Boston Red Sox Playoff Race

Red Sox lost to Twins 8-9, odds of making the playoffs down 3.2% to 50.3%
Chance of making the playoffs: 50.3%Change:-3.2
Average final seed:5.10.27

Record:   24 - 16     .600

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.

Each game can have 2 kinds of impact on the Red Sox:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of making the playoffs.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average finishing position.

The day’s total impact on the Red Sox is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future games show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a game to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a games impact? (show)

SundayImpact
Twins9Red Sox8-3.3 (0.27)
Royals4Orioles00.5
Devil Rays8Angels5-0.3
IndiansBlue JaysPostponed
TigersYankeesPostponed
Worst-4.58 (0.31) -3.16  (0.27) (-0.34) 4.90Best
Monday
WinWin
Twins-3.2 (0.28) Red Sox3.3 (-0.29) 7:05 PM
-3.24 (0.28)   (-0.29) 3.27
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance team will finish the regular season at position
TWW-LPCTplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
146122-01.000In1001,000
11288-34.721In10013
11086-36.705In97371
10884-38.689In9541330
10682-40.672In973001,488
10480-42.656In973005,278
10278-44.639In9640017,065
10076-46.623In9541046,884
9874-48.607In93610113,792
9672-50.590100.0889200240,166
9470-52.574100.079146100447,030
9268-54.55799.7612312300724,836
9066-56.54197.837312110200001,034,467
8864-58.52588.7142727201010001,297,652
8662-60.50861.83132224279200001,429,474
8460-62.49224.003813282915410001,384,295
8258-64.4754.4001372131241020001,178,700
8056-66.4590.5000003112530208100880,210
7854-68.4430.0000000151630301540578,960
7652-70.4260.00000002102735214333,009
7450-72.410Out00019284121168,102
7248-74.393Out00111404774,610
7046-76.377Out003267128,186
6844-78.361Out0112879,620
6642-80.344Out05952,878
6440-82.328Out298700
6238-84.311Out199150
6036-86.295Out10031
5834-88.279Out1001
5632-90.262Out1002
240-122.000Out1001,000
Total:50.3% 18121191087654332110,000,000

Updated Monday, 5/12/08 5:39 AM Eastern Time (GMT-04:00)