Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 50/50

Plays Astros, playoff odds up 0.006 to 56.2%
15-9   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cubs vs Astros+3.0-3.0
+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Rockies vs Padres+0.1-0.1
Reds vs Phillies-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Red Sox vs Cubs-3.0+3.0
-0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.3
Brewers vs Yankees-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Reds+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Dodgers+0.2-0.2
Mariners vs Diamondbacks+0.2-0.2
Braves vs Guardians-0.2+0.2
Marlins vs Nationals+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Pirates+0.1-0.1
Padres vs Phillies+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-153In1002,715*
10590-48In100001,440
10489-49In100002,686
10388-50In100004,841
10287-51In99008,404
10186-52In991013,770
10085-53In981022,656
9984-54In9720135,185
9883-55In95401054,022
9782-56In93502080,308
9681-57In898030115,822
9580-58In8312050161,354
9479-59In75171700219,427
9378-60In652311100288,267
9277-61100.0%5328216100369,372
9176-62100.04032422200457,768
9075-63100.027347275000551,887
8974-64100.01632113291000646,156
8873-6599.88261433163000735,141
8772-6698.931816312471000813,616
8671-6795.9110152431154000876,094
8570-6888.105131531241020000911,317
8469-6972.2029724301971000925,180
8368-7049.400531328281651000912,199
8267-7126.3003151729261441000873,040
8166-7210.301017202925123000815,701
8065-733.0000029223023103000736,447
7964-740.6000003112430218200647,531
7863-750.100001414273018610552,689
7762-760.00000161730291430456,011
7661-770.000002823332581368,365
7560-780.000003132934173287,342
7459-790.00000162137287218,409
7358-80Out000213333714160,686
7257-81Out0017264323115,311
7156-82Out00318443580,640
7055-83Out00111414653,637
6954-84Out006355835,325
6853-85Out003286822,771
6752-86Out02227614,113
6651-87Out0116838,250
6550-88Out012884,881
6449-89Out08912,765
6348-90Out05951,518
6247-91Out397746
6146-92Out199422
6045-93Out0100213
5944-94Out39789
5843-95Out29853
15-57Out1001,158*
Total:56.2%11961110987665443113,667,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBravesBrewersPhilliesDodgersRedsMetsPadresPiratesDiamondbacksGiantsNationalsCardinalsRockiesMarlins
106-15312.7%Yes
10590-4812.41000
10489-4913.21000
10388-5012.21000000
10287-5112.51000000000
10186-5212.2100000000000000
10085-5312.71000000000000000
9984-5412.59900000000000000
9883-5512.69900000000000000
9782-5612.49800000000000000
9681-5712.39700000000000000
9580-5812.19511101001000000
9479-5912.09211101101000100
9378-6011.88812112111001100
9277-6111.48322212112111100
9176-6211.17623213213111200
9075-6310.56834325323112200
8974-649.85846426424222300
8873-659.04757536425223401
8772-668.03767637535223411
8671-676.72667636535223411
8570-685.11855535434223311
8469-693.31133423323122201
8368-701.8622212211111100
8267-710.7311101100000000
8166-720.3100000000000000
8065-730.1100000000000000
7964-740.0000000000000000
7863-750.000000000000000
7762-760.0000
74-760.00
15-73No
Total:4.6%26.22.32.62.31.22.61.91.12.00.90.91.21.50.20.3
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs