,371,961
699-28Out00110503637,284,357
688-29Out003385092,265,911
677-30Out01255718605,836
666-31Out00135730136,733
655-32Out06504325,641
644-33Out340573,960
633-34Out12970451
622-35Out247638
611-36Out1003
600-37Out0694664,012
Total:4.1%00202613212915731008,012,070,720

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersNationalsRockiesDiamondbacksCubsBrewersCardinalsMarlinsBravesPadresMetsRedsGiantsPhillies
94-9712.5%Yes
9333-413.01000
9232-512.21000000
9131-612.599000000
9030-712.49800110000000
8929-812.296002200000000
8828-911.890005400000000
8727-1010.9790087000000000
8626-119.363001210000000000
8525-126.943001311000000000
8424-134.023001080000000000
8323-141.7900540000000000
8222-150.5200110000000000
8121-160.1000000000000000
8020-170.000000000000000
7919-180.0000000000000
7818-190.0000000
7717-200.0000
60-76No
Total:0.4%2.50.00.00.90.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 4 Pirates 0 +0.6
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 0 Pirates 3 -0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9737-00752410
9636-16733
9535-231663
9434-328511920
9333-413453381
9232-54314219300
9131-61164032101000
9030-70627392251000
8929-8011233341530000
8828-9004183529112010
8727-100016223424814000
8626-1100172331195131000
8525-12000172026142751000
8424-1300015161932196100000
8323-14000141319282110310000
8222-1500004415252616720000
8121-1600010292127231241000
8020-17000001515252718710000
7919-180000003102230231020000
7818-1900000171931271230000
7717-20000001518322813300000
7616-210000151832281330000
7515-22000151831271441000
7414-23000161830281440000
7313-2400016172928154000
7212-250001617313014200
7111-26000016193430910
7010-270001724402440
699-280002113539131
688-2900032145273
677-300011040419
666-31003275119
655-3201155132
644-33084448
633-34013861
622-353763
611-36100
600-370892
Total:000000011223456789101110754211000