Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 27%
19-18   .514

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners 6 Athletics 5 -0.2
Blue Jays 6 Braves 10 +0.1
Angels 5 White Sox 3 +0.1
Indians 8 Rays 7 +0.1
Marlins 2 Astros 7 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox-2.6+2.7
-0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.3
Rangers vs Phillies-0.3+0.4
Twins vs Rockies-0.2+0.2
Tigers vs Orioles+0.2-0.2
Mariners vs Athletics-0.2+0.2
Royals vs Yankees+0.2-0.1
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.1
Indians vs Rays+0.1-0.1
Marlins vs Astros+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-144In100145,836*
10889-36In10001,237
10788-37In99103,135
10687-38In98207,131
10586-39In982015,382
10485-40In963033,582
10384-41In945168,886
10283-42In917010137,817
10182-43In8710020265,613
10081-44In8214040496,239
9980-45In7618060892,152
9879-46In68230901,553,099
9778-47100.0%5828013002,615,459
9677-48100.04833118004,247,389
9576-49100.038362241006,682,784
9475-50100.0283733110010,164,130
9374-51100.01936439300014,968,685
9273-5299.91132646500021,331,795
9172-5399.7626851900029,410,502
9071-5498.931995316100039,255,958
8970-5597.011295125300050,727,179
8869-5692.406844347100063,475,774
8768-5783.40363341142000076,890,033
8667-5868.701421422561000090,244,837
8566-5949.20021135341430000102,547,848
8465-6029.2001523372581000112,890,775
8364-6113.60011230331851000120,357,533
8263-624.700041833291330000124,319,290
8162-631.20001823332492000124,397,299
8061-640.2000021127322061000120,534,071
7960-650.000004163030154000113,135,438
7859-660.000001620332710200102,900,787
7758-670.00000021026342161090,620,589
7657-680.00000004153232153077,308,811
7556-690.000000172336267163,873,254
7455-70Out0000213323515251,082,061
7354-71Out00016233926539,565,505
7253-72Out0000021436361129,674,401
7152-73Out0001729432021,542,019
7051-74Out0000321463015,140,144
6950-75Out000113444210,292,345
6849-76Out000838546,771,386
6748-77Out000431654,307,272
6647-78Out00224742,649,287
6546-79Out00118811,576,823
6445-80Out001287908,193
6344-81Out00892504,107
6243-82Out0595269,855
6142-83Out0496140,859
6041-84Out029870,066
5940-85Out019933,900
5839-86Out19915,984
5738-87Out01007,042
5637-88Out01003,155
5536-89Out01001,274
19-54Out100145,853*
Total:27.0%132101111101098875421,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosYankeesIndiansOriolesTwinsRangersWhite SoxTigersRaysMarinersAngelsBlue JaysRoyalsAthletics
108-1449.1%Yes
10788-378.810000000
10687-389.41000000
10586-399.2100000000000000
10485-409.1100000000000000
10384-419.09900000000000000
10283-429.09900000000000000
10182-438.89800010000000000
10081-448.99600010100000000
9980-458.89400020100000000
9879-468.79101131100110000
9778-478.58701141211111000
9677-488.38211161211211000
9576-497.97512281311221000
9475-507.667132102411321000
9374-517.159143132522432100
9273-526.749263163722442100
9172-536.239274184832542100
9071-545.730284204933653100
8970-555.1222952141033763100
8869-564.61531052151033763100
8768-573.992952051033763100
8667-583.15274174933653100
8566-592.23153123622442100
8465-601.3113282411321100
8364-610.6001141211111000
8263-620.2000010100000000
8162-630.1000000000000000
8061-640.0000000000000000
7960-650.0000000000000000
7859-660.0000000000000000
7758-670.0000000000000000
7657-68No00000000000
7556-69No0000
19-74No
Total:1.4%5.70.62.51.45.91.32.81.00.91.91.60.90.40.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.5-0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
113-144100
11293-32955
11192-33100
11091-34991
10990-35991
10889-36991
10788-37973
10687-389640
10586-3994600
10485-4091900
10384-41861310
10283-428019100
10182-4372253000
10081-4462326000
9980-455138101000
9879-463942163000
9778-4727422461000
9677-481738311120000
9576-49103035195100000
9475-50520342711300000
9374-5121127322071000000
9273-5215183027144100000
9172-53029223023103000000
9071-54003122529208201000
8970-550015152627176130000
8869-5600016162626143710000
8768-570000271726239133000000
8667-5800002718261619920000000
8566-590000281921211992000000
8465-60000029181524199310000
8364-6100003107192620103100000
8263-620001429202622124100000
8162-630001028182523146100000
8061-640000027162424167200000
7960-6500000016142325189310000
7859-660000000141222262010410000
7758-67000000141020262212410000
7657-68000000013919262313510000
7556-690000003818262414510000
7455-7000000281826241451000
7354-710000028192724145100
7253-720000003920282412410
7152-73000013112229221020
7051-740000141326301961
6950-75000016183029132
6849-7600002102534236
6748-770001416343311
6647-78000029284120
6546-7900015214431
6445-800002134243
6344-81000183755
6243-820043066
6142-830022375
6041-84011683
5940-85001288
5839-860892
5738-870595
5637-88397
5536-89298
5435-90199
5334-910100
19-52100
Total:011223445555666655544433221100