Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances

Lost to Yankees 1-3, playoff odds down 5.5 to 30.1%
11-9   .550

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Red Sox 1 Yankees 3 -3.0
-0.3
-0.3
White Sox 5 Royals 2 -0.2
Indians 7 Astros 6 -0.1
Tigers 0 Mariners 8 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Red Sox vs Yankees+3.1-2.7
+0.3-0.2
+0.3-0.3
Cardinals vs Blue Jays+0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays+0.1-0.1
Indians vs Astros-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-153In1006,022*
10594-48In100001,671
10493-49In100003,117
10392-50In99005,834
10291-51In991110,378
10190-52In9811018,695
10089-53In97202032,080
9988-54In94303052,804
9887-55In92404084,910
9786-56In876070133,046
9685-57In8090100203,538
9584-58100.0%721301400299,608
9483-59100.06217119100428,898
9382-60100.0502122520598,747
9281-6199.937243323000815,106
9180-6299.8252553860001,073,525
9079-6399.315237431110001,374,200
8978-6498.07199441820001,711,656
8877-6594.531310412750002,071,876
8776-6686.8171033351120002,438,389
8675-6772.8038223921510002,792,165
8574-6852.901612343213300003,107,668
8473-6931.30035233524810003,362,286
8372-7014.302111293318510003,535,209
8271-714.801041631301440003,619,905
8170-721.2000162132261120003,603,766
8069-730.2000029243323810003,483,745
7968-740.00000031328321851003,276,916
7867-750.0000015173229133002,995,914
7766-760.000000182334258102,667,698
7665-770.000000312293418402,307,273
7564-780.00000152035291011,935,809
7463-79Out000021129371931,583,549
7362-80Out0001520382971,259,537
7261-81Out000212343913970,399
7160-82Out0016274422728,633
7059-83Out0003194633532,307
6958-84Out001124344377,039
6857-85Out00073755260,591
6756-86Out00043165174,374
6655-87Out0022474112,699
6554-88Out01188170,913
6453-89Out00138643,528
6352-90Out099125,985
6251-91Out069415,092
6150-92Out04968,395
6049-93Out2984,642
5948-94Out2982,369
5847-95Out1991,203
5746-96Out199600
55-56Out100429*
5443-99Out19973
11-53Out1004,529*
Total:30.1%4431010999887764254,229,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeYankeesAstrosOriolesWhite SoxIndiansRangersTwinsTigersRaysMarinersAthleticsAngelsBlue JaysRoyals
106-15311.0%Yes
10594-4811.310000000
10493-4910.31000000
10392-5010.710000000000
10291-5111.099000000000000
10190-5210.5990000000000000
10089-5310.49800000000000000
9988-5410.59700100000000000
9887-5510.69610100000000000
9786-5610.29310210000100000
9685-5710.39021211111100000
9584-5810.08621311111110000
9483-599.78031521111210000
9382-609.37352722211311100
9281-618.86562833222411100
9180-628.356831033322521100
9079-637.7461031244333521100
8978-647.1361141455433632210
8877-656.4261241565444732210
8776-665.5181141466544732210
8675-674.5121041255443632210
8574-683.1773944333421110
8473-691.8442522222311100
8372-700.8221211111110000
8271-710.3110100000000000
8170-720.1000000000000000
8069-730.0000000000000000
7968-740.0000000000000000
7867-750.000000000000000
7766-760.0000000000000
7665-770.000
7564-78No0
11-74No
Total:2.2%10.53.31.34.11.61.61.31.11.11.91.00.60.60.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox 1 Yankees 3 +0.6
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox vs Yankees-0.6+0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109-153100
10897-45991
10796-46100
10695-471000
10594-48991
10493-49982
10392-509730
10291-5196400
10190-529360
10089-53901000
9988-548415100
9887-557721200
9786-566828400
9685-5756358100
9584-5843401430000
9483-593041226100000
9382-6018372912300000
9281-6192833218200000
9180-6241729281551000000
9079-63182028241341001000
8978-640310212722114102000
8877-6501310202520103050000
8776-66001310192419921120000
8675-670001381622176197100000
8574-6800002614191224166100000
8473-6900001412141924167200000
8372-7000001410920251993100000
8271-7100001428182422135200000
8170-720001026152224179310000
8069-73000000141119242113520000
7968-74000000002715232417831000
7867-7500000001512202420125100000
7766-7600000013917242315620000
7665-77000000271523241783000
7564-78000000251322251993100
7463-790000015132226209300
7362-80000001513232720820
7261-810000151526281861
7160-82000027182928143
7059-8300003102333247
6958-840001415323414
6857-8500029264024
6756-8600004184136
6655-87002113849
6554-880163261
6453-890042571
6352-900021980
6251-91011386
6150-920991
6049-930694
5948-940496
5847-95397
5746-96199
5645-970100
5544-98100
5443-99397
11-53100
Total:223333444355555444444433322211