St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Brewers 1-2, playoff odds down 3.5 to 31.5%
9-11   .450

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 1 Brewers 2 -3.1
-0.3
-0.3
Pirates 1 Red Sox 8 +0.3
Braves 8 Rangers 3 -0.2
Reds 7 Angels 1 -0.2
Phillies 7 White Sox 0 -0.2
Nationals 3 Astros 5 +0.2
Cubs 8 Marlins 3 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Padres vs Blue Jays-0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Brewers+3.0-3.0
+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Reds vs Angels-0.3+0.3
Pirates vs Red Sox-0.2+0.2
Phillies vs White Sox-0.2+0.2
Braves vs Rangers-0.2+0.2
Nationals vs Astros-0.2+0.2
Cubs vs Marlins-0.2+0.2
Cubs vs Marlins-0.2+0.2
Padres vs Blue Jays-0.2+0.2
Rockies vs Mariners-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Mets+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
104-151In1001,518*
10394-48In9900448
10293-49In10000808
10192-50In99101,629
10091-51In99103,086
9990-52In98215,192
9889-53In963018,764
9788-54In9350214,342
9687-55In90703022,880
9586-56In841005035,135
9485-57In771408053,375
9384-58In68201110078,712
9283-59100.0%5625216100111,358
9182-60100.04329422200154,813
9081-61100.03032628400207,331
8980-62100.018309339100270,950
8879-6399.89251235163000343,745
8778-6499.041814332471000424,576
8677-6596.31101426311430000510,969
8576-6689.1051217322492000594,342
8475-6773.9028825301961000673,384
8374-6851.401531528281551000743,289
8273-6927.8003161829261341000798,041
8172-7011.101028212924113100831,607
8071-713.20000210232922103000843,193
7970-720.7000003122429218200832,472
7869-730.10001414272918610798,182
7768-740.00000161730281430743,753
7667-750.0000002822332591671,736
7566-760.0000003122834184595,141
7465-77Out000162036298510,870
7364-78Out000212313916424,188
7263-79Out0016244426343,057
7162-80Out0002164338270,934
7061-81Out001103950206,406
6960-82Out0053362154,392
6859-83Out0032572111,849
6758-84Out001198078,409
6657-85Out01138653,367
6556-86Out099035,694
6455-87Out069422,924
6354-88Out049614,298
6253-89Out02988,722
6152-90Out2985,131
6051-91Out1993,034
5950-92Out1991,697
5849-93Out0100854
5748-94Out0100442
9-56Out1001,481*
Total:31.5%44367777888888612,622,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeBravesBrewersCubsPhilliesDodgersMetsPiratesPadresRedsDiamondbacksGiantsNationalsRockiesMarlins
104-15113.3%Yes
10394-4812.110000
10293-4913.91000
10192-5014.11000
10091-5112.710000000
9990-5212.799000000000000
9889-5311.79900000000000000
9788-5412.09800000000000000
9687-5512.29700000000000000
9586-5612.29501100010100000
9485-5712.19211110110100000
9384-5811.88812211111100000
9283-5911.58313211121211100
9182-6011.17624321231311100
9081-6110.46735432242411100
8980-629.85746642352522211
8879-639.04757743462522211
8778-648.03657753463622311
8677-656.72557753563622311
8576-665.21756643453522311
8475-673.41034432332322211
8374-681.8522221221211100
8273-690.7311110110100000
8172-700.2100000000000000
8071-710.1000000000000000
7970-720.0000000000000000
7869-730.000000000000
7768-740.000
7667-750.000
7566-76No0
9-74No
Total:2.2%11.11.31.71.61.20.81.11.40.71.30.60.60.70.20.2
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs