Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 50/50

Plays at Royals, playoff odds down 0.1 to 43.4%
13-11   .542

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Angels 5 Orioles 6 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Royals vs Blue Jays-3.3+3.3
-0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.3
Twins vs White Sox-0.2+0.2
Yankees vs Athletics-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Cubs vs Astros+0.1-0.1
Guardians vs Red Sox+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Royals vs Blue Jays-3.4+3.4
-0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.3
Yankees vs Athletics-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Twins vs White Sox-0.1+0.1
Cubs vs Astros+0.1-0.1
Guardians vs Red Sox+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-151In1001,496*
10592-46In1000414
10491-47In10000775
10390-48In100001,491
10289-49In100002,699
10188-50In99104,772
10087-51In981008,416
9986-52In9720114,099
9885-53In9530222,799
9784-54In92503035,525
9683-55In88705054,364
9582-56In821107081,030
9481-57In741501100116,616
9380-58In642011510162,960
9279-59100.0%5224121200220,519
9178-60100.039283273000290,169
9077-61100.026294337000370,030
8976-6299.9162763712100460,671
8875-6399.7822838204000553,979
8774-6498.631510342891000651,486
8673-6595.519926341740000740,826
8572-6687.6048163326102000818,918
8471-6772.4025826322071000879,317
8370-6850.400331529291541000919,403
8269-6927.600216193026123000931,850
8168-7011.301029223023102000918,397
8067-713.3000031125302182000877,109
7966-720.7000014142729186100818,075
7865-730.10001517292815400739,303
7764-740.00000272131261120648,903
7663-750.0000021126332161555,890
7562-76Out0014163231142459,354
7461-77Out00182537245369,599
7360-78Out000316353511288,905
7259-79Out0018294219220,227
7158-80Out0004214530162,954
7057-81Out002144342116,264
6956-82Out0018385481,347
6855-83Out004326454,177
6754-84Out02257335,953
6653-85Out01188122,795
6552-86Out0138713,813
6451-87Out009918,530
6350-88Out006944,927
6249-89Out4962,727
6148-90Out2981,472
6047-91Out298795
5946-92Out199401
5845-93Out199205
13-57Out1001,294*
Total:43.4%6631010998877654313,748,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeGuardiansOriolesYankeesTigersRoyalsMarinersRed SoxRangersRaysAngelsTwinsAthleticsAstrosWhite Sox
105-15112.4%Yes
10491-4711.61000
10390-4812.91000
10289-4913.210000
10188-5012.510000000000
10087-5113.010000000000000
9986-5212.2990000000000000
9885-5312.29800000000000000
9784-5412.39700000000000000
9683-5512.29501100010000000
9582-5612.09311111010100000
9481-5711.78912211010101000
9380-5811.58423311020201000
9279-5910.97724422131201000
9178-6010.66935533141311100
9077-619.96047744151412100
8976-629.24958855161512110
8875-638.43969966272513110
8774-647.428610966272613110
8673-656.21969966272513110
8572-664.61257755252413110
8471-672.9745444141312110
8370-681.5422222121111000
8269-690.6211111010100000
8168-700.2100000000000000
8067-710.0000000000000000
7966-720.0000000000000000
7865-730.000000000000
7764-740.00000000
7663-75No0
13-75No
Total:3.1%14.82.02.92.91.91.90.72.20.71.70.51.00.40.30.2
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs