Washington Nationals Playoff Race

Nationals lost to Marlins 4-5, odds of making the playoffs down 1.4% to 6.4%
Chance of making the playoffs: 6.4%Change:-1.4
Average final seed:11.30.34

Record:   15 - 23     .395

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.

Each game can have 2 kinds of impact on the Nationals:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of making the playoffs.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average finishing position.

The day’s total impact on the Nationals is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future games show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a game to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a games impact? (show)

SundayImpact
Nationals4Marlins5-1.4 (0.33)
Giants4Phillies30.1
Worst-1.55 (0.33) -1.37  (0.34) (-0.32) 1.44Best
Monday
WinWin
Mets-1.1 (0.32) Nationals1.1 (-0.33) 7:10 PM
Reds0.1Marlins-0.27:10 PM
-1.31 (0.33)   (-0.34) 1.28
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance team will finish the regular season at position
TWW-LPCTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139124-01.000In1001,000
10792-32.742In1001
10590-34.726In67333
10489-35.718In6429714
10287-37.702In84123191
10085-39.685In831430404
9883-41.66999.979164101,554
9681-43.65399.970217105,732
9479-45.63799.85925133018,050
9277-47.62198.8422920810049,006
9075-49.60593.5212828166000117,127
8873-51.58975.18182623204100245,878
8671-53.57339.1271317322171000451,769
8469-55.55610.0013516292713410000728,442
8267-57.5401.400012821292312310001,032,623
8065-59.5240.10000003102229231130001,286,879
7863-61.5080.0000000013122530218101,416,598
7661-63.4920.00000161831291321,374,616
7459-65.476Out0003153335131,171,653
7257-67.460Out0003184336881,106
7055-69.444Out00053262582,513
6853-71.427Out011881338,009
6651-73.411Out00892172,924
6449-75.395Out039777,701
6247-77.379Out19930,674
6045-79.363Out010010,527
5843-81.347Out01003,089
5641-83.331Out0100809
5439-85.315Out100174
5237-87.298Out10030
5035-89.282Out1003
4833-91.266Out1001
150-124.000Out1001,000
Total:6.4% 1122345567891011121410,000,000

Updated Monday, 5/12/08 5:39 AM Eastern Time (GMT-04:00)