Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Mariners 6-4, playoff odds up 2.6 to 42.6%
1-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners 4 Red Sox 6 +2.9
+0.3
+0.3
Rangers 4 Cubs 3 -0.2
Orioles 11 Angels 3 -0.1
Astros 4 Yankees 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners vs Red Sox-3.0+3.0
-0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.3
Astros vs Yankees+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
105-162In1005,227*
104103-58In100002,744
103102-59In100004,764
102101-60In100008,124
101100-61In991013,290
10099-62In991021,583
9998-63In98100034,152
9897-64In9630151,856
9796-65In94401077,425
9695-66In917020112,531
9594-67In86100400159,993
9493-68In79141600221,066
9392-69In70201900298,274
9291-70100.0%5926212100391,340
9190-71100.04631417100501,189
9089-72100.033347223000625,816
8988-73100.02134112761000762,576
8887-7499.811301530112000906,630
8786-7599.3523192919510001,052,564
8685-7697.321420252611200001,189,392
8584-7791.407191728207100001,314,898
8483-7878.3031592427165100001,416,098
8382-7957.00110315272513410001,488,141
8281-8032.90061719282312410001,521,799
8180-8114.5030292128221131001,525,304
8079-825.002003102228211030001,485,771
7978-831.40100141224282092001,415,913
7877-840.40000014132529197101,311,475
7776-850.1000001516282816401,190,570
7675-860.000000272031271121,050,565
7574-870.0000003112634215906,334
7473-880.000001517343212763,613
7372-890.0000029284021627,185
7271-900.00000004204233500,325
7170-91Out00002124047390,925
7069-92Out00173459296,930
6968-93Out00032670221,197
6867-94Out0021979160,140
6766-95Out0011386112,692
6665-96Out0099178,128
6564-97Out069452,449
6463-98Out039633,952
6362-99Out029821,906
6261-100Out19913,234
6160-101Out01998,066
6059-102Out01004,907
5958-103Out01002,637
5857-104Out01001,550
5756-105Out100792
5655-106Out0100438
1-55Out1002,490*
Total:42.6%87677777776666624,360,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeRangersTigersTwinsGuardiansBlue JaysOriolesYankeesAngelsMarinersAthleticsAstrosRoyalsWhite SoxRays
105-16212.2%Yes
104103-5812.81000
103102-5912.31000
102101-6012.110000000
101100-6112.61000000000000
10099-6212.410000000000000000
9998-6312.310000000000000000
9897-6412.29900000000000000
9796-6512.49900000000000000
9695-6612.29800000000000000
9594-6712.49600000000000000
9493-6811.99400001110000001
9392-6912.09111111110000011
9291-7011.68711111211111111
9190-7111.38111112221111112
9089-7210.97412223331111113
8988-7310.36622224442222223
8887-749.75723334442222224
8786-758.84633335553333334
8685-767.73634445553333334
8584-776.12633334443333334
8483-784.31822223332222223
8382-792.61111111221111111
8281-801.3711111110000111
8180-810.6400000000000000
8079-820.2200000000000000
7978-830.1100000000000000
7877-840.0000000000000000
7776-850.000000000000
7675-860.000
72-750.00
1-71No
Total:3.5%20.90.91.01.01.01.41.41.40.80.80.80.80.90.91.3
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs