American League Playoff Chances 50/50

Rangers +3.4, Tigers -3.4
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin WSChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayGW-LPCTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIFriday
GuardiansWRed Sox 5-4113-6.6843761.6%+3.35.7%+0.41413109877665443225.7+0.323AthleticsCleveland Guardians
Yankees113-6.6842060.5+0.05.1+0.014105121097665443215.96RaysNew York Yankees
Orioles212-6.6672757.3-0.04.7-0.01395121098765544326.22at RoyalsBaltimore Orioles
Royals112-7.6324054.9-0.04.9-0.0111199887766554326.4-0.0121OriolesKansas City Royals
RangersWTigers 9-711-9.5501646.5+3.44.4+0.4710135567777666547.2+0.3522at BravesTexas Rangers
RaysWAngels 2-111-9.550-1744.0+3.33.3+0.376410998877666547.5+0.3326at YankeesTampa Bay Rays
TigersLRangers 7-9110-9.526-441.5-3.43.4-0.46777777777776547.7-0.3425at TwinsDetroit Tigers
Blue Jays110-9.526-1740.7-0.02.96539988877776647.913at PadresToronto Blue Jays
Red SoxLGuardians 4-510-10.500437.5-3.22.6-0.35538888877777658.2-0.328at PiratesBoston Red Sox
Mariners19-10.474-1136.6-0.03.3-0.047114566777777768.212at RockiesSeattle Mariners
AngelsLRays 1-219-10.474-636.6-3.33.3-0.447114566777887768.2-0.3515at RedsLos Angeles Angels
Athletics18-11.421-2230.5-0.02.6-0.03593456778889988.923at GuardiansOakland Athletics
Twins36-11.353-2023.9-0.01.7-0.02344566778891010119.79TigersMinnesota Twins
Astros6-14.300-2317.7-0.01.4-0.0135234566781011131610.524at NationalsHouston Astros
White Sox23-15.167-5410.1-0.00.6-0.011122344568912162611.729at PhilliesChicago White Sox

We use the real MLB tiebreakers.
All times are in Eastern. Making a go at updating the scores (email errors to amer at mallah dot com), all credit to Adam Veenendaal for figuring this out in the first place.
data pulled April 19, 2024 05:00:03

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Tigers 7 Rangers 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Guardians+0.2
+0.1
Royals+0.1
+0.1
Rangers+3.2
+0.3
Tigers-3.2
-0.3
Mariners-0.2
-0.1
Angels-0.2
-0.1
Athletics-0.2
-0.1
Twins+0.1
Astros-0.1
White Sox+0.1
Rays 2 Angels 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Guardians-0.1
Yankees-0.1
Orioles-0.1
Royals-0.1
Rangers+0.2
+0.1
Rays+3.2
+0.3
Blue Jays-0.1
Red Sox-0.1
Mariners+0.2
+0.1
Angels-3.1
-0.3
Athletics+0.1
Twins-0.1
Astros+0.1
Red Sox 4 Guardians 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Guardians+3.2
+0.3
Yankees+0.1
Orioles+0.1
Royals-0.1
-0.1
Rays+0.1
Tigers-0.1
-0.1
Blue Jays+0.1
Red Sox-3.2
-0.3
Twins-0.1
Friday
Guardians vs AthleticsIf winner is:HomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Guardians64.758.6
6.15.4
Royals54.855.1
4.85.0
Athletics27.733.3
2.42.9
Royals vs OriolesHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Orioles54.160.5
4.45.0
Royals58.251.7
5.24.5
Yankees vs RaysHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Yankees63.857.3
5.54.7
Rays40.747.3
2.93.6
Twins vs TigersHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Tigers38.344.8
3.03.7
Twins26.521.3
1.91.5
Braves vs RangersHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Yankees60.760.3
Orioles57.557.1
Royals55.154.8
Rangers43.449.5
4.14.7
Rays44.243.8
Blue Jays40.940.5
Red Sox37.737.3
Mariners37.036.3
3.43.2
Angels36.936.2
3.43.2
Athletics30.830.2
2.72.6
Astros17.917.5
Padres vs Blue JaysHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Guardians61.961.4
Yankees60.860.2
5.15.0
Orioles57.657.0
Royals55.254.7
Rangers46.746.3
Rays44.343.7
Tigers41.841.3
Blue Jays37.843.7
2.73.2
Red Sox37.837.2
Mariners36.836.4
Angels36.836.4
Twins24.123.7
Pirates vs Red SoxHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Guardians61.961.4
Yankees60.860.2
5.15.0
Orioles57.657.0
Royals55.254.7
Rangers46.746.3
Rays44.343.7
Tigers41.841.3
Blue Jays41.040.4
Red Sox34.640.4
2.42.9
Mariners36.836.4
Angels36.736.4
Reds vs AngelsHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Yankees60.760.3
Orioles57.557.1
Rangers46.846.1
4.54.3
Rays44.243.8
Blue Jays40.940.5
Red Sox37.737.3
Mariners37.036.3
3.43.2
Angels33.739.4
3.03.6
Athletics30.830.2
Astros17.917.5
Rockies vs MarinersHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Yankees60.760.3
Orioles57.557.1
Rangers46.846.1
4.54.3
Rays44.243.8
Blue Jays40.940.5
Red Sox37.737.3
Mariners33.839.5
3.03.6
Angels36.936.2
3.43.2
Athletics30.830.2
Astros17.917.5
Nationals vs AstrosHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Rangers46.746.2
Mariners36.836.4
Angels36.836.4
Athletics30.730.3
Astros15.719.7
1.31.6
Phillies vs White SoxHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
White Sox8.711.5
0.50.7

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeGuardiansYankeesOriolesRoyalsRangersRaysTigersBlue JaysRed SoxMarinersAngelsAthleticsTwinsAstrosWhite Sox
Guardians37.52.12.11.40.91.71.51.61.40.80.80.71.00.40.4
Yankees29.42.12.92.11.22.61.72.52.31.01.00.91.00.60.4
Orioles26.52.12.92.11.22.61.72.52.21.01.00.91.00.50.4
Royals30.51.42.12.10.91.61.61.51.40.80.80.71.00.40.4
Rangers30.00.91.21.20.91.00.80.90.80.60.60.50.40.30.2
Rays16.61.72.62.61.61.01.32.11.80.80.80.70.80.40.3
Tigers19.71.51.71.71.60.81.31.31.20.60.60.60.90.30.4
Blue Jays14.51.62.52.51.50.92.11.31.80.80.80.70.80.40.3
Red Sox13.01.42.32.21.40.81.81.21.80.70.70.60.70.40.3
Mariners21.90.81.01.00.80.60.80.60.80.70.50.50.40.30.2
Angels21.90.81.01.00.80.60.80.60.80.70.50.50.40.30.2
Athletics17.20.70.90.90.70.50.70.60.70.60.50.50.30.30.1
Twins9.21.01.01.01.00.40.80.90.80.70.40.40.30.20.2
Astros8.90.40.60.50.40.30.40.30.40.40.30.30.30.20.1
White Sox3.20.40.40.40.40.20.30.40.30.30.20.20.10.20.1