Los Angeles Angels Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Lost to Rangers 3-5, playoff odds down 6.9 to 29.7%
64-61   .512

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Twins 9 Angels 5 -3.5
-0.2
-0.4
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 +0.4
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -0.3
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Twins 5 Angels 4 -3.3
-0.2
-0.4
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.5
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.3
Indians 0 Padres 1 +0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Angels finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10137-0In10000664,172
99-100In10033*
9834-3In9802466
9733-4In96134,021
9632-5In9120725,871
9531-6In814015137,325
9430-7In6580270606,237
9329-8In461104302,272,930
9228-9In271315907,299,955
9127-10100.0%13122731020,401,734
9026-11100.0482823049,971,412
8925-1299.914285800108,177,298
8824-1399.40117818100207,882,041
8723-1497.100164323000356,198,530
8622-1589.00004346101000545,966,575
8521-1670.60002248255000750,531,514
8420-1742.90083538163000926,934,314
8319-1817.40021636321220001,029,879,181
8218-194.10041936291120001,029,917,923
8117-200.5000521352710100926,989,419
8016-210.000162236267100750,486,978
7915-220.000017263923400545,976,434
7814-230.0000110334015100356,198,432
7713-24Out0002174233600207,880,621
7612-25Out000529461820108,187,205
7511-26Out0011444347049,997,518
7410-27Out005324617020,388,218
739-28Out00117473327,300,172
728-29Out007375062,273,126
717-30Out02236114607,919
706-31Out00126127138,047
695-32Out05524326,104
684-33Out139593,914
673-34Out02674413
662-35Out198137
640-37Out0397664,171
Total:29.7%0001316151412108631008,013,990,260

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Angels finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesTwinsMarinersRoyalsRangersOriolesRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
10137-012.5%100000000
99-1009.1Yes
9834-312.29800100
9733-412.49710100000
9632-512.59310310100000
9531-611.68521720101000
9430-710.8734212412011000
9329-89.95706319623021100
9228-98.84108426934122100
9127-107.92601053211451321000
9026-117.11401153712562321000
8925-126.7701263913672321000
8824-136.4301264014773321000
8723-146.1101254014874321000
8622-155.6001153613864321000
8521-164.400832910753221000
8420-172.70052186432111000
8319-181.1002182211100000
8218-190.3001020000000000
8117-200.0000000000000000
8016-210.000000000000000
7915-220.0000000000000
7814-23No000
64-77No
Total:1.9%0.50.03.61.412.24.12.52.01.31.00.70.50.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins 9 Angels 5 +0.7
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins 5 Angels 4 +0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10137-03971
10036-1100
9935-23943
9834-308911
9733-4084150
9632-50722610
9531-605639500
9430-70374813100
9329-80204827400
9228-9083641132000
9127-1002194328710000
9026-11007303819510000
8925-12021433321540000
8824-130041832281330100
8723-1400161931261223000
8622-1500016182925910100000
8521-160001516282121710000
8420-1700014142425219200000
8319-18000031414272413410000
8218-1900004313252718820000
8117-20000002920272412410000
8016-2100001515262818710000
7915-22000000310233022920000
7814-2300000272031261120000
7713-240000161931271230000
7612-25000151831281441000
7511-2600015173028154100
7410-2700015172929154000
739-280001516302915300
728-29001517313013200
717-3000151934301010
706-31001724392550
695-32002113240151
684-330031943314
673-341734508
662-353325114
640-370044452
Total:000123467889988765432110000000