Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 17.2%
4-10   .286

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates 2 Cubs 3 +2.7
+0.3
+0.3
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs 2 Phillies 7 -2.7
-0.3
-0.3
Red Sox 2 Brewers 6 -0.4
-0.1
Mets 4 Reds 3 +0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
101-152In100137*
10096-52In98253
9995-53In9811123
9894-54In9820206
9793-55In93502365
9692-56In9532571
9591-57In871003888
9490-58In81131501,491
9389-59In701911002,176
9288-60100.0%6025212003,270
9187-61100.04730418104,758
9086-6299.734346233006,540
8985-6399.62234102850009,101
8884-6498.9123015321110011,981
8783-6595.8522183319400015,511
8682-6688.511319272810100019,458
8581-6773.506171931206100023,853
8480-6851.1021392730154000028,331
8379-6927.418316302712300033,006
8278-7010.9041620312510200037,154
8177-713.50201823312310200040,698
8076-721.010029233123920043,734
7975-730.3000021125322171045,605
7874-740.1000031327311861045,819
7773-750.0000014163030153045,586
7672-760.000001621342710143,752
7571-770.00000211273521441,038
7470-78Out00041836321036,932
7369-79Out001929412032,664
7268-80Out00420443228,440
7167-81Out0213414423,766
7066-82Out017355719,486
6965-83Out03286915,403
6864-84Out02207811,928
6763-85Out114859,007
6662-86Out010906,562
6561-87Out06944,784
6460-88Out04963,225
6359-89Out2982,207
6258-90Out2981,474
6157-91Out199928
6056-92Out0100607
5955-93Out100334
5854-94Out199218
4-57Out100310*
Total:17.2%233455667789101113703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBrewersBravesDodgersGiantsCardinalsNationalsPiratesMetsRockiesPhilliesPadresMarlinsRedsDiamondbacks
101-15210.2%Yes
10096-5213.2982
9995-539.8991
9894-5412.61000
9793-5511.298100100
9692-5611.9980000000000
9591-5711.7971100000000
9490-5813.19510010010010000
9389-5911.09021111111110000
9288-6012.68711112121111110
9187-6111.08122122221111110
9086-6210.77432223232121110
8985-6310.36643224342222221
8884-649.75654335353332221
8783-658.64465446454333221
8682-667.53365446454343331
8581-675.92454445454333221
8480-684.21543334333232221
8379-692.3822112221111111
8278-700.9411111101000000
8177-710.4200000000000000
8076-720.1100000000000000
7975-730.0000000000000
7874-740.000
7773-750.0000
75-76No0
4-74No
Total:1.6%8.41.00.80.60.70.90.70.90.60.50.60.50.50.40.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 2 Cubs 3 -0.6
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Cubs 2 Phillies 7 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
101-152100
10096-52982
9995-53964
9894-54946
9793-5586131
9692-5682171
9591-577225300
9490-586232610
9389-5946391230
9288-603341206100
9187-61193629123000
9086-629273222720000
8985-633152828177200000
8884-6416162726167200100
8783-65016152424167204000
8682-66001512212417821020000
8581-6701391721176187200000
8480-68000251219132217821000
8379-6900131014132220125100000
8278-700002831120231710410000
8177-71000302715222216831000
8076-72010013816232215831000
7975-73000014101823211462000
7874-740000025122024191251000
7773-7500001271522231783100
7672-76000001411202520124100
7571-770000013918252314510
7470-780001281726261551
7369-7900027182927133
7268-80000292233258
7167-81001313303517
7066-820016224130
6965-83002133945
6864-840173359
6763-850042571
6662-86011880
6561-87011287
6460-880892
6359-890595
6258-90496
6157-91298
6056-920100
5955-930100
5854-940100
5753-95199
4-56100
Total:111222222233333333444445555667