Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Angels 6-5, playoff odds up 2.9 to 63.3%

16-8 .667

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Angels 5 Orioles 6	+3.2		+0.3		+0.3
Twins 6 White Sox 3	-0.2
Yankees 7 Athletics 3	-0.2		-0.1
Cubs 4 Astros 3	+0.1
Guardians 0 Red Sox 8	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Twins vs White Sox	-0.2+0.2
Yankees vs Athletics	-0.1+0.1		-0.1+0.1
Cubs vs Astros	+0.1-0.1
Guardians vs Red Sox	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

110	-154				In		100															35,945	*
109		93	-	45	In		100	0														5,498
108		92	-	46	In		100	0														10,935
107		91	-	47	In		100	0		0												21,642
106		90	-	48	In		100	0		0												40,943
105		89	-	49	In		100	0		0												74,513
104		88	-	50	In		100	0		0												132,145
103		87	-	51	In		100	0		0												229,013
102		86	-	52	In		100	0	0	0												383,219
101		85	-	53	In		99	1	0	0												621,676
100		84	-	54	In		99	1	0	0	0											976,568
99		83	-	55	In		98	2	0	1	0											1,489,284
98		82	-	56	In		96	3	0	1	0											2,210,076
97		81	-	57	In		93	4	0	2	0											3,173,457
96		80	-	58	In		89	7	0	4	0	0										4,438,525
95		79	-	59	In		84	10	0	6	0	0										6,012,125
94		78	-	60	In		76	14	0	9	0	0										7,916,258
93		77	-	61	100.0	%	67	19	1	13	0	0	0									10,117,991
92		76	-	62	100.0		55	24	1	18	1	0	0									12,557,050
91		75	-	63	100.0		42	28	3	24	3	0	0									15,141,928
90		74	-	64	100.0		29	30	4	30	5	0	0	0								17,747,752
89		73	-	65	99.9		18	29	7	35	10	1	0	0	0							20,203,559
88		72	-	66	99.7		9	24	9	36	18	3	0	0	0	0						22,341,421
87		71	-	67	98.9		4	18	10	33	26	8	1	0	0	0						24,012,536
86		70	-	68	96.1		1	11	10	26	32	15	3	0	0	0	0					25,067,894
85		69	-	69	88.9		0	5	9	17	33	25	9	2	0	0	0	0	0			25,431,499
84		68	-	70	74.4		0	2	6	8	26	32	19	6	1	0	0	0	0			25,072,745
83		67	-	71	52.8		0	1	4	3	16	30	28	14	4	1	0	0	0			24,014,618
82		66	-	72	29.7		0	0	2	1	7	20	31	25	11	3	0	0	0	0		22,343,372
81		65	-	73	12.5		0	0	1	0	2	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0	0		20,209,352
80		64	-	74	3.8			0	0	0	0	3	12	25	30	20	8	2	0	0	0	17,752,185
79		63	-	75	0.8			0	0	0	0	1	4	14	27	29	17	6	1	0	0	15,154,715
78		62	-	76	0.1			0	0	0	0	0	1	6	17	29	28	14	4	0	0	12,564,992
77		61	-	77	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	2	8	21	32	25	10	2	0	10,112,484
76		60	-	78	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	3	11	26	33	20	6	0	7,914,957
75		59	-	79	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	1	5	17	32	31	13	2	6,012,019
74		58	-	80	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	1	9	25	37	23	5	4,431,856
73		57	-	81	Out								0	0	0	0	4	16	36	34	10	3,176,103
72		56	-	82	Out								0	0	0	0	1	9	30	42	18	2,209,691
71		55	-	83	Out									0	0	0	0	4	22	45	28	1,492,212
70		54	-	84	Out										0	0	0	2	14	44	40	975,691
69		53	-	85	Out											0	0	1	8	39	52	620,843
68		52	-	86	Out											0	0	0	5	33	63	382,857
67		51	-	87	Out												0	0	2	25	72	229,187
66		50	-	88	Out												0	0	1	19	80	133,842
65		49	-	89	Out													0	1	14	86	74,750
64		48	-	90	Out														0	9	90	40,752
63		47	-	91	Out														0	7	93	21,685
62		46	-	92	Out														0	4	96	10,943
61		45	-	93	Out														0	3	97	5,574
60		44	-	94	Out														0	1	98	2,759
59		43	-	95	Out															1	99	1,190
58		42	-	96	Out															0	100	534
57		41	-	97	Out															1	99	243
16	-56				Out																100	31,297	*

Total:					63.3	%	15	10	4	14	11	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	375,386,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Guardians	Yankees	Royals	Tigers	Red Sox	Rangers	Mariners	Blue Jays	Rays	Twins	Angels	Athletics	Astros	White Sox

108	-154				12.9	%	Yes
107		91	-	47	12.3		100		0			0
106		90	-	48	12.5		100					0		0		0	0
105		89	-	49	12.6		100	0		0	0					0
104		88	-	50	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0		0
103		87	-	51	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
102		86	-	52	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		85	-	53	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		84	-	54	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		83	-	55	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		82	-	56	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		81	-	57	12.3		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		80	-	58	12.3		96	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		79	-	59	12.1		94	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
94		78	-	60	11.9		91	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
93		77	-	61	11.7		86	1	2	1	1	2	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	0
92		76	-	62	11.3		80	2	3	2	2	3	1	1	3	2	1	0	0	0	0
91		75	-	63	10.8		73	3	4	3	2	4	1	1	4	3	1	1	0	0	0
90		74	-	64	10.2		64	4	5	4	3	5	1	1	5	4	2	1	1	0	0
89		73	-	65	9.5		53	5	7	5	4	6	1	1	6	5	3	1	1	0	0
88		72	-	66	8.7		43	6	8	6	5	7	2	2	7	6	3	1	1	1	0
87		71	-	67	7.7		32	7	8	7	6	8	2	2	7	6	3	1	1	1	0
86		70	-	68	6.4		22	7	8	7	6	7	2	2	7	6	4	2	1	1	0
85		69	-	69	4.9		14	6	6	6	5	6	2	2	5	5	3	1	1	1	0
84		68	-	70	3.2		8	4	4	4	4	4	2	1	4	3	2	1	1	1	0
83		67	-	71	1.7		4	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	0
82		66	-	72	0.7		2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
81		65	-	73	0.2		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		64	-	74	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		63	-	75	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		62	-	76	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		61	-	77	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
76		60	-	78	0.0		0		0	0	0	0			0				0
75		59	-	79	0.0		0				0
74		58	-	80	0.0		0				0
16	-73				No

Total:					5.2	%	28.9	2.8	3.4	2.8	2.4	3.2	0.9	0.9	2.9	2.6	1.5	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.2

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs