Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 40%
0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

ThursdayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners vs Red Sox-3.0+3.0
-0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.3
Rangers vs Cubs-0.2+0.2
Astros vs Yankees+0.1-0.1
Orioles vs Angels-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
111-162In10078,559*
110110-52In10001,560
108-109In1009,701*
107107-55In100012,730
106106-56In100023,985
105105-57In1000045,473
104104-58In1000081,875
103103-59In10000143,108
102102-60In10000246,388
101101-61In99100412,454
100100-62In991000671,491
9999-63In9820001,064,904
9898-64In9630101,646,140
9797-65In9440102,478,080
9696-66In91702003,641,018
9595-67In861003005,215,353
9494-68In791515007,280,550
9393-69100.0%7021180009,917,135
9292-70100.05927212100013,174,889
9191-71100.04632416100017,070,187
9090-72100.03336821300000021,567,554
8989-73100.02136122661000026,579,758
8888-7499.911311629112000031,956,527
8787-7599.452420281841000037,499,727
8686-7697.52152224251020000042,910,286
8585-7791.80820172819710000047,935,139
8484-7879.10317924261551000052,229,405
8383-7958.1011231526241341000055,535,732
8282-8034.100817192723113100057,612,127
8181-8115.4004029212822113100058,321,909
8080-825.40020031122282110300057,597,725
7979-831.601001412242820820055,528,212
7878-840.500000141426281971052,243,793
7777-850.200000016162828164047,937,046
7676-860.00000002820312611242,917,187
7575-870.0000000311263421537,497,130
7474-880.000000151734321131,959,072
7373-890.0000002928402126,576,074
7272-900.0000001420423321,565,082
7171-910.000000212404617,060,315
7070-920.0000017345913,176,396
6969-93Out000326709,916,170
6868-94Out000219797,285,351
6767-95Out000113865,213,372
6666-96Out0009913,642,882
6565-97Out006942,481,508
6464-98Out003961,644,697
6363-99Out02981,062,375
6262-100Out0199670,606
6161-101Out0199411,979
6060-102Out0100247,305
5959-103Out0100144,051
5858-104Out010081,662
5757-105Out010044,787
5656-106Out010024,704
5555-107Out010012,701
5454-108Out01006,498
5353-109Out01003,235
0-52Out10080,241*
Total:40.0%777777777777777932,395,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAngelsGuardiansOriolesTwinsWhite SoxAthleticsMarinersTigersRangersRaysAstrosBlue JaysYankeesRoyals
106-16212.8%Yes
105105-5712.810000000
104104-5812.61000000000000
103103-5912.410000000000000000
102102-6012.510000000000000000
101101-6112.510000000000000000
100100-6212.510000000000000000
9999-6312.510000000000000000
9898-6412.59900000000000000
9797-6512.49900000000000000
9696-6612.39800000000000000
9595-6712.39700000000000000
9494-6812.29500100000010110
9393-6912.09200100000010110
9292-7011.78811111111111111
9191-7111.48311211111121221
9090-7211.07611211111121221
8989-7310.56822322222232332
8888-749.85922422222242442
8787-759.04933433333343443
8686-767.93933433333343443
8585-776.42933433333343443
8484-784.62022322222232332
8383-792.81311111111111111
8282-801.5811111111111111
8181-810.7400000000000000
8080-820.3200000000000000
7979-830.1100000000000000
7878-840.0000000000000000
7777-850.0000000000000000
7676-860.0000000000000000
7575-870.0000000
70-740.00
0-69No
Total:3.3%20.00.90.91.20.90.90.90.90.90.91.20.91.21.20.9
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs