Florida Marlins Playoff Race

Marlins beat Nationals 5-4, odds of making the playoffs up 3.3% to 49.9%
Chance of making the playoffs: 49.9%Change:3.3
Average final seed:5.4-0.32

Record:   23 - 14     .622

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.

Each game can have 2 kinds of impact on the Marlins:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of making the playoffs.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average finishing position.

The day’s total impact on the Marlins is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future games show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a game to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a games impact? (show)

SundayImpact
Nationals4Marlins53.3 (-0.32)
Giants4Phillies30.6
Mets8Reds3-0.5
PiratesBravesPostponed
Worst-4.66 (0.34) 3.29  (-0.32) (-0.37) 4.67Best
Monday
WinWin
Reds-3.1 (0.30) Marlins3.2 (-0.30) 7:10 PM
Mets-0.4Nationals0.47:10 PM
Pirates0.4Braves-0.34:05 PM
Cubs-0.2Padres0.28:05 PM
-4.08 (0.34)   (-0.35) 4.16
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance team will finish the regular season at position
TWW-LPCTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
148125-01.000In1001,000
11693-32.744In1001
11390-35.720In1005
11289-36.712In97331
11087-38.696In9181135
10885-40.680In93610573
10683-42.664In926112,413
10481-44.648In935108,177
10279-46.632In9361024,058
10077-48.616In9172163,310
9875-50.600100.0889210145,739
9673-52.584100.08213410292,735
9471-54.56899.970217200516,869
9269-56.55299.54931136000803,102
9067-58.53696.42536211430001,102,942
8865-60.52082.6826252414300001,330,838
8663-62.50449.811016222717510001,416,202
8461-64.48817.00251016272412310001,329,848
8259-66.4723.70012292129231030001,102,152
8057-68.4560.500000031023292292000803,625
7855-70.4400.000000001413263019710518,405
7653-72.4240.00000017203227112292,219
7451-74.408Out001417343311145,498
7249-76.392Out00419433363,655
7047-78.376Out0016336024,245
6845-80.360Out0218818,033
6643-82.344Out08922,362
6441-84.328Out0496642
6239-86.312Out397155
6037-88.296Out10028
5835-90.280Out1002
5633-92.264Out1001
230-125.000Out1001,000
Total:49.9% 1613101087665443221110,000,000

Updated Monday, 5/12/08 5:39 AM Eastern Time (GMT-04:00)