Los Angeles Angels Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Padres 4-5, playoff odds down 2.8 to 25.2%
23-24   .489

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Angels 4 Rangers 1 +2.7
+0.3
+0.3
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Angels 4 Rangers 5 -3.0
-0.3
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Angels finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
105-138In10014,580*
10481-34In1000698
10380-35In10001,658
10279-36In100003,695
10178-37In99007,857
10077-38In991015,898
9976-39In981031,432
9875-40In9630159,841
9774-41In94402108,619
9673-42In917030191,161
9572-43In8511040324,355
9471-44100.0%78160600530,257
9370-45100.068221900838,639
9269-46100.056291140001,273,176
9168-47100.0423531910001,868,255
9067-4899.9283962530002,648,917
8966-4999.5163892961003,618,173
8865-5098.183313321220004,770,400
8764-5194.1324173021510006,076,520
8663-5284.911418232913200007,479,214
8562-5367.607161431248100008,891,304
8461-5444.2021262432185100010,207,244
8360-5522.20182122930154000011,312,819
8259-568.500404173128133000012,124,322
8158-572.70201620322611300012,546,063
8057-580.901001722322510200012,550,483
7956-590.30000029243223810012,125,705
7855-600.10000021126322161011,315,833
7754-610.0000003142932174010,207,234
7653-620.000000151934291118,890,862
7552-630.0000001926372347,478,190
7451-640.0000003153635116,083,027
7350-65Out000172843214,772,150
7249-66Out00031845343,615,434
7148-67Out00011141472,645,706
7047-68Out000534611,870,328
6946-69Out00226721,274,122
6845-70Out0011881837,546
6744-71Out001287531,342
6643-72Out00892325,677
6542-73Out0595191,635
6441-74Out0397109,310
6340-75Out029859,244
6239-76Out019931,322
6138-77Out010016,186
6037-78Out01007,758
5936-79Out01003,631
5835-80Out01001,655
5734-81Out0100712
23-56Out10014,551*
Total:25.2%355678888888775169,904,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Angels finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosTwinsRoyalsTigersYankeesRaysMarinersOriolesRangersRed SoxBlue JaysWhite SoxIndiansAthletics
103-13812.4%Yes
10279-3612.010000
10178-3711.91000000000
10077-3812.6100000000000
9976-3912.41000000000000000
9875-4012.39900000000000000
9774-4112.49800000000000000
9673-4212.49700000000000000
9572-4312.19601110000000000
9471-4412.29401110010000000
9370-4511.99002220010100010
9269-4611.68612221110100110
9168-4711.38013331121200110
9067-4810.87325541131211110
8966-4910.26426661131311220
8865-509.55438772241311220
8764-518.64339982242411330
8663-527.33239982242411330
8562-535.62338872242311220
8461-543.71525551121211220
8360-551.9912221111100110
8259-560.8401110000000000
8158-570.3200000000000000
8057-580.1100000000000000
7956-590.0000000000000000
7855-600.000000000000000
7754-610.00000000
7653-620.000
74-750.00
23-73No
Total:2.4%12.80.82.12.12.00.50.51.00.40.90.30.30.70.70.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Angels 4 Rangers 1 -0.7
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Angels 4 Rangers 5 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
106-138100
10582-331000
10481-341000
10380-35991
10279-36991
10178-379820
10077-3897300
9976-399460
9875-4090900
9774-418514100
9673-427721200
9572-4366295000
9471-4453361010000
9370-4538401740000
9269-4624392692000000
9168-47133132176100000
9067-4852031261341000000
8966-49292229231141001000
8865-500310212721114102000
8764-5100310192521114151000
8663-520002817232111312300000
8562-5300001513201992092000000
8461-5400013917152120103100000
8360-55000002713122222146200000
8259-56000017311202419104100000
8158-57000030271522231683100000
8057-58000100139182322146200000
7956-590000000151220242011510000
7855-60000000012715222317831000
7754-61000000141119242113510000
7653-620000001271623241672000
7552-6300000025132226199300
7451-640000014122227211020
7350-650000141224292181
7249-66000015142731184
7148-6700001619333011
7047-68000210273921
6946-6900014194135
6845-70002113849
6744-7100163162
6643-720032374
6542-730011682
6441-74001189
6340-7500793
6239-760496
6138-770298
6037-78199
5936-79199
5835-800100
5734-810100
5633-820100
23-55100
Total:122233333344444444444444433322