Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Reds 10-13, playoff odds down 5.8 to 49.8%
63-57   .525

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 -1.2
-0.2
-0.1
Cardinals 14 Marlins 6 -0.6
-0.1
Phillies 4 Pirates 0 +0.4
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -3.0
-0.4
-0.3
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 -1.2
-0.2
-0.1
Cardinals 2 Marlins 5 +0.7
+0.1
Phillies 0 Pirates 3 -0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10542-0In2773021,822
10138-4In1007
10037-5In96445
9936-6In0955334
9835-7In088121,588
9734-8In083177,205
9633-9In0732726,895
9532-10In06238088,549
9431-11In050500256,186
9330-12In0386200664,289
9229-13100.0%027730001,530,836
9128-14100.0018820003,172,124
9027-15100.00118810005,911,254
8926-1699.869111009,973,046
8825-1799.03912310015,248,326
8724-1896.11852740021,177,579
8623-1988.20742121110026,738,590
8522-2072.80571142430030,750,821
8421-2150.4038112381110032,207,886
8320-2227.302007432640030,745,639
8219-2310.7080334421210026,728,178
8118-242.9020118452850021,166,281
8017-250.5000633421720015,244,328
7916-260.00011641338109,970,190
7815-270.000052743213005,913,109
7714-280.000112383612103,166,301
7613-29Out0032242266001,530,517
7512-30Out01933391720663,680
7411-31Out02174033700257,501
7310-32Out0062844201088,302
729-33Out021443365026,935
718-34Out0630501307,151
707-35Out0117552611,626
696-36Out947376316
685-37Out428432654
674-38Out88138
630-42Out1217921,822
Total:49.8%014116191594210000263,309,320

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersNationalsDiamondbacksRockiesBrewersCardinalsMarlinsPiratesBravesPadresMetsRedsGiantsPhillies
96-10512.5%Yes
9532-1012.61000
9431-1112.51000000
9330-1212.6100000
9229-1312.510000000000
9128-1412.51000000000000
9027-1512.499000000000000
8926-1612.397001100000000
8825-1712.0940032000000000
8724-1811.4870054000000000
8623-1910.2740076000000000
8522-208.15700870000000000
8421-215.53800660000000000
8320-223.02000340000000000
8219-231.2800110000000000
8118-240.32000000000000
8017-250.100000000000
7916-260.000000
7815-270.0000
7714-28No0
63-76No
Total:5.8%42.80.00.03.53.40.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 5 Rays 6 +0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10542-027730
10138-4100
10037-58911
9936-608812
9835-7079192
9734-80653130
9633-904941900
9532-10033471820
9431-110184630500
9330-128364113100
9229-13322442660000
9128-1411035371520000
9027-1503203928910000
8926-1601828372151000
8825-170021332331630100
8724-1800041732291224000
8623-1900151831258111000
8522-20001518292022510000
8421-21001517282616610000
8320-220001522172419930000
8219-23000110515242415610000
8118-24000303112126211031000
8017-2500002616252517720000
7916-260000013102027231241000
7815-2700000161526271761000
7714-280000131123292292000
7613-290002821302511200
7512-30001720312612200
7411-3100172032271120
7310-320017223527800
729-33001926382330
718-340031235401010
707-350422462430
696-360104136121
685-371754209
674-38503813
630-42032869
Total:000246891010107665433221100000000