Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances

Lost to Orioles 4-5, playoff odds down 4.1 to 26%
11-12   .478

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Orioles 5 Rays 4 -3.0
-0.3
-0.3
White Sox 5 Royals 2 -0.2
Tigers 0 Mariners 8 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Indians vs Astros-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
106-150In1005,210*
10594-45In1000768
10493-46In100001,692
10392-47In99013,218
10291-48In99116,024
10190-49In981110,982
10089-50In9620219,627
9988-51In94303034,120
9887-52In91505056,346
9786-53In86707091,053
9685-54In79100100143,366
9584-55100.0%711311500218,335
9483-56100.0611812010322,038
9382-57100.04921226200462,817
9281-5899.937243333000643,499
9180-5999.825255396000872,841
9079-6099.31523743111001,147,987
8978-6197.87189451820001,463,516
8877-6294.2313104128500001,816,332
8776-6386.31710333612200002,187,577
8675-6472.10382239225100002,561,193
8574-6552.101512343213300002,912,658
8473-6630.700352335248100003,219,574
8372-6713.8002111283319510003,463,112
8271-684.6010416313014400003,607,924
8170-691.1000162032261120003,663,518
8069-700.200002924332381003,610,349
7968-710.0000031328321851003,463,897
7867-720.0000015173230133003,221,241
7766-730.00000182334258102,915,474
7665-740.00000312293418402,561,879
7564-750.00000152035291012,189,380
7463-760.0000021129371931,816,997
7362-77Out001520392971,464,378
7261-78Out0002123438131,150,293
7160-79Out0016274422873,369
7059-80Out0003194633645,290
6958-81Out0001124344463,281
6857-82Out000073855324,096
6756-83Out0043165219,287
6655-84Out0022474144,144
6554-85Out01188191,842
6453-86Out00138756,369
6352-87Out099134,240
6251-88Out069419,756
6150-89Out049611,222
6049-90Out3976,186
5948-91Out02983,308
5847-92Out1991,690
5746-93Out0100865
5645-94Out199354
5544-95Out100187
5443-96Out19991
11-53Out1004,548*
Total:26.0%33289999998865354,229,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeYankeesAstrosOriolesWhite SoxIndiansRangersRed SoxTwinsTigersMarinersAthleticsAngelsBlue JaysRoyals
106-15011.3%Yes
10594-4511.7100000
10493-4610.9100000
10392-4711.1990000000
10291-4811.599000000000000
10190-4911.4990000000000000
10089-5011.0980010000000000
9988-5111.09700100000000000
9887-5211.09510100000000000
9786-5310.79310211010000000
9685-5410.88911311111100000
9584-5510.48521411121110000
9483-5610.07931522121111000
9382-579.57252722231111100
9281-589.16462933242221100
9180-598.654831133352221100
9079-608.045931344363321100
8978-617.4351141455473332210
8877-626.7261241565484432210
8776-635.7181141466574432210
8675-644.6111041255464332210
8574-653.2773944353321110
8473-661.9342522232211100
8372-670.9221211111110000
8271-680.3110100000000000
8170-690.1000000000000000
8069-700.0000000000000000
7968-710.0000000000000000
7867-720.000000000000000
7766-730.00000000000
74-76No0
11-73No
Total:1.9%8.42.81.13.71.41.41.21.91.00.90.80.50.50.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles 5 Rays 4 +0.6
ThursdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
107-150100
10695-44991
10594-45991
10493-469810
10392-47982
10291-489640
10190-499370
10089-5089100
9988-51841510
9887-527621200
9786-536728500
9685-5455359100
9584-5543401530000
9483-56294122610000
9382-5718363013300000
9281-5892733218200000
9180-5941629281661000000
9079-60182028241341001000
8978-610210212722114102000
8877-6201310202520103050000
8776-63001310192419921120000
8675-640001381621176207100000
8574-650002613181224166100000
8473-6600001411141924167200000
8372-67000014992025199310000
8271-680001429182422136200000
8170-690001026152224179310000
8069-70000000141119242113520000
7968-7100000027152324178310000
7867-72000000151120242012510000
7766-7300000013917242315720000
7665-740000002715232417830000
7564-75000000251322251993100
7463-7600000151322262010300
7362-77000001513232720920
7261-780000151425281861
7160-79000027182928143
7059-8000002102333247
6958-81001415313415
6857-8200028254025
6756-830014184137
6655-84002113849
6554-8500163261
6453-860032572
6352-87021980
6251-88011387
6150-8900991
6049-900694
5948-910496
5847-920298
5746-93298
5645-94199
5544-95199
5443-96199
11-53100
Total:122333333355555544444444333221