Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances

Beat Athletics 6-5, playoff odds up 2.2 to 17.1%
18-21   .462

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners 6 Athletics 5 +1.7
+0.1
+0.3
Marlins 2 Astros 7 -0.1
Blue Jays 6 Braves 10 +0.1
Indians 8 Rays 7 +0.1
Angels 5 White Sox 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners vs Athletics+1.9-2.3
+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.3
Rangers vs Phillies-0.3+0.3
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.2-0.2
Twins vs Rockies-0.2+0.2
Tigers vs Orioles+0.2-0.1
Royals vs Yankees+0.1-0.1
Marlins vs Astros+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-141In100145,127*
10890-33In9911169
10789-34In1000471
10688-35In99011,199
10587-36In98122,870
10486-37In97126,582
10385-38In952414,611
10284-39In923531,949
10183-40In88408067,321
10082-41In8360110134,829
9981-42In7680160263,241
9880-43In68110210495,703
9779-44100.0%591402700895,833
9678-45100.04817034001,569,693
9577-46100.03820141002,653,569
9476-47100.028211491004,332,663
9375-48100.019212562006,827,276
9274-4999.91119361500010,430,118
9173-5099.66164631000015,380,446
9072-5198.8312562161000021,934,177
8971-5296.718557253000030,270,366
8870-5391.805547358100040,406,963
8769-5482.20243442152000052,199,224
8668-5567.00132142266100065,235,022
8567-5647.3002113435153000078,929,717
8466-5727.5001422372691000092,448,759
8365-5812.60111129341951000104,795,612
8264-594.300041732291430000114,953,557
8163-601.100017223325102000122,133,835
8062-610.2000021126332171000125,612,935
7961-620.000004153031164000125,078,571
7860-630.000001620332811200120,580,735
7759-640.00000029253422610112,545,281
7658-650.000000031532321530101,693,366
7557-660.000000162236267188,930,304
7456-670.000000212323516275,313,154
7355-68Out000016233926661,714,669
7254-69Out000021436361248,962,129
7153-70Out0001729432037,576,628
7052-71Out000320453127,914,213
6951-72Out000113434320,049,726
6850-73Out00007375513,937,913
6749-74Out000430669,369,232
6648-75Out00223756,092,222
6547-76Out00116833,825,351
6446-77Out00011882,322,707
6345-78Out007921,361,506
6244-79Out00595771,799
6143-80Out0397422,135
6042-81Out0298223,484
5941-82Out0199113,806
5840-83Out010056,153
5739-84Out010026,612
5638-85Out010012,203
5537-86Out01005,310
18-54Out100148,814*
Total:17.1%1117899910101098641,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosYankeesIndiansOriolesTwinsRangersRed SoxWhite SoxTigersRaysAngelsBlue JaysRoyalsAthletics
109-1418.4%Yes
10890-336.5991
10789-349.3Yes
10688-358.399001000
10587-368.09800000000000
10486-378.29800100000000
10385-388.4961010000000000
10284-398.3951020010010000
10183-408.29201121110010000
10082-418.08902131111110000
9981-427.78402141221110000
9880-437.57903161221121100
9779-447.37304272331121100
9678-456.96605292442131100
9577-466.658063113552241100
9476-476.250073133662242100
9375-485.942184154763252100
9274-495.534194174873362100
9173-505.1271105194983362100
9072-514.82011152051093373200
8971-524.41421152151094373200
8870-534.01021152151094373200
8769-543.562105195983373200
8668-552.84184164873362100
8567-561.92153123552242100
8466-571.1103272331121100
8365-580.5101131111110000
8264-590.2000010000000000
8163-600.0000000000000000
8062-610.0000000000000000
7961-620.0000000000000000
7860-630.0000000000000000
7759-640.000000000000000
7658-650.0000000000000
7557-66No0000000
7456-67No0
18-73No
Total:0.8%2.20.31.90.93.90.91.81.60.70.61.30.50.30.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 6 Athletics 5 -0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners vs Athletics-0.5+0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109-141100
10890-33982
10789-34991
10688-35964
10587-369550
10486-379280
10385-3888111
10284-39821710
10183-407424300
10082-416430500
9981-4253379100
9880-434141153000
9779-4429422261000
9678-451938301120000
9577-4610313418510000
9476-47521342611300000
9375-482122731197100000
9274-491518302714410000
9173-5002922302310300000
9072-51003122529208201000
8971-520015152627176130000
8870-5300016162625143710000
8769-540000271726238143100000
8668-550000271725162010300000
8567-56000027182022199300000
8466-570000291716252093100000
8365-5800003107192621103100000
8264-5900014292026221241000000
8163-600001028182523146200000
8062-6100000027162424167200000
7961-6200000015142325199310000
7860-630000000141221262111410000
7759-6400000001310202622135100000
7658-65000000013918262314510000
7557-6600000002818262415610000
7456-670000000281726251561000
7355-680000028182725145100
7254-69000002919282413410
7153-70000013102229231020
7052-710000141325302061
6951-72000016173029142
6850-730000292435246
6749-7400001416343412
6648-7500019284121
6547-7600004204432
6446-77002124244
6345-7800173656
6244-7900042967
6143-80022276
6042-81011683
5941-82001188
5840-830892
5739-840595
5638-850397
5537-86298
5436-87199
5335-880100
5234-89199
18-51100
Total:001112234445556666655544332210