New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 67.8%
66-57   .537

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 +4.2
+0.4
+0.3
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 +0.4
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 -4.2
-0.4
-0.3
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.5
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 +0.4
Indians 0 Padres 1 +0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10539-0In1000664,171
103-104In10012*
10236-3In991134
10135-4In9551,251
10034-5In93708,547
9933-6In87130048,119
9832-7In792100225,333
9731-8In683100902,444
9630-9In5643013,098,878
9529-10In42551309,294,435
9428-11In286426024,487,628
9327-12In1768411057,079,438
9226-13In9657190118,495,176
9125-14100.0%454123100220,005,558
9024-15100.01391644000366,538,107
8923-16100.00231856200549,690,072
8822-1799.801117656000743,526,079
8721-1898.8041365161000908,670,187
8620-1994.10185431600001,004,228,981
8519-2080.000434421730001,004,333,762
8418-2153.4002153733122000908,652,753
8317-2223.7004203628102000743,534,862
8216-235.80005203427112000549,644,700
8115-240.7001519332811200366,536,085
8014-250.00001518343011100220,006,415
7913-260.000005193731800118,506,469
7812-27Out000523422730057,088,389
7711-28Out000183447110024,479,513
7610-29Out002175425209,295,031
759-30Out0064641703,099,862
748-31Out013152160900,060
737-32Out001753291225,415
726-33Out074544348,239
715-34Out3335788,638
704-35Out12263141,184
693-36Out116128145
682-37Out505016
671-38Out1001
660-39Out013267664,171
Total:67.8%1873318128532110008,013,990,260

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansTwinsAngelsMarinersRoyalsRangersOriolesRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
101-10512.5%Yes
10034-512.21000
9933-612.510000000
9832-712.6100000000000
9731-812.510000000000000
9630-912.499000000000000
9529-1012.39700001000000000
9428-1112.19400012111000000
9327-1211.88900123211000000
9226-1311.38100146422000000
9125-1410.66900269634100000
9024-159.756003812855110000
8923-168.94200411151167111000
8822-178.02910514181388221000
8721-187.318106162015910321000
8620-196.510106172015910321000
8519-205.3400515171489321000
8418-213.4200311111056221000
8317-221.5000155423111000
8216-230.4000011111000000
8115-240.0000000000000000
8014-250.0000000000000000
7913-260.000000000000
66-78No
Total:5.3%16.20.30.23.410.312.29.45.56.21.81.40.80.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -0.6
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10539-026740
10438-1100
10337-2100
10236-34961
10135-429260
10034-519090
9933-60831610
9832-70722620
9731-80583740
9630-9043471000
9529-10027521910
9428-110155032300
9327-120740458000
9226-13022651182000
9125-1401134632810000
9024-15005324119400000
8923-16011537321320000
8822-170052235261020000
8721-180018243423811000
8620-190019243222651000
8519-200002822311815410000
8418-2100016202622176100000
8317-220000151815272110300000
8216-2300015415262616610000
8115-24000103102027231241000
8014-2500001513242819820000
7913-26000000281929261330000
7812-27000151528301751000
7711-2800003122733195100
7610-2900002122833195100
759-300003132932185100
748-3100315303116400
737-3201517313014300
726-330161934291110
715-3401724352560
704-35021031361830
693-3631438378
682-376254425
671-38100
660-390005294521
Total:0026911111110876543221110000000000