Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Race

Phillies lost to Giants 3-4, odds of making the playoffs down 3.6% to 28.7%
Chance of making the playoffs: 28.7%Change:-3.6
Average final seed:7.50.37

Record:   21 - 18     .538

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.

Each game can have 2 kinds of impact on the Phillies:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of making the playoffs.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average finishing position.

The day’s total impact on the Phillies is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future games show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a game to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a games impact? (show)

SundayImpact
Giants4Phillies3-2.8 (0.34)
Nationals4Marlins5-0.5
Mets8Reds3-0.3
PiratesBravesPostponed
Worst-3.99 (0.37) -3.65  (0.37) (-0.39) 4.14Best
Monday
WinWin
Reds0.6Marlins-0.57:10 PM
Pirates0.4Braves-0.34:05 PM
Mets-0.2Nationals0.47:10 PM
-1.03 (0.02)   (-0.04) 1.35
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance team will finish the regular season at position
TWW-LPCTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
144123-01.000In1001,000
11190-33.732In1002
11089-34.724In1004
10887-36.707In95559
10685-38.691In9271261
10483-40.675In927011,087
10281-42.659In918104,109
10079-44.642In9091013,264
9877-46.626100.0871120037,693
9675-48.610100.0801541093,975
9473-50.59399.968229200204,477
9271-52.57799.24829166100389,859
9069-54.56195.0253124155000651,797
8867-56.54578.592225231740000958,016
8665-58.52843.82815193019610001,236,920
8463-60.51213.0024716282513410001,405,455
8261-62.4962.300112921292311300001,406,892
8059-64.4800.30000003112329221020001,238,483
7857-66.4630.000000001413263019610957,006
7655-68.4470.00000017203227112652,340
7453-70.431Out0001417353211390,421
7251-72.415Out00004204332204,413
7049-74.398Out0017345894,472
6847-76.382Out02207938,285
6645-78.366Out099113,063
6443-80.350Out04964,146
6241-82.333Out1991,163
6039-84.317Out0100268
5837-86.301Out10058
5635-88.285Out10012
210-123.000Out1001,000
Total:28.7% 777788877766543210,000,000

Updated Monday, 5/12/08 5:39 AM Eastern Time (GMT-04:00)