Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 29.7%
18-19   .486

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.3
Giants 8 Dodgers 4 +0.2
Marlins 2 Astros 7 +0.1
Blue Jays 6 Braves 10 -0.1
Diamondbacks 7 Mets 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Reds+3.1-3.1
+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.4+0.4
-0.1+0.1
Padres vs Brewers+0.3-0.3
Twins vs Rockies+0.2-0.2
Giants vs Dodgers+0.1-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Mets-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Phillies+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Braves+0.1-0.1
Pirates vs Nationals-0.1+0.1
Marlins vs Astros-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
107-143In10046,790*
10688-37In1000923
10587-38In1002,317
10486-39In100004,998
10385-40In1000011,021
10284-41In1000022,694
10183-42In991044,773
10082-43In9910086,555
9981-44In98200160,509
9880-45In973000289,696
9779-46In954010503,591
9678-47100.0%9270100843,434
9577-48In87110201,374,503
9476-49100.0811514002,153,500
9375-50100.0722116003,270,607
9274-51100.06127290004,808,305
9173-52100.0493341410006,836,724
9072-5399.9353681920009,419,897
8971-5499.8233611254000012,546,358
8870-5599.2123216318100016,200,888
8769-5697.26241933163000020,243,429
8668-5791.921520302571000024,490,129
8567-5880.108182232163000028,712,682
8466-5960.303141331271020000032,608,420
8365-6036.1019522332271000035,851,048
8264-6116.000511027321961000038,218,106
8163-625.100203142931165100039,436,670
8062-631.301004163029154000039,435,722
7961-640.300001618312813300038,197,517
7860-650.100000172132261120035,852,090
7759-660.0000002924332381032,605,268
7658-670.0000003122833195028,705,331
7557-680.0000001417323113224,489,284
7456-690.00000018243625620,236,292
7355-700.00000031434361316,186,193
7254-71Out00001726432412,548,602
7153-72Out000031743379,414,320
7052-73Out00011039506,838,939
6951-74Out000532634,805,476
6850-75Out000224743,271,730
6749-76Out00117822,156,204
6648-77Out00011891,372,199
6547-78Out00793844,749
6446-79Out00496503,519
6345-80Out0397289,786
6244-81Out0199161,509
6143-82Out019986,721
6042-83Out010045,206
5941-84Out010022,981
5840-85Out010010,948
5739-86Out01005,241
5638-87Out01002,261
18-55Out10047,785*
Total:29.7%455788888877664556,324,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsRockiesCardinalsDodgersDiamondbacksBrewersRedsMetsPiratesBravesPhilliesGiantsMarlinsPadres
105-14312.4%Yes
10486-3912.31000
10385-4012.9100000
10284-4112.110000
10183-4212.610000000000
10082-4312.81000000000000000
9981-4412.510000000000000000
9880-4512.510000000000000000
9779-4612.49900000000000000
9678-4712.49900000000000000
9577-4812.49800000000000000
9476-4912.39600000100000000
9375-5012.19401111110000000
9274-5111.99001111110000000
9173-5211.68612222221100000
9072-5311.27913332321111100
8971-5410.77114443431111111
8870-5510.06025554542211111
8769-569.14926666652222211
8668-578.13737676662322211
8567-586.62637676652322211
8466-594.81726565542222211
8365-602.8913333321111111
8264-611.3511111111100000
8163-620.4200000000000000
8062-630.1100000000000000
7961-640.0000000000000000
7860-650.0000000000000000
7759-660.0000000000000000
7658-670.000000000000000
7557-680.0000
73-740.00
18-72No
Total:2.8%14.90.71.91.71.91.71.71.50.70.70.50.60.50.40.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs vs Reds-0.7+0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-143100
10991-34982
10890-35100
10789-361000
10688-371000
10587-381000
10486-39991
10385-40991
10284-419910
10183-429820
10082-4396400
9981-4493600
9880-45901000
9779-4684151000
9678-47762120000
9577-4866295000
9476-495436910000
9375-504040163000000
9274-51264025820000000
9173-5214333116510000000
9072-5362232241131000000
8971-54211242921931000000
8870-55041324271993001000
8769-5601412222619930300000
8668-570013102025201027100000
8567-5800002817242181351000000
8466-590000151423171714720000000
8365-600001413191118181141000000
8264-6100001412310192217931000000
8163-620000140271522221583100000
8062-63000100139182321147200000
7961-64000000001511192320125200000
7860-650000000002613212318104100000
7759-6600000000013917232215720000
7658-67000000002513212420114100
7557-680000000141019252313510
7456-6900000001381826251441
7355-7000000028192826133
7254-7100000292232258
7153-7200001313293618
7052-7300016214131
6951-7400002133946
6850-75000173261
6749-7600032473
6648-770011782
6547-78001189
6446-7900793
6345-8000496
6244-8100298
6143-820199
6042-83199
5941-840100
5840-850100
5739-860100
5638-870100
5537-88100
5436-890100
18-53100
Total:122333344433344444444444433333