Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Orioles 3-7, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.03%
54-71   .432

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics 2 White Sox 7 -0.7
-0.3
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics 7 White Sox 6 +0.5
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9137-0In1681741664,012
9036-1In50502
8935-2In449248
8834-399.6%12179170485
8733-497.90116927203,992
8632-592.0000484380026,030
8531-676.1000274921300137,263
8430-750.30011403612200606,249
8329-822.700320392891002,268,526
8228-95.900623362581007,284,896
8127-100.7017233525910020,368,096
8026-110.00016213427910049,944,393
7925-120.000162035281010108,114,098
7824-130.000016223728700207,804,924
7723-14Out0001726412320356,084,896
7622-15Out000111384270545,874,508
7521-16Out00032455180750,353,816
7420-17Out00011154340926,787,971
7319-18Out0004445111,029,749,235
7218-19Out001306541,029,707,484
7117-20Out00018739926,791,218
7016-21Out0097318750,357,943
6915-22Out0046729545,871,792
6814-23Out0015742356,069,274
6713-24Out004455207,782,830
6612-25Out003268108,111,453
6511-26Out00227849,942,566
6410-27Out0148620,372,048
639-28Out08927,284,395
628-29Out04962,267,135
617-30Out0298607,177
606-31Out199137,766
595-32Out010025,787
584-33Out01003,932
55-57Out100468*
540-37Out0100664,012
Total:0.0%0000000012492845108,012,070,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesTwinsAngelsMarinersRoyalsRangersOriolesRaysBlue JaysTigersWhite Sox
9137-07.8%250145281411701210
9036-1No5050
8935-28.381524017642222
8834-35.831473518439232
8733-46.61017536154490222
8632-55.800155351543802220
8531-64.8001242912436122100
8430-73.10072208324111100
8329-81.4003193112011000
8228-90.4001031000000000
8127-100.000000000000000
8026-110.00000000000000
7925-120.00000000000
7824-130.000
54-77No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Athletics 2 White Sox 7 +0.6
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Athletics 7 White Sox 6 -0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9137-011749276100
9036-15050
8935-2815422762
8834-3072433241110
8733-4018253222812
8632-50292431206800
8531-600282229152031000
8430-700172022291551000
8329-800161620281982000
8228-9001551827241451000
8127-10001031223272110310000
8026-1100001615252617720000
7925-1200000281927241341000
7824-13000001413252819710000
7723-140000029223124102000
7622-15000017213226102000
7521-16000017213326102000
7420-17000182334248100
7319-1800002102635225000
7218-190000213313516200
7117-2000004173732810
7016-210001626422130
6915-220002133836111
6814-2300042543244
6713-24000112383811
6612-250005264623
6511-26001144540
6410-270063658
639-280022573
628-29011485
617-3000792
606-310397
595-320199
584-330100
573-340100
55-56100
540-370100
Total:0000000000000001123471013151615941