Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances

Lost to Indians 4-5, playoff odds down 0.08 to 99.8%
71-53   .573

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +1.3
+0.2
+0.1
Twins 9 Angels 5 +0.1
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -0.1
-0.0
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 +1.0
+0.2
+0.1
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.2
Twins 5 Angels 4 +0.1
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.2
+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-109In1002,237,726*
10736-2In10008,837
10635-3In100078,270
10534-4In1000507,802
10433-5In991002,562,591
10332-6In9640010,418,966
10231-7In9190035,127,589
10130-8In821800100,125,112
10029-9In693100244,842,544
9928-10In544510519,580,668
9827-11In3859300965,062,681
9726-12In24697001,580,516,282
9625-13In137115102,294,855,788
9524-14In66626202,967,327,742
9423-15In25439503,429,090,807
9322-16100.0%1395011003,551,342,799
9221-17100.00245719003,302,773,100
9120-18100.00135730002,762,438,204
9019-19100.00651431002,079,613,000
8918-20100.00240562001,409,716,436
8817-2199.80128647000860,130,462
8716-2298.9001865161000472,131,436
8615-2395.401057294000232,839,444
8514-2485.2054040132000102,962,565
8413-2564.4022141277100040,751,414
8312-2636.208283721510014,371,621
8211-2713.0021130331851004,509,422
8110-282.5002122932185101,247,389
809-290.2000212283319500303,793
798-300.0002112935193064,419
787-31Out0313323715011,769
776-32Out004174433101,828
765-33Out7344810215
754-34Out514681437
743-35Out80205
732-36Out1001
710-38Out019532802,236,996
Total:99.8%73736181000000000026,989,789,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosIndiansYankeesTwinsRangersAngelsMarinersRoyalsRaysOriolesBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
105-1099.1%Yes
10433-59.01000
10332-69.010000000
10231-78.9100000000
10130-88.8100000000
10029-98.710000000000
9928-108.51000000000000000
9827-118.310000000000000000
9726-128.110000000000000000
9625-137.99900000000000000
9524-147.89800011000000000
9423-157.69500021111000000
9322-167.48900032211000000
9221-177.18100064422000000
9120-186.77000097643100000
9019-196.3560001310855110000
8918-205.84200018131176110000
8817-215.32901022161397210000
8716-224.918010251914108320000
8615-234.410010261914109321000
8514-243.85001241813108421000
8413-252.8200018141086321000
8312-261.60000108643211000
8211-270.6000033221110000
8110-280.1000011000000000
809-290.00000000000000
798-30No0000000
71-78No
Total:7.2%80.70.00.20.05.84.43.62.32.10.40.30.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 -0.2
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 -0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10938-03970
10837-11990
10736-20990
10635-30991
10534-409820
10433-509550
10332-60891100
10231-70782110
10130-806333300
10029-904645900
9928-100285120000
9827-110154935200
9726-120638505000
9625-1302255913000
9524-14011359262000
9423-1500547416000
9322-1600230501620000
9221-170015473071000
9120-180053340183000
9019-19001173832111000
8918-2000624382560000
8817-210011030371920000
8716-220003153638710000
8615-230005214920310000
8514-24001741367620000
8413-2500012241915930000
8312-26000729518221341000
8211-27011221024261771000
8110-280020210222822103000
809-29000027182827144000
798-300001414273019500
787-3100031126342140
776-32021231371620
765-3302133932130
754-34162735165
743-356040
732-36100
710-380152034281010
Total:03102927159521000000000000000000