St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Race

Cardinals lost to Brewers 3-5, odds of making the playoffs down 4.2% to 40.2%
Chance of making the playoffs: 40.2%Change:-4.2
Average final seed:6.10.35

Record:   23 - 16     .590

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.

Each game can have 2 kinds of impact on the Cardinals:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of making the playoffs.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average finishing position.

The day’s total impact on the Cardinals is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future games show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a game to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a games impact? (show)

SundayImpact
Brewers5Cardinals3-3.4 (0.32)
Cubs6D-Backs4-0.4
Dodgers5Astros8-0.3
PiratesBravesPostponed
Worst-4.37 (0.34) -4.22  (0.35) (-0.35) 4.35Best
Monday
WinWin
Brewers-3.4 (0.33) Cardinals3.4 (-0.33) 8:05 PM
Giants0.5Astros-0.510:15 PM
Cubs-0.5Padres0.58:05 PM
Pirates-0.1Braves0.24:05 PM
Mets-0.1Nationals0.27:10 PM
-4.53 (0.37)   (-0.39) 4.83
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance team will finish the regular season at position
TWW-LPCTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
146123-01.000In1001,000
11390-33.732In1001
11289-34.724In831712
11087-36.707In901051
10885-38.691In9632264
10683-40.675In945101,118
10481-42.659In936104,142
10279-44.642In9271013,420
10077-46.626In9082037,873
9875-48.610100.0871030094,161
9673-50.593100.08014510203,738
9471-52.57799.968219200390,550
9269-54.56199.14829176100651,580
9067-56.54594.6243126145000957,108
8865-58.52877.5721272218400001,236,871
8663-60.51242.217151832196100001,406,084
8461-62.49611.1014618292512310001,406,398
8259-64.4801.400012922292311300001,238,591
8057-66.4630.100000031123292292000959,369
7855-68.4470.00000001413263019610651,470
7653-70.431Out000017203227112389,610
7451-72.415Out001417353211204,310
7249-74.398Out000420433394,052
7047-76.382Out0017345938,277
6845-78.366Out02197913,527
6643-80.350Out09913,979
6441-82.333Out3971,095
6239-84.317Out199287
6037-86.301Out10053
5835-88.285Out1008
5633-90.268Out1001
230-123.000Out1001,000
Total:40.2% 1210108109776544322110,000,000

Updated Monday, 5/12/08 5:39 AM Eastern Time (GMT-04:00)