Texas Rangers Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 33.3%
0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Angels+0.2-0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Texas-2.5+3.3
-0.3+0.4
-0.3+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Texas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-162In1007,873*
109109-53In1000270
106-108In1003,798*
105105-57In100003,833
104104-58In10007,250
103103-59In1000012,882
102102-60In1000022,259
101101-61In991037,442
100100-62In991061,882
9999-63In98200097,837
9898-64In973010153,067
9797-65In954010231,978
9696-66100.0%9270200343,761
9595-67100.087100300494,998
9494-68100.081141400696,200
9393-69100.0722016000954,467
9292-70100.061262100001,272,886
9191-71100.0483341410001,660,698
9090-7299.93537719200002,106,505
8989-7399.722371224400002,609,017
8888-7499.0123317299100003,146,766
8787-7596.65252130163000003,706,410
8686-7690.221523262481000004,250,314
8585-7776.507221830185100004,761,854
8484-7854.903179262814300005,195,760
8383-7930.901113162925113000005,531,799
8282-8013.30071620302410200005,749,057
8181-814.703018223123920005,819,200
8080-821.6010029233122920005,743,056
7979-830.60100021125312181005,535,713
7878-840.20000003122731196105,196,269
7777-850.1000001415293016404,757,641
7676-860.0000000161933281124,256,826
7575-870.00000002926362253,704,319
7474-880.00000004163534123,150,275
7373-890.000000182742222,608,901
7272-90Out00000031843352,106,606
7171-91Out0000011139491,658,629
7070-92Out0000633611,271,956
6969-93Out00032572954,349
6868-94Out0011881695,946
6767-95Out0011287495,288
6666-96Out000892343,293
6565-97Out00595231,285
6464-98Out00397152,516
6363-99Out0029897,585
6262-100Out019961,627
6161-101Out019937,066
6060-102Out010022,103
5959-103Out010012,892
5858-104Out01007,431
5757-105Out01003,782
5656-106Out1002,101
5555-107Out01001,098
0-54Out1008,704*
Total:33.3%77777777777777792,057,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Texas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeTorontoDetroitOaklandBaltimoreHoustonClevelandSeattleTampa BayKansas CityWhite SoxYankeesBostonMinnesotaAngels
106-16214.1%Yes
105105-5713.710000
104104-5814.2Yes
103103-5913.8100000000000
102102-6013.91000000000
101101-6113.71000000000000000
100100-6213.910000000000000000
9999-6313.710000000000000000
9898-6413.89900000000000000
9797-6513.69900000000000000
9696-6613.79800000000000000
9595-6713.69700000000000000
9494-6813.39600000000000000
9393-6913.19300101010000001
9292-7012.89011111111111111
9191-7112.48511111111111111
9090-7211.97911212121111112
8989-7311.17122323232222223
8888-7410.26222323232222223
8787-759.15133434343333334
8686-767.84033434343333334
8585-776.12933434343333334
8484-784.22022333232323223
8383-792.41211111111111111
8282-801.1700000000000000
8181-810.5300000000000000
8080-820.2100000000000000
7979-830.1100000000000000
7878-840.0000000000000000
7777-850.0000000000000000
7676-860.000000000000000
7575-870.000000
73-740.00
0-72No
Total:3.3%20.00.90.91.10.91.10.91.10.90.90.90.90.90.91.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Texas+0.6-0.8

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-162100
109109-53991
108108-54100
107107-551000
106106-561000
105105-571000
104104-581000
103103-59991
102102-60991
101101-619820
100100-6297300
9999-6395500
9898-6492800
9797-658712100
9696-6681182000
9595-67712530000
9494-686032710000
9393-694639132000000
9292-70314121610000000
9191-711836291231000000
9090-729263222920000000
8989-73314272818720000000
8888-741516262617720010000
8787-7501615242517820300000
8686-760014122124188282000000
8585-7700013917221871661000000
8484-7800001513201519167200000000
8383-7900013101712211911510000000
8282-8000000310311192217931000000
8181-810000040271522221683100000
8080-82000200138162222157310000
7979-83000100001410182321146200000
7878-84000000000251220232012510000
7777-85000000012715222317831000
7676-86000000001411202421124100
7575-87000000013918252415610
7474-8800000000271726261651
7373-89000000027182827143
7272-9000000292232269
7171-9100001312293618
7070-92000016214131
6969-9300002133946
6868-9400173260
6767-9500032572
6666-9600021881
6565-970011287
6464-9800892
6363-9900595
6262-1000397
6161-1010298
6060-102199
5959-1030199
5858-1040100
5757-1050100
5656-106100
5555-1070100
5454-108199
0-53100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333