Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Race

Blue Jays beat Rays 6-2, odds of making the playoffs up 0.3% to 1.8%
Method: 50/50  Weighted
Chance of making the playoffs: 1.8%Change:0.3
Average finish:7.050.23

Record:   68 - 63    .519

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.

Each game can have 2 kinds of impact on the Blue Jays:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of making the playoffs.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad.

The day’s total impact on the Blue Jays is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future games show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a game to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a games impact? (show)

TuesdayImpact
Rays2Blue Jays60.5(0.20)
Yankees3Red Sox7-0.2(0.02)
Orioles3White Sox8-0.1
Mariners3Twins20.1
Royals1Rangers2(-0.03)
Worst-0.97 (-0.27) 0.33 (0.23)(0.28)0.84Best
Wednesday
WinWin
Rays-0.7(-0.19)Blue Jays0.6(0.19)7:10 PM
Yankees0.3(-0.03)Red Sox-0.3(0.03)7:05 PM
Mariners0.1Twins-0.14:40 PM
Royals(0.03)Rangers(-0.03)8:10 PM
-1.04 (-0.27) 0.00 (0.00)(0.26)1.02
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance team will finish the regular season at position
TWW-LPCTplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
9931-01.000In871301,000
9729-2.935In50508
9628-3.903In51381145
9527-4.871In27481510368
9426-5.83999.51343261712,018
9325-6.80696.2530322948,592
9224-7.77488.4115343812030,633
9123-8.74270.605293729092,223
9022-9.71046.40120255040235,026
8921-10.67723.200111262140517,005
8820-11.6458.3044563420986,289
8719-12.6132.0011365310001,642,771
8618-13.5810.300165825102,401,251
8517-14.5480.000647443003,086,100
8416-15.5160.0001295910003,500,161
8315-16.4840.0001461232003,498,951
8214-17.452Out0548389103,084,222
8113-18.419Out012845223002,399,390
8012-19.387Out011373813101,641,439
7911-20.355Out0320413060986,816
7810-21.323Out00628432010516,256
779-22.290Out0112394170234,878
768-23.258Out003235321092,028
757-24.226Out0084741330,483
746-25.194Out02315988,634
735-26.161Out11663201,980
724-27.129Out1055350372
713-28.097Out544657
702-29.065Out75254
680-31.000Out1472141,000
Total:1.8%0011923351784100025,000,000