Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.003 to 99.9%
76-48   .613

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

MondayNone
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Braves 4 Astros 16 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-114In100681,515*
10832-6In100081,882
10731-7In1000371,590
10630-8In10001,435,901
10529-9In10004,775,840
10428-10In100013,827,726
10327-11In100035,164,780
10226-12In100079,058,202
10125-13In100000157,986,471
10024-14In100000281,996,138
9923-15In100000451,112,065
9822-16In99100648,264,405
9721-17In98200838,817,507
9620-18In96400978,471,363
9519-19In919001,030,016,354
9418-20In8217100978,469,805
9317-21In7028200838,765,310
9216-22In5441500648,242,072
9115-23100.0%365112100451,044,810
9014-24100.0215423300282,035,970
8913-25100.0947367100157,982,814
8812-2699.93324814300079,053,229
8711-2798.9116492111100035,163,738
8610-2892.805382326710013,828,475
859-2973.00121153622500004,775,794
848-3039.6007527361940001,433,708
837-3112.3011103035184000370,337
826-321.90021230351830081,139
815-330.102143234152014,664
804-34Out0316373211102,208
793-35Out042245245251
782-36Out1236444425
771-37Out1001
760-38Out00526452230664,171
Total:99.9%791641000000000008,013,990,260

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeRed SoxIndiansYankeesTwinsAngelsMarinersRoyalsRangersOriolesRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
102-11412.5%Yes
10125-1312.510000000
10024-1412.510000000000000
9923-1512.5100000000000000
9822-1612.5100000000000000
9721-1712.5100000000000000
9620-1812.5100000000000000
9519-1912.5100000000000000
9418-2012.5100000000000000
9317-2112.51000000000000000
9216-2212.510000000000000000
9115-2312.49900000000000000
9014-2412.39700100000000000
8913-2512.09310310010000000
8812-2611.48321721111000000
8711-2710.366321342322110000
8610-288.544422064433111000
859-295.922422164433111000
848-302.97211443322110000
837-310.9110511111000000
826-320.10001000000000
815-330.000000
76-80No
Total:12.4%99.20.10.00.30.10.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 4 Astros 16 -0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
11438-0991
11337-1100
11236-2946
11135-39010
11034-48317
10933-57426
10832-662380
10731-750500
10630-837630
10529-926740
10428-10178300
10327-11109000
10226-1259400
10125-1339610
10024-14197200
9923-15094500
9822-160901000
9721-1708218000
9620-1807028100
9519-19055414000
9418-2003950101000
9317-2102353222000
9216-22011453581000
9115-230430432040000
9014-24011438331220000
8913-25005233726810000
8812-26018263422710000
8711-2700210253222811000
8610-280029223022761000
859-290001717272117810000
848-30001412232224112000
837-310002101227271551000
826-3200221123282192000
815-330027192825144100
804-3401513272818710
793-352112330211020
782-3648203612164
771-37100
760-380015162928155100
Total:052291142100000000000000000000