Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances

Beat Orioles 7-6, playoff odds up 0.9 to 11%
61-61   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 -2.6
-0.3
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +0.4
Twins 9 Angels 5 +0.2
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 *-0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 -2.5
-0.3
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.6
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 +0.3
Athletics 7 White Sox 6 +0.1
Twins 5 Angels 4 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10140-0In9307200,787
9837-3In33673
9736-4In425824
9635-5In226072225
9534-6In10618301,395
9433-7In4419017,802
9332-8In12192336,370
9231-9100.0%0119080149,553
9130-10100.000082170528,539
9029-1199.90007029001,643,094
8928-1299.50005544104,511,408
8827-1397.9000395920011,016,512
8726-1493.4002569600024,063,514
8625-1583.50013701510047,141,130
8524-1666.7066129400083,038,797
8423-1744.60024341132000131,973,297
8322-1823.2002342277100189,379,960
8221-198.60093037194000245,816,366
8120-202.0002143333153000288,711,883
8019-210.300418353011100306,982,800
7918-220.0016223727700295,279,155
7817-230.00018284020200256,940,177
7716-240.000021337381000201,938,109
7615-25Out0004234724200143,110,146
7514-26Out0019414180091,243,394
7413-27Out0032650191052,176,669
7312-28Out0001348345026,666,326
7211-29Out005354613012,119,384
7110-30Out0121502704,872,676
709-31Out0010444411,720,445
698-32Out0432614529,229
687-33Out0119719139,059
676-34Out09741631,337
665-35Out0470265,885
654-36Out26236863
643-37Out15050111
632-38Out33679
610-40Out01783200,787
Total:11.0%00011012141515141162002,422,177,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesRangersAngelsRoyalsTwinsRaysOriolesBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
10140-01.8%9310500000000
9837-3No3367
9736-4No421742
9635-50.928120510052
9534-60.716140591133100
9433-70.791606411421000
9332-80.741706711331000
9231-90.7218168223310000
9130-100.71019069223210000
9029-110.700190692232100000
8928-120.700200682232100000
8827-130.700200672232100000
8726-140.600200642222100000
8625-150.600180572221100000
8524-160.500150461111100000
8423-170.300100311110000000
8322-180.20060160000000000
8221-190.1002060000000000
8120-200.0001010000000000
8019-210.0000000000000
7918-220.0000000000
7817-230.000
7716-24No00
61-76No
Total:0.1%0.00.02.50.07.60.20.20.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 +0.5
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 +0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10140-0722710
9837-33367
9736-41325548
9635-532852161
9534-6115512940
9433-70637401420
9332-801214128710
9231-90083037205000
9130-100215333314300
9029-1100520352811100
8928-1200182435257100
8827-13002112937192000
8726-14000315373851000
8625-15000525541151000
8524-1600011155141451000
8423-1700034211241641000
8322-1800123523291541000
8221-1900911228291651000
8120-2002031428291761000
8019-21000041326291971000
7918-220000031225312171000
7817-230000021125322171000
7716-240000021026332161000
7615-2500002112834195100
7514-2600003133133163000
7413-270004173431132000
7312-28000152135279100
7211-2900182535237100
7110-30002112935194000
709-31000315343313200
698-320015213927710
687-330019303919300
676-34002163933910
665-3500627432030
654-36116413291
643-3753441182
632-38114444
610-4002174832
Total:0000000292581010111110864210000000