Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Beat Braves 6-5, playoff odds up 4.1 to 24.2%
64-62   .508

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 -3.2
-0.2
-0.4
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 +0.4
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 -2.9
-0.2
-0.4
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.3
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 +0.3
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10036-0In10000664,171
9935-1In1003
9834-2In97365
9733-3In9316854
9632-4In842147,082
9531-5In73402344,545
9430-6In5660370229,694
9329-7In3990520979,206
9228-8In221016703,546,277
9127-9100.0%1091791011,018,370
9026-10100.04628620029,702,216
8925-1199.91328870070,150,148
8824-1299.40118216100146,097,008
8723-1397.000167303000269,626,362
8622-1488.80004543101000442,734,842
8521-1569.90002347255000649,208,542
8420-1641.80083438173000851,965,797
8319-1716.50021535331320001,002,166,490
8218-183.80041835301120001,057,791,455
8117-190.40005203528101001,002,138,438
8016-200.000162236278100851,926,514
7915-210.00017253924400649,206,556
7814-220.0000110324016100442,757,270
7713-23Out0002164234600269,576,317
7612-24Out000529471820146,103,586
7511-25Out00011445346070,169,009
7410-26Out005324617029,705,723
739-27Out001184832111,008,434
728-28Out007405033,541,371
717-29Out0226638977,465
706-30Out01146916229,969
695-31Out07662744,443
684-32Out0257416,951
673-33Out14455841
662-34Out307070
651-35Out40605
640-36Out01486664,171
Total:24.2%00010131414131210741008,013,990,260

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesTwinsAngelsRoyalsRangersOriolesRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
10036-012.5%10000000000000
9935-1NoYes
9834-29.29722
9733-311.6941121010
9632-411.6862162010000
9531-511.17722951201110
9430-610.3630431572411110
9329-79.248054219351121000
9228-88.3330752612462221000
9127-97.5210863114672221000
9026-107.0110963515773222000
8925-116.6601063715984232000
8824-126.42010638151084221000
8723-136.11010637151075221000
8622-145.6009534131075221000
8521-154.400732710854221000
8420-162.60042176533111000
8319-171.0002172211100000
8218-180.2000020000000000
8117-190.0000000000000000
8016-200.000000000000000
7915-210.0000000000000
7814-220.000
64-77No
Total:1.5%0.20.12.51.29.43.52.51.71.30.70.60.40.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 +0.7
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 +0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10036-019540
9935-1100
9834-28812
9733-370291
9632-4583840
9531-5042471000
9430-6025512220
9329-70124437700
9228-8042947172000
9127-901144531810000
9026-1005304119400000
8925-11011436331430000
8824-120042034281120100
8723-13001621322510230000
8622-14001720302481010000
8521-150001617271922710000
8420-1600014142326218200000
8319-17000031315282412410000
8218-1800003414262717720000
8117-19000003102228221131000
8016-2000001616272616610000
7915-2100001412242921820000
7814-2200000292130241120000
7713-230000171931261230000
7612-240000161831271330000
7511-2500015183028144100
7410-2600015173028144000
739-270001517302914300
728-280001618322912200
717-290017213628700
706-30001927402030
695-31002143836101
684-32052544233
673-3301338399
662-34265420
651-35204040
640-360083953
Total:000012356789998876542110000000