Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances

Beat Cardinals 5-4, playoff odds up 0.1 to 99.7%
69-51   .575

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +1.3
+0.2
+0.1
Twins 9 Angels 5 +0.1
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -0.1
-0.0
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 +1.0
+0.2
+0.1
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.2
Twins 5 Angels 4 +0.1
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.2
+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-111In100201,331*
10738-4In10003,737
10637-5In100021,736
10536-6In982106,770
10435-7In964425,251
10334-8In91901,445,964
10233-9In8317004,225,408
10132-10In72280010,773,872
10031-11In59410024,170,287
9930-12In44551048,006,455
9829-13In306820085,031,324
9728-14In1976500134,850,258
9627-15In10781010192,233,820
9526-16In5731830247,218,105
9425-17In2622880287,413,298
9324-18In14738150302,731,174
9223-19100.0%031442500289,415,283
9122-20100.0018453800251,251,436
9021-21100.008395210198,291,957
8920-22100.0033064200142,247,829
8819-2399.9012073600092,770,932
8718-2499.3012741310054,976,040
8617-2596.806652530029,563,432
8516-2689.102483810100014,404,766
8415-2771.80128432351006,359,844
8314-2845.301234351640002,528,299
8213-2919.403163330143000906,032
8112-304.800417322914300290,892
8011-310.6015173229143083,558
7910-320.0014173231132021,502
789-330.000151935301004,739
778-34Out072440272913
767-35Out2832526170
756-36Out1229471217
745-37Out50502
690-42Out0331624200,787
Total:99.7%6422724100000000002,422,177,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosIndiansYankeesRangersAngelsRoyalsTwinsMarinersRaysOriolesBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
103-1118.8%Yes
10233-98.61000
10132-108.510000000000
10031-118.41000000000000
9930-128.21000000000000000
9829-138.110000000000000000
9728-148.010000000000000000
9627-157.89900000000000000
9526-167.79700011100000000
9425-177.59200022111000000
9324-187.28500044321100000
9223-196.97500067433100000
9122-206.4620001010744210000
9021-215.9480101313965410000
8920-225.43401017161177521000
8819-234.92201019181388721000
8718-244.61201121201498931000
8617-254.36011222014991042000
8516-263.83011211914981042000
8415-273.0100116151177832000
8314-281.900001010744621000
8213-290.8000044322311000
8112-300.2000011100100000
8011-310.0000000000
7910-32No000
789-33No0
69-77No
Total:6.9%74.60.00.30.16.36.24.32.72.51.90.60.20.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 -0.2
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 -0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
11142-013870
11041-11486
10940-2496
10839-31990
10738-40990
10637-50991
10536-609730
10435-709370
10334-80851500
10233-90732620
10132-1005738500
10031-11040481200
9930-120255222000
9829-130134937200
9728-140638515000
9627-1502255913100
9526-16011357253000
9425-17006453810100
9324-18022844224000
9223-1900133735132000
9122-200042339267100
9021-21001103037183000
8920-22003163633110000
8819-23001624412720000
8718-24001103446810000
8617-250003185521210000
8516-26000646375410000
8415-270012645712720000
8314-28001035517201030000
8213-29021721125241341000
8112-300503142527187100
8011-31010031123282210200
7910-320002719292613300
789-33000161630291430
778-3416143033152
767-35161831321111
756-366122441126
745-375050
690-420021232371610
Total:0210262216117410000000000000000000