Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances

Beat Braves 6-5, playoff odds up 2.2 to 13.4%
64-62   .508

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 -2.6
-0.3
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +0.4
Twins 9 Angels 5 +0.2
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 *-0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 -2.5
-0.3
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.6
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 +0.3
Athletics 7 White Sox 6 +0.1
Twins 5 Angels 4 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10036-0In921072,236,996
9935-1In1001
9834-2In7042627
9733-3In48745350
9632-4In2790633,360
9531-5In149177024,457
9430-6In562871146,279
9329-7100.0%1329120724,704
9228-8100.001191603,042,093
9127-9100.000185140010,891,061
9026-1099.800073260033,802,842
8925-1199.0000584110091,654,278
8824-1296.40004155400218,556,935
8723-1389.8000256510000460,687,024
8622-1477.0001364212000862,016,554
8521-1557.3005523570001,436,708,753
8420-1634.40133441930002,137,406,880
8319-1715.4001540341010002,843,167,819
8218-184.700524402561003,385,154,414
8117-190.90193037194003,608,113,277
8016-200.1002143535131003,442,064,288
7915-210.0000420393070002,936,021,542
7814-220.000172843202002,235,468,669
7713-230.000011341378001,515,852,670
7612-24Out000426492020912,385,280
7511-25Out001114537600485,491,256
7410-26Out000431481610227,139,738
739-27Out0011648314092,819,692
728-28Out006384511032,837,501
717-29Out0223512509,945,851
706-30Out0010454312,544,380
695-31Out0432613538,664
684-32Out011873791,625
673-33Out09771512,297
662-34Out372251,138
651-35Out712966
640-36Out050502,236,999
Total:13.4%00021115171715127310026,989,789,760

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesTwinsRangersAngelsRoyalsRaysOriolesBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
10036-01.9%9310510000000
9935-1NoYes
9834-23.7747154
9733-31.15571287011
9632-41.5377144810310
9531-51.1239154910210000
9430-60.913111611011310000
9329-70.86121651011310000
9228-80.830131671021310000
9127-90.810131681021210000
9026-100.8001416810212100000
8925-110.700141689212100000
8824-120.700140668322000000
8723-130.700140627322000000
8622-140.600120545211000000
8521-150.400100413211000000
8420-160.20060251100000000
8319-170.10030110000000000
8218-180.0001030000000000
8117-190.000010000000000
8016-200.00000000000000
7915-210.00000000000
7814-220.000
7713-23No0
64-76No
Total:0.1%0.00.02.30.09.50.70.30.20.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 +0.5
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 +0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10036-00584020
9935-1100
9834-230637
9733-31152343
9632-443549120
9531-51185226300
9430-607404011100
9329-70223452550000
9228-80093538152000
9127-900319392991000
9026-1000072637236100
8925-11001113034184100
8824-120003153233133000
8723-13000519363091000
8622-1400016254516610000
8521-15000111451917610000
8420-1600033214271851000
8319-170000156233118610000
8218-180005110263119710000
8117-19001021125312171000
8016-20000021024322281000
7915-21000002924332371000
7814-22000002926352161000
7713-230000021129351940000
7612-24000021332341530000
7511-25000031735311220000
7410-260001521362691000
739-270001826362271000
728-280021129341951000
717-290003143133163000
706-30000416333113200
695-310015203728910
684-32001827392230
673-33021335371210
662-340424432530
651-351436446
640-360022146274
Total:00000001394710111211109642100000000