Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Race

Rays lost to Angels 4-5, odds of making the playoffs down 1.3% to 95.6%
Method: 50/50  Weighted
Chance of making the playoffs: 95.6%Change:-1.3
Average finish:2.08-0.17

Record:   77 - 49    .611

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.

Each game can have 2 kinds of impact on the Rays:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of making the playoffs.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad.

The day’s total impact on the Rays is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future games show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a game to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a games impact? (show)

WednesdayImpact
Rays4Angels5-0.9(-0.16)
Twins3Athletics1-0.3
White Sox15Mariners3-0.2
Orioles11Red Sox60.2(0.04)
Worst-1.54 (-0.24) -1.31 (-0.17)(0.24)1.67Best
Thursday
WinWin
Angels0.4(-0.02)Twins-0.4(0.03)10:05 PM
Blue Jays0.1Yankees-0.17:07 PM
-0.45 (-0.03) 0.00 (0.00)(0.03)0.52
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance team will finish the regular season at position
TWW-LPCTplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
11336-01.000In1001,000
10932-4.889In10028
10831-5.861In100128
10730-6.833In100750
10629-7.806In1003,081
10528-8.778In100011,091
10427-9.750In100034,245
10326-10.722In100092,634
10225-11.694In9910217,884
10124-12.667In9820455,375
10023-13.639In95500840,144
9922-14.611In9010001,381,205
9821-15.583In8217002,023,732
9720-16.556100.071271002,656,128
9619-17.528100.056394103,125,373
9518-18.500100.039489403,300,762
9417-19.47299.922491810003,127,943
9316-20.44499.110402920102,660,156
9215-21.41796.13253633402,027,563
9114-22.38987.411134421201,382,348
9013-23.36169.90325422820841,249
8912-24.33345.10114314780456,012
8811-25.30621.50516542310218,212
8710-26.2786.902543455092,485
869-27.2501.5012357181034,633
858-28.2220.100848386010,966
847-29.194Out2275020203,007
836-30.167Out0104238101724
825-31.139Out22045313114
814-32.111Out842381224
803-33.083Out33673
792-34.056Out1001
770-36.000Out0738421211,000
Total:95.6%4229131141000000025,000,000