Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 33.3%
0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees vs Boston-2.5+3.3
-0.3+0.4
-0.3+0.4
Cincinnati vs Angels+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Cleveland-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-162In10011,794*
105105-57In100004,022
104104-58In100007,267
103103-59In1000012,831
102102-60In1000022,162
101101-61In991037,469
100100-62In9910061,035
9999-63In9820098,089
9898-64In973010152,779
9797-65In954010232,755
9696-66100.0%9260200344,081
9595-67100.087100300495,794
9494-68100.081140400696,032
9393-69100.0722016000952,402
9292-70100.0612621000001,270,993
9191-71100.0483341410001,658,685
9090-7299.9353771920002,106,737
8989-7399.722371224400002,605,557
8888-7499.0123317299100003,147,557
8787-7596.65252130163000003,706,768
8686-7690.221523262481000004,251,348
8585-7776.507221830185100004,762,949
8484-7854.9031792628143000005,196,705
8383-7930.90111316292511300005,539,773
8282-8013.30071620302410200005,746,105
8181-814.703018223123920005,814,700
8080-821.7010029233122920005,749,178
7979-830.60100021125312181005,531,599
7878-840.2000003122731196105,197,059
7777-850.1000001415293016404,762,448
7676-860.0000000161933281124,252,023
7575-870.00000002926362253,704,449
7474-880.00000004163534123,147,317
7373-89Out0000182742222,608,587
7272-90Out0000031843352,110,179
7171-91Out000011140491,658,555
7070-92Out0000633611,274,499
6969-93Out00032572953,363
6868-94Out0011881695,791
6767-95Out0011287494,507
6666-96Out000892343,191
6565-97Out00595231,401
6464-98Out00397152,189
6363-99Out0029897,957
6262-100Out019961,020
6161-101Out19937,463
6060-102Out010022,249
5959-103Out010012,796
5858-104Out01007,152
5757-105Out01003,951
5656-106Out01002,154
5555-107Out01001,134
0-54Out1008,720*
Total:33.3%77777777777777792,057,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeTorontoDetroitOaklandBaltimoreHoustonClevelandSeattleTampa BayTexasKansas CityWhite SoxYankeesMinnesotaAngels
106-16214.3%Yes
105105-5713.610000
104104-5814.01000000
103103-5913.110000000
102102-6013.2100000000000
101101-6113.910000000000000
100100-6213.810000000000000000
9999-6313.810000000000000000
9898-6413.69900000000000000
9797-6513.59900000000000000
9696-6613.69800000000000000
9595-6713.59700000000000000
9494-6813.49600000000000000
9393-6913.19310010001000100
9292-7012.99011111111111111
9191-7112.48511111111111111
9090-7211.87921121112111211
8989-7311.17132232223222322
8888-7410.26232232223222322
8787-759.15143343334333433
8686-767.84043343334333433
8585-776.12943343334333433
8484-784.22033333233222322
8383-792.41211111111111111
8282-801.1700000000000000
8181-810.5300000000000000
8080-820.2100000000000000
7979-830.1100000000000000
7878-840.0000000000000000
7777-850.0000000000000000
7676-860.00000000000000
7575-870.000
7474-880.00
0-73No
Total:3.3%20.01.10.90.91.10.90.90.91.10.90.90.91.10.90.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees vs Boston+0.6-0.8
TuesdayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
107-162100
106106-561000
105105-571000
104104-581000
103103-59991
102102-609910
101101-619820
100100-629730
9999-6395500
9898-6492800
9797-658712100
9696-6681182000
9595-67712530000
9494-686032710000
9393-69463913200000
9292-7031412161000000
9191-711836291231000000
9090-7292632229200000000
8989-73314272818720000000
8888-741516262617720010000
8787-7501615242517820300000
8686-760014122124188282000000
8585-7700013917231871661000000
8484-7800001513201519167200000000
8383-790001310171221191151000000
8282-8000000310311202217931000000
8181-81000040271522221683100000
8080-82000200138162222157310000
7979-83000100001410182321146200000
7878-84000000000251220232012510000
7777-8500000000012715222317831000
7676-86000000001411202521124100
7575-87000000013918252415610
7474-8800000001271726261651
7373-8900000027182827143
7272-90000000292232269
7171-9100001312293618
7070-92000016214132
6969-9300002133946
6868-94000173260
6767-95000032571
6666-9600021881
6565-970011287
6464-9800892
6363-9900595
6262-1000397
6161-1010298
6060-1020199
5959-103199
5858-104199
5757-1050100
5656-1060100
5555-1070100
0-54100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333