Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Indians 4-5, playoff odds down 0.8 to 97.1%
71-53   .573

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +3.4
+0.4
+0.3
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 +0.3
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -0.2
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 +3.0
+0.5
+0.2
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.4
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 +0.3
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.3
Indians 0 Padres 1 +0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
105-109In100666,495*
10433-5In100014,976
10332-6In100081,008
10231-7In1000369,883
10130-8In99101,434,828
10029-9In982004,775,622
9928-10In9640013,825,114
9827-11In9280035,153,245
9726-12In84160079,013,388
9625-13In742600157,939,410
9524-14In603910281,934,408
9423-15In4652200450,951,489
9322-16In3164510648,108,488
9221-17In18701020838,569,942
9120-18100.0%96918400978,280,264
9019-19100.0459298001,029,693,101
8918-20100.01444014000978,283,127
8817-21100.002848222000838,595,589
8716-2299.501449297000648,147,279
8615-2396.80542321830000450,962,129
8514-2486.1012925301220000281,958,483
8413-2560.80015133227102000157,964,892
8312-2627.806419332710200079,022,078
8211-276.701051932281220035,151,602
8110-280.700151731301430013,827,326
809-290.000004153132153004,778,843
798-300.0000315333513101,434,411
787-31Out000318403540370,432
776-32Out0005275413181,360
765-33Out01125827315,005
754-34Out034542902,206
743-35Out12652191265
732-36Out11682119
721-37Out1001
710-38Out0227638664,012
Total:97.1%14432511421000000008,012,070,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosIndiansYankeesTwinsAngelsMarinersRoyalsRangersOriolesRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
101-10912.5%Yes
10029-912.5100000
9928-1012.51000000000
9827-1112.51000000000000
9726-1212.5100000000000000
9625-1312.51000000000000000
9524-1412.510000000000000000
9423-1512.510000000000000000
9322-1612.59900000000000000
9221-1712.49800000000000000
9120-1812.39600011100000000
9019-1912.09201012111000000
8918-2011.68601034322000000
8817-2111.07602056433110000
8716-2210.26302079644111000
8615-239.0470311012856221000
8514-247.3310311112966222000
8413-254.816021910755222000
8312-262.1601145422111000
8211-270.5100011111000000
8110-280.0000000000000000
809-290.00000000000000
798-30No000
71-78No
Total:11.2%82.40.10.90.22.83.62.51.61.70.50.40.30.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 -0.5
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 -0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10938-07426
10736-24258
10635-34555
10534-426740
10433-517830
10332-610900
10231-759410
10130-839620
10029-919540
9928-10091800
9827-110831610
9726-1207127200
9625-1305639600
9524-140394813000
9423-150235125100
9322-1601145395000
9221-17043250131000
9120-1801175027500000
9019-1900738391420000
8918-2002214028910000
8817-21007273622710000
8716-2200211283320610000
8615-23000212263120530000
8514-2400021024311810410000
8413-250002821301715610000
8312-2600016211325211031000
8211-2700016414242517720000
8110-280010291926241451000
809-2900001412222721102000
798-30000027172727154100
787-3100014122631206100
776-32002102533217100
765-3300292433228200
754-3400110233224920
743-353925332282
732-3655163737
721-37100
710-3800031334381110
Total:0716251913853211000000000000000000