Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Rangers 1-5, playoff odds down 3 to 41.5%

12-12 .500

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers 5 Mariners 1	-3.5		-0.4		-0.4
Cubs 4 Astros 3	+0.3
Angels 5 Orioles 6	+0.2		+0.1
Yankees 7 Athletics 3	+0.2
Twins 6 White Sox 3	-0.1
Guardians 0 Red Sox 8	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers vs Mariners	-3.5+3.5		-0.4+0.4		-0.4+0.4
Cubs vs Astros	+0.2-0.2
Yankees vs Athletics	+0.2-0.2
Twins vs White Sox	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

108	-150				In		100															2,412	*
107		95	-	43	In		99	1														86
106		94	-	44	In		100															194
105		93	-	45	In		100	0														442
104		92	-	46	In		100	0														791
103		91	-	47	In		100	0	0													1,605
102		90	-	48	In		99	1														3,123
101		89	-	49	In		99	1		0												5,539
100		88	-	50	In		98	2	0	0												10,029
99		87	-	51	In		97	3	0	0												17,185
98		86	-	52	In		95	5	0	0												28,859
97		85	-	53	In		91	8	0	0												46,674
96		84	-	54	In		87	13	0	1												73,003
95		83	-	55	In		80	18	1	1	0											112,673
94		82	-	56	In		72	25	2	1	0											166,603
93		81	-	57	In		62	33	4	2	0	0										238,078
92		80	-	58	In		50	40	7	4	0	0										332,181
91		79	-	59	100.0	%	37	46	12	5	0	0	0									451,384
90		78	-	60	100.0		25	48	19	8	1	0	0									595,274
89		77	-	61	100.0		14	45	28	10	3	0	0	0								760,215
88		76	-	62	99.9		7	37	37	12	5	1	0	0	0							945,871
87		75	-	63	99.4		3	27	44	13	10	3	1	0	0	0						1,137,470
86		74	-	64	97.7		1	16	48	11	14	7	2	0	0	0	0					1,335,518
85		73	-	65	92.5		0	9	47	8	16	14	6	1	0	0	0					1,517,245
84		72	-	66	81.0		0	4	41	4	14	19	13	5	1	0	0	0				1,677,754
83		71	-	67	62.5		0	1	33	2	8	19	20	12	4	1	0	0	0			1,805,267
82		70	-	68	41.1		0	0	24	0	4	13	22	21	11	3	1	0	0			1,886,297
81		69	-	69	23.0			0	16	0	1	6	17	26	21	10	3	0	0	0		1,913,335
80		68	-	70	11.6		0	0	9	0	0	2	9	21	28	21	8	2	0	0		1,885,298
79		67	-	71	5.5			0	5	0	0	0	3	12	25	29	19	6	1	0	0	1,805,364
78		66	-	72	2.5			0	2	0	0	0	1	5	15	28	29	15	4	0	0	1,679,776
77		65	-	73	1.1				1		0	0	0	1	7	20	31	26	11	2	0	1,518,467
76		64	-	74	0.4				0		0	0	0	0	2	10	25	33	22	6	1	1,333,467
75		63	-	75	0.1				0				0	0	1	4	16	32	32	14	2	1,139,091
74		62	-	76	0.0				0				0	0	0	1	8	24	37	24	5	943,787
73		61	-	77	0.0				0					0	0	0	3	15	36	35	11	759,897
72		60	-	78	0.0				0						0	0	1	8	29	43	19	595,368
71		59	-	79	0.0				0						0	0	0	4	21	46	30	453,487
70		58	-	80	Out										0	0	0	1	13	44	42	332,845
69		57	-	81	Out											0	0	1	7	39	53	238,790
68		56	-	82	Out												0	0	4	32	64	165,711
67		55	-	83	Out													0	2	25	73	112,195
66		54	-	84	Out													0	1	18	81	74,078
65		53	-	85	Out														0	13	86	46,799
64		52	-	86	Out													0	0	9	91	28,974
63		51	-	87	Out														0	6	94	17,263
62		50	-	88	Out														0	4	96	10,042
61		49	-	89	Out															3	97	5,672
60		48	-	90	Out															1	99	3,030
59		47	-	91	Out															1	99	1,677
58		46	-	92	Out															0	100	835
57		45	-	93	Out															0	100	425
12	-56				Out																100	2,715	*

Total:					41.5	%	4	8	18	3	4	5	6	7	7	8	8	7	7	6	4	28,220,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Guardians	Yankees	Orioles	Royals	Tigers	Red Sox	Rangers	Blue Jays	Rays	Twins	Angels	Athletics	Astros	White Sox

102	-150				12.3	%	Yes
101		89	-	49	12.3		100			0								0
100		88	-	50	13.1		100		0		0						0
99		87	-	51	12.2		100		0		0	0	0		0	0	0			0
98		86	-	52	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0		0	0
97		85	-	53	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		84	-	54	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		83	-	55	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
94		82	-	56	12.3		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
93		81	-	57	12.3		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
92		80	-	58	12.3		96	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
91		79	-	59	12.2		94	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
90		78	-	60	11.9		91	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
89		77	-	61	11.7		87	1	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
88		76	-	62	11.3		81	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
87		75	-	63	10.6		74	2	3	3	2	2	2	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	0
86		74	-	64	9.8		65	3	3	3	2	2	3	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	0
85		73	-	65	8.4		55	2	3	3	2	2	2	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	0
84		72	-	66	6.7		45	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
83		71	-	67	4.9		34	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
82		70	-	68	3.3		24	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		69	-	69	2.0		16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		68	-	70	1.2		9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		67	-	71	0.6		5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		66	-	72	0.3		2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		65	-	73	0.1		1		0		0		0		0	0	0
76		64	-	74	0.1		0								0
71	-75				0.0		0
12	-70				No

Total:					4.1	%	29.8	0.7	0.9	0.9	0.7	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs