Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Diamondbacks 9-2, playoff odds up 2.2 to 18.7%
7-12   .368

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates 2 Cubs 3 +2.7
+0.3
+0.3
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs 2 Phillies 7 -2.7
-0.3
-0.3
Red Sox 2 Brewers 6 -0.4
-0.1
Mets 4 Reds 3 +0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-150In1001,265*
10598-45In98250
103-104In100309*
10295-48In1000428
10194-49In10000780
10093-50In98111,484
9992-51In99102,805
9891-52In972014,769
9790-53In9530107,890
9689-54In9250313,523
9588-55In88804022,034
9487-56100.0%8212060034,078
9386-57In731819051,793
9285-58100.0622321300077,394
9184-59100.04829318100111,206
9083-6099.93433624200155,585
8982-6199.6223410305000211,732
8881-6298.711291434111000280,014
8780-6395.752217341940000360,249
8679-6488.3113182828102000451,219
8578-6573.1061619322061000545,558
8477-6650.00212927301541000644,417
8376-6726.401731630271330000742,152
8275-6810.20416193126113000829,427
8174-693.102017213124102000903,166
8073-700.90100292331239200953,178
7972-710.300002102532228100979,909
7871-720.100000312273219610980,025
7770-730.00000141530311630951,032
7669-740.00000016203428101903,116
7568-750.0000002102736214830,410
7467-76Out0000417363310741,543
7366-77Out00019294219645,257
7265-78Out00004204531546,347
7164-79Out0001124244449,492
7063-80Out00073656361,238
6962-81Out00032968280,071
6861-82Out022277211,983
6760-83Out011684155,561
6659-84Out001189111,704
6558-85Out0079377,315
6457-86Out059552,510
6356-87Out039734,298
6255-88Out029821,762
6154-89Out19913,576
6053-90Out01998,086
5952-91Out01004,757
5851-92Out01002,713
5750-93Out01001,425
5649-94Out0100776
7-55Out1002,029*
Total:18.7%33355667788910111114,773,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBrewersBravesDodgersCardinalsRockiesGiantsNationalsPhilliesMetsPadresPiratesMarlinsRedsDiamondbacks
106-15011.4%Yes
10598-4510.0982
102-10412.2Yes
10194-4911.510000
10093-5012.199000000000
9992-5112.41000000000
9891-5212.19900000000000000
9790-5312.59900000000000000
9689-5412.49700000000000000
9588-5512.59600010000000000
9487-5612.29411010000001000
9386-5711.99111111111101110
9285-5812.08711121111111110
9184-5911.38122121111112110
9083-6010.87432232122213220
8982-6110.36543242232223220
8881-629.65454353333324330
8780-638.84365363344435331
8679-647.63265464444435431
8578-656.02255353344434331
8477-664.01433332233323221
8376-672.2822121111111110
8275-680.9411010010000000
8174-690.3200000000000000
8073-700.1100000000000000
7972-710.0000000000000000
7871-720.0000000000000000
7770-730.0000000
7669-740.00000
7568-75No0
7-74No
Total:1.7%9.01.00.90.61.00.60.60.70.70.70.50.80.60.60.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 2 Cubs 3 -0.6
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 2 Phillies 7 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
106-150100
10598-45982
103-104100
10295-48991
10194-49991
10093-50973
9992-519640
9891-529370
9790-53891110
9689-5483161000
9588-557423300
9487-5662316100
9386-574838122000
9285-58334020510000
9184-59203728123000000
9083-6092732218200000
8982-61315282817720000000
8881-62161626251672001000
8780-630161524241672040000
8679-64001512212317821020000
8578-6500139172217618720000
8477-6600015121813221782100000
8376-6700013914132220125100000
8275-680002831120231810410000
8174-6900030271522231693100000
8073-700001001381622221583100000
7972-710000000141018232114620000
7871-720000000025122023201251000
7770-73000000012715222317831000
7669-740000001411202521124100
7568-7500000013918252414510
7467-76000000281726251551
7366-7700000028192926133
7265-7800000292333258
7164-790001414303516
7063-8000017234129
6962-81000003144043
6861-8200183556
6760-8300042769
6659-840022078
6558-85011485
6457-8600991
6356-870694
6255-8800397
6154-890298
6053-900199
5952-910199
5851-92199
5750-930100
5649-940100
5548-95100
5447-960100
7-53100
Total:112222222233333334444444555566