"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 33.3%
0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Angels+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Baltimore-2.5+3.3
-0.3+0.4
-0.3+0.4
Toronto vs Cleveland-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-162In1008,714*
107107-55In10001,114
106106-56In10002,102
105105-57In10004,023
104104-58In100007,130
103103-59In1000012,795
102102-60In1000021,855
101101-61In990037,084
100100-62In99100061,148
9999-63In98200097,881
9898-64In973010153,411
9797-65In954010231,791
9696-66100.0%9260200342,719
9595-67100.087100300494,743
9494-68100.081141400696,165
9393-69100.0722016000953,573
9292-70100.061262100001,273,761
9191-71100.0483341410001,659,179
9090-7299.93537719200002,104,979
8989-7399.722371224400002,607,366
8888-7499.0123317299100003,148,443
8787-7596.65252130163000003,709,731
8686-7690.221523262481000004,255,783
8585-7776.607221830185100004,758,184
8484-7854.9031792628143000005,195,527
8383-7930.901113162925113000005,536,211
8282-8013.30071620302410200005,741,272
8181-814.7030182231239200005,817,072
8080-821.6010029233122920005,745,729
7979-830.60100021125312181005,535,654
7878-840.20000003122731196105,194,857
7777-850.10000001415303116404,765,937
7676-860.0000000161933281124,255,509
7575-870.00000002926362253,705,266
7474-880.00000004163534123,147,843
7373-890.000000182742222,607,772
7272-90Out0000031843352,106,242
7171-91Out000011140481,659,132
7070-92Out0000633611,273,519
6969-93Out00032572953,664
6868-94Out00011881695,813
6767-95Out0011287495,647
6666-96Out00892343,297
6565-97Out000595231,336
6464-98Out00397152,218
6363-99Out029897,758
6262-100Out019961,280
6161-101Out019937,488
6060-102Out010022,029
5959-103Out010012,676
5858-104Out01007,103
5757-105Out01003,943
5656-106Out1002,038
5555-107Out01001,116
0-54Out1008,698*
Total:33.3%77777777777777792,057,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeTorontoDetroitOaklandHoustonClevelandSeattleTampa BayTexasKansas CityWhite SoxYankeesBostonMinnesotaAngels
107-16213.7%Yes
106106-5613.61000
105105-5714.6Yes
104104-5813.6100000
103103-5913.910000000
102102-6013.61000000000000
101101-6113.71000000000000000
100100-6213.910000000000000000
9999-6313.610000000000000000
9898-6413.69900000000000000
9797-6513.69900000000000000
9696-6613.59800000000000000
9595-6713.59700000000000000
9494-6813.39600000000000000
9393-6913.29310000010001100
9292-7012.99011111111111111
9191-7112.48511111111111111
9090-7211.87921111121112211
8989-7311.17132222232223322
8888-7410.26232222232223322
8787-759.15143333343334433
8686-767.84043333343334433
8585-776.12943333343334433
8484-784.22033323232223322
8383-792.41211111111111111
8282-801.1700000000000000
8181-810.5300000000000000
8080-820.2100000000000000
7979-830.1100000000000000
7878-840.0000000000000000
7777-850.0000000000000000
7676-860.00000000000
7575-870.000000
73-740.00
0-72No
Total:3.3%20.01.10.90.90.90.90.91.10.90.90.91.11.10.90.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Baltimore+0.6-0.8

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
111-162100
110110-52991
109109-53100
108108-541000
107107-551000
106106-561000
105105-571000
104104-58991
103103-59991
102102-60991
101101-619820
100100-629730
9999-639550
9898-64928000
9797-658712100
9696-66811820000
9595-67722530000
9494-686032710000
9393-69463913200000
9292-7031412161000000
9191-7118362912310000000
9090-729263222920000000
8989-73314272818720000000
8888-741516262617720010000
8787-7501615242517820300000
8686-760014122124188282000000
8585-7700013917231871661000000
8484-780000151320151916720000000
8383-7900001310171221191151000000
8282-8000000310311192217941000000
8181-81000040271522221683100000
8080-820002001381622221573100000
7979-83000100001410182321146200000
7878-84000000000251220232012510000
7777-85000000012715222317831000
7676-86000000001411202421124100
7575-87000000013918252415610
7474-880000000271726261651
7373-89000000027182827143
7272-90000000292232269
7171-91000001312293618
7070-92000016214131
6969-9300002133846
6868-94000173260
6767-9500032571
6666-9600021881
6565-970011287
6464-9800892
6363-9900595
6262-10000397
6161-1010298
6060-1020199
5959-103199
5858-1040100
5757-1050100
5656-1060100
5555-1070100
52-54100
5151-111298
0-50100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333