Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 50/50

Tied with Cardinals 4-4 (Mid 6th), playoff odds down 0.2 to 34.7%
13-11   .542

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Brewers 3 Cardinals 5 -0.3
Diamondbacks 1 Pirates 2 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Reds vs Cubs-3.2+3.2
-0.4+0.4
-0.3+0.3
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Reds 2 Cubs 5 +3.1
+0.4
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
101-150In100404*
10087-50In9811300
9986-51In9811529
9885-52In9622776
9784-53In95331,206
9683-54In905041,978
9582-55In868063,151
9481-56In79120804,381
9380-57In691811206,427
9279-58In572321708,548
9178-59100.0%45273241011,613
9077-6099.9313262830015,064
8976-6199.6193193560019,163
8875-6298.9102713381110023,089
8774-6396.3420153720300027,738
8673-6489.21121631299100032,040
8572-6575.00515213419510036,040
8471-6653.6021111302913300039,249
8370-6729.71741831261120041,822
8269-6812.004172231239200042,780
8168-693.702029243122820042,963
8067-701.10100211253120710041,909
7966-710.40000313273019610039,361
7865-720.1000141529301750035,924
7764-730.0000015173129143032,160
7663-740.0000172233259127,706
7562-75Out000211283520423,222
7461-76Out00151836311018,739
7360-77Out001930411915,187
7259-78Out01421443111,679
7158-79Out011241458,699
7057-80Out00635586,303
6956-81Out00327704,585
6855-82Out0218803,099
6754-83Out112872,057
6653-84Out08911,272
6552-85Out0595772
6451-86Out397469
6350-87Out199317
6249-88Out199157
6148-89Out19993
13-60Out100149*
Total:34.7%665998877776654633,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeCardinalsMetsDodgersPadresGiantsRedsNationalsBravesMarlinsRockiesPiratesDiamondbacksPhilliesBrewers
101-15013.1%Yes
10087-5010.099000
9986-5112.1990000
9885-5213.0980000000000
9784-5312.297000000000000
9683-5411.69600000100001000
9582-5512.39401111100001000
9481-5611.89101111101011000
9380-5712.78811111111111100
9279-5811.18211211211112101
9178-5911.17522322322122111
9077-6010.36933332422223211
8976-619.95943433523234211
8875-629.15054544633335212
8774-638.53955654744345322
8673-647.53065655744445322
8572-655.92154554644345322
8471-664.21333433433333211
8370-672.5822222212122111
8269-681.0411111111111100
8168-690.4200000000000000
8067-700.1100000000000000
7966-710.0000000000
7865-720.000
7764-730.0000
7663-74No0
13-75No
Total:3.2%16.81.61.51.71.51.42.01.11.11.11.21.61.00.60.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Reds vs Cubs+0.7-0.7
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Reds 2 Cubs 5 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
103-150100
10289-48991
10188-49991
10087-50964
9986-519550
9885-52901000
9784-5386131
9683-54782020
9582-55682840
9481-565634810
9380-57424015300
9279-582840238100
9178-591534311541000
9077-6072332241030000
8976-61212252920820000
8875-6214142526188200100
8774-63015132325188203000
8673-640014112024199292000
8572-6500028162218717610000
8471-6600151320142016720000
8370-670013101613221911410000
8269-68000394122122179310000
8168-69000302816232215731000
8067-700010014101823211462000
7966-710000025122023201252000
7865-7200012614212318104100
7764-7300001391723221572000
7663-740000261321241910310
7562-75000141019252212510
7461-76001391826251440
7360-7700028202826132
7259-780013102332247
7158-7901414303516
7057-80016224030
6956-81002133945
6855-820183259
6754-830042472
6653-84011980
6552-8501287
6451-860991
6350-87397
6249-88397
6148-89298
6047-90298
13-59100
Total:333444444344444444433333333322