Cincinnati Reds Playoff Race

Reds lost to Mets 3-8, odds of making the playoffs down 1.3% to 6%
Chance of making the playoffs: 6.0%Change:-1.3
Average final seed:11.40.34

Record:   15 - 23     .395

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.

Each game can have 2 kinds of impact on the Reds:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of making the playoffs.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average finishing position.

The day’s total impact on the Reds is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future games show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a game to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a games impact? (show)

SundayImpact
Mets8Reds3-1.2 (0.33)
Worst-1.18 (0.33) -1.27  (0.34) (-0.32) 1.11Best
Monday
WinWin
Reds1.0 (-0.31) Marlins-1.0 (0.32) 7:10 PM
-1.02 (0.32)   (-0.31) 0.95
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance team will finish the regular season at position
TWW-LPCTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139124-01.000In1001,000
10792-32.742In1001
10489-35.718In871315
10287-37.702In8017393
10085-39.685In801630392
9883-41.669In8116301,560
9681-43.653100.073197105,583
9479-45.63799.86224122017,803
9277-47.62198.7452820610049,577
9075-49.60592.924272814700117,246
8873-51.58973.281826212151000246,343
8671-53.57336.5261316342271000452,263
8469-55.5568.101341730271341000726,548
8267-57.5400.80000292129231131001,032,142
8065-59.5240.00000003102229231130001,289,102
7863-61.5080.000000013122530218101,417,147
7661-63.492Out0000161831291321,372,545
7459-65.476Out00004153435131,172,947
7257-67.460Out00003184336879,348
7055-69.444Out00053262583,850
6853-71.427Out0011881338,155
6651-73.411Out00892172,468
6449-75.395Out039777,496
6247-77.379Out019930,696
6045-79.363Out010010,445
5843-81.347Out01003,139
5641-83.331Out100854
5439-85.315Out100187
5237-87.298Out10042
5035-89.282Out10012
4732-92.258Out1001
150-124.000Out1001,000
Total:6.0% 1122445567891011121410,000,000

Updated Monday, 5/12/08 5:39 AM Eastern Time (GMT-04:00)