Los Angeles Angels Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Mariners 2-3, playoff odds down 1.4 to 5.5%

31-40 .437

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Angels 5 Athletics 11	-2.7		-0.3		-0.3

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Angels 1 Athletics 8	-2.4		-0.3		-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Angels finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

97	-122				In		100															63	*
96		65	-	26	In		89	11														18
95		64	-	27	In		97			3												33
94		63	-	28	In		78	19		3												68
93		62	-	29	In		67	26	2	4	1											141
92		61	-	30	In		54	32	3	10	1											268
91		60	-	31	In		40	40	4	16	1											570
90		59	-	32	99.9	%	25	46	8	19	3	0										1,043
89		58	-	33	99.4		13	43	13	25	5	1	0									1,940
88		57	-	34	97.4		5	33	17	27	14	2	0									3,098
87		56	-	35	92.1		2	23	20	25	22	7	1		0							5,278
86		55	-	36	81.0		0	13	19	19	29	15	3	0								7,985
85		54	-	37	60.8		0	6	16	10	29	27	11	2	0	0						12,050
84		53	-	38	36.0		0	2	11	4	19	33	22	7	1	0						17,185
83		52	-	39	16.5			1	7	1	8	25	33	19	5	1	0					23,254
82		51	-	40	5.7			0	3	0	2	12	29	32	17	4	0	0	0			30,643
81		50	-	41	1.7			0	1	0	0	3	15	31	30	14	3	0	0			37,940
80		49	-	42	0.5				0		0	1	5	18	33	29	12	2	0	0		44,763
79		48	-	43	0.2				0			0	1	6	21	35	26	9	1	0		51,381
78		47	-	44	0.0				0			0	0	1	9	26	35	22	6	1	0	55,931
77		46	-	45	0.0				0				0	0	2	13	31	34	16	3	0	58,374
76		45	-	46	Out									0	0	5	19	36	30	9	1	58,382
75		44	-	47	Out									0	0	1	8	29	39	20	3	55,756
74		43	-	48	Out										0	0	3	17	39	33	8	51,190
73		42	-	49	Out											0	1	8	31	43	16	44,723
72		41	-	50	Out												0	3	21	48	28	37,728
71		40	-	51	Out												0	1	13	46	40	30,323
70		39	-	52	Out												0	0	6	39	54	23,439
69		38	-	53	Out													0	3	30	67	17,092
68		37	-	54	Out													0	1	22	76	12,100
67		36	-	55	Out														0	16	84	8,121
66		35	-	56	Out													0	0	10	90	5,253
65		34	-	57	Out														0	5	94	3,234
64		33	-	58	Out															3	97	1,866
63		32	-	59	Out															2	98	1,064
62		31	-	60	Out															1	99	568
61		30	-	61	Out															0	100	297
31	-60				Out																100	318	*

Total:					5.5	%	0	1	2	1	2	3	4	6	7	9	11	13	14	15	13	703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Angels finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Red Sox	Athletics	Tigers	Orioles	Rangers	Yankees	Indians	Rays	Royals	Blue Jays	Twins	Mariners	White Sox	Astros

96	-122				14.8	%	Yes
95		64	-	27	6.1		97			3
94		63	-	28	10.3		97						1			1
93		62	-	29	10.6		96				1	1	1		1		1
92		61	-	30	10.8		89	3		0	1	2	3	1		1	0	0
91		60	-	31	12.6		84	2	1		5	2	3	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
90		59	-	32	12.8		78	4	2	0	5	3	3	1	2	0	0			0
89		58	-	33	11.3		69	7	2	1	6	3	5	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
88		57	-	34	9.6		56	8	3	1	8	5	7	1	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
87		56	-	35	9.0		45	9	3	2	9	5	8	1	3	2	2	1	0	0	0
86		55	-	36	6.9		33	9	3	2	10	5	8	2	4	1	3	1	1	0	0
85		54	-	37	5.2		22	7	2	1	8	4	6	1	3	1	2	1	1	0	0
84		53	-	38	3.1		13	4	1	1	5	2	4	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
83		52	-	39	1.5		8	2	0	0	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
82		51	-	40	0.6		4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		50	-	41	0.2		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		49	-	42	0.1		0	0			0	0	0		0		0
77	-79				0.0		0
31	-76				No

Total:					0.5	%	2.6	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.6	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

Games Above .500 (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Angels 5 Athletics 11	+0.7

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Angels 1 Athletics 8	+0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

98	-122				100
97		66	-	25	50	50
96		65	-	26	78	22
95		64	-	27	70	27	3
94		63	-	28	49	38	10	3
93		62	-	29	29	41	18	9	1		1
92		61	-	30	19	38	30	11	2	0
91		60	-	31	9	30	30	22	8	1	1
90		59	-	32	3	17	26	29	18	6	1	0			0
89		58	-	33	0	5	17	27	26	16	7	1	0	0	1	0
88		57	-	34	0	1	6	16	26	26	15	6	1	0	2	0
87		56	-	35		0	1	6	14	22	25	17	6	1	7	1	0	0
86		55	-	36			0	1	4	12	20	24	15	4	14	4	0	0
85		54	-	37			0	0	0	2	9	18	21	10	22	13	4	1	0	0
84		53	-	38						0	2	6	14	14	20	23	14	5	1	0	0
83		52	-	39							0	1	5	11	9	21	25	17	8	3	1	0	0
82		51	-	40								0	1	5	2	8	19	25	21	13	5	1	0	0	0
81		50	-	41								0	0	2	0	1	5	14	22	24	18	9	3	1	0	0
80		49	-	42									0	0		0	1	3	9	18	24	23	15	6	2	0	0	0
79		48	-	43										0			0	0	1	5	12	22	25	19	10	4	1	0	0
78		47	-	44										0				0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	7	2	0	0
77		46	-	45										0						0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	9	3	1	0	0
76		45	-	46																	0	0	1	3	10	20	26	23	12	4	1	0	0
75		44	-	47																		0	0	0	2	8	18	27	24	14	5	1	0	0
74		43	-	48																			0	0	0	2	7	18	27	26	15	4	1	0
73		42	-	49																				0	0	0	2	7	19	29	26	13	3	0
72		41	-	50																						0	0	2	8	22	31	25	10	1
71		40	-	51																						0	0	0	3	12	27	35	20	4
70		39	-	52																							0	0	1	5	18	36	32	9
69		38	-	53																								0	0	2	9	29	42	17
68		37	-	54																									0	0	4	20	46	29
67		36	-	55																										0	2	12	45	41
66		35	-	56																										0	1	7	39	54
65		34	-	57																											0	3	32	65
64		33	-	58																												1	23	76
63		32	-	59																												0	18	81
62		31	-	60																												0	14	86
61		30	-	61																													7	93
60		29	-	62																												1	4	96
59		28	-	63																													5	95
31	-58																																	100

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	3