Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Pirates 1-6, playoff odds down 2.8 to 33.2%
6-6   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs 1 Pirates 6 -2.9
-0.3
-0.3
Yankees 9 Cardinals 3 +0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Brewers+3.0-3.0
+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Mariners vs Marlins+0.2-0.2
Cardinals vs Pirates+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-156In10023,334*
107101-49In10001,876
106100-50In1003,826
10599-51In100007,254
10498-52In1000013,858
10397-53In1000025,739
10296-54In10000046,284
10195-55In991081,304
10094-56In99100137,087
9993-57In981000225,087
9892-58In972000358,629
9791-59In954010560,174
9690-60In926010848,699
9589-61100.0%88902001,253,266
9488-62100.08214040001,798,269
9387-63100.07320160002,504,700
9286-64100.062262900003,408,876
9185-65100.0503341310004,508,240
9084-6699.93637718200005,803,371
8983-6799.723381223400007,271,109
8882-6899.1123417288100008,879,240
8781-6996.852622291530000010,543,984
8680-7090.7216242624810000012,203,461
8579-7177.40823182917510000013,754,496
8478-7256.10318926271330000015,078,491
8377-7332.1011231629251130000016,102,937
8276-7414.100716203024102000016,759,861
8175-755.10040182231239200016,979,802
8074-761.802002102431228200016,758,328
7973-770.601000311253121710016,107,765
7872-780.200000031327311961015,076,707
7771-790.10000014153030164013,743,933
7670-800.0000001620332811112,195,077
7569-810.0000000210263622510,535,451
7468-820.00000004163534118,874,856
7367-830.0000000182842227,276,331
7266-840.00000031843345,808,019
7165-85Out000011140484,506,375
7064-86Out0000633613,408,092
6963-87Out000325722,508,837
6862-88Out000118811,796,712
6761-89Out00112871,252,783
6660-90Out00892850,849
6559-91Out00595560,138
6458-92Out00397360,704
6357-93Out0298224,716
6256-94Out00199136,071
6155-95Out19981,000
6054-96Out0010046,306
5953-97Out010025,737
5852-98Out010013,937
5751-99Out01007,458
5650-100Out01003,867
6-55Out10025,217*
Total:33.2%677777777777766261,368,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeRockiesRedsDiamondbacksNationalsMarlinsBrewersMetsDodgersPiratesBravesPadresPhilliesGiantsCardinals
106-15612.5%Yes
10599-5112.71000
10498-5212.51000000
10397-5312.5100000000000
10296-5412.31000000000000000
10195-5512.510000000000000000
10094-5612.410000000000000000
9993-5712.410000000000000000
9892-5812.410000000000000000
9791-5912.49900000000000000
9690-6012.49900000000000000
9589-6112.49800000000000000
9488-6212.39600000000000000
9387-6312.19411000100100000
9286-6411.99111111111110000
9185-6511.68611111111111111
9084-6611.38022211211211111
8983-6710.87323222322321111
8882-6810.26334333323322222
8781-699.35344433433432222
8680-708.34245444444433232
8579-716.83144444434433222
8478-724.82133333333322222
8377-732.81321222112111111
8276-741.3710111011000000
8175-750.6400000000000000
8074-760.2200000000000000
7973-770.1100000000000000
7872-780.0000000000000000
7771-790.0000000000000000
7670-800.00000000000000
7569-810.000
72-740.00
6-71No
Total:3.3%20.11.11.21.11.01.01.11.01.01.10.80.70.70.70.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 1 Pirates 6 +0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs vs Brewers-0.7+0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
108-156100
107101-491000
106100-501000
10599-511000
10498-521000
10397-53991
10296-549910
10195-559820
10094-569730
9993-5795500
9892-5892800
9791-598712100
9690-6081181000
9589-61722530000
9488-6260337100000
9387-634639132000000
9286-64314121610000000
9185-6518362913310000000
9084-669263222920000000
8983-67314272818720000000
8882-681515252617720010000
8781-6901514242517820300000
8680-700014122124188281000000
8579-7100013817231871561000000
8478-720000151321151815720000000
8377-7300001311171120191151000000
8276-7400000311310192217941000000
8175-750000050261421221683100000
8074-7600002001381622221573100000
7973-77000100001410182321146200000
7872-78000000000251220232011510000
7771-790000000013715222317831000
7670-8000000001511202521124100
7569-81000000013918252314510
7468-820000001281726251551
7367-830000000028182827143
7266-840000000292232268
7165-8500001313293618
7064-860000016224131
6963-8700002133945
6862-88000173359
6761-8900042571
6660-900021880
6559-910011287
6458-9200892
6357-9300595
6256-9400397
6155-950298
6054-96199
5953-97199
5852-980100
5751-990100
5650-1000100
5549-1010100
5448-1020100
6-53100
Total:333333334433333333333333333333