Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances

Lost to Indians 7-8, playoff odds down 3.4 to 21.2%
19-22   .463

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Indians 8 Rays 7 -2.8
-0.2
-0.3
Mariners 6 Athletics 5 -0.2
Blue Jays 6 Braves 10 +0.1
Angels 5 White Sox 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Indians vs Rays-2.5+2.6
-0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.3
Rangers vs Phillies-0.3+0.3
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.3-0.3
Tigers vs Orioles+0.2-0.2
Twins vs Rockies-0.2+0.2
Mariners vs Athletics-0.2+0.2
Royals vs Yankees+0.2-0.1
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-140In100145,187*
10889-32In1000295
10788-33In991780
10687-34In98202,035
10586-35In97304,774
10485-36In954111,011
10384-37In9260124,365
10283-38In8990252,152
10182-39In8512030107,149
10081-40In7916040212,831
9980-41In7221070407,002
9879-42In64260100750,927
9778-43100.0%5531114001,338,688
9677-44100.04535119002,297,344
9576-45100.03538225003,811,030
9475-46100.026383321006,098,748
9374-47100.017374392009,427,582
9273-4899.91132646500014,082,739
9172-4999.76268529000020,321,944
9071-5098.931995415100028,359,743
8970-5197.011295224300038,250,824
8869-5292.406845337100049,890,673
8768-5383.40363441142000062,921,185
8667-5468.501422422561000076,776,663
8566-5548.8002113534143000090,633,155
8465-5628.70015233725810000103,438,414
8364-5713.300111303318510000114,265,866
8263-584.600041832291330000122,140,148
8162-591.10001723332592000126,289,687
8061-600.2000021127332061000126,387,705
7960-610.000004153031154000122,394,262
7859-620.000001620332711200114,691,924
7758-630.000000210263421610104,005,712
7657-640.0000004153232142091,268,247
7556-650.000000172336257177,483,561
7455-660.000000213333515263,643,831
7354-67Out00016243925550,583,482
7253-68Out000021537351038,881,854
7152-69Out00001830431828,926,849
7051-70Out0000422462920,794,728
6950-71Out000214444014,452,728
6849-72Out0001939529,720,770
6748-73Out000533636,313,641
6647-74Out00225723,966,210
6546-75Out00119802,404,193
6445-76Out0114861,408,417
6344-77Out00991798,482
6243-78Out00694435,529
6142-79Out0496228,885
6041-80Out0298116,867
5940-81Out019957,236
5839-82Out19927,013
5738-83Out19912,431
5637-84Out01005,516
5536-85Out01002,281
5435-86Out0100955
19-53Out100145,610*
Total:21.2%12189101010109987521,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosYankeesIndiansOriolesTwinsRangersRed SoxWhite SoxTigersMarinersAngelsBlue JaysRoyalsAthletics
107-1409.9%Yes
10687-349.3100000
10586-359.61000000000
10485-3610.199000000000000
10384-379.8990000000000000
10283-389.79800000000000000
10182-399.79700010000000000
10081-409.79600010100000000
9980-419.69300020110010000
9879-429.59000131211010000
9778-439.38601141211111000
9677-449.08111161321121000
9576-458.67412272431121000
9475-468.367122102542131100
9374-477.858133122652232100
9273-487.349253143762242100
9172-496.839264174873252100
9071-506.230284194983353100
8970-515.7222952041083363100
8869-525.1142952051194363200
8768-534.392851951083363100
8667-543.45274164973353100
8566-552.43153123652242100
8465-561.4113272431121100
8364-570.6001131211111000
8263-580.2000010100000000
8162-590.1000000000000000
8061-600.0000000000000000
7960-610.0000000000000000
7859-620.0000000000000000
7758-630.0000000000000000
7657-640.000000000000
7556-650.000000
7455-66No0
19-73No
Total:1.2%4.00.51.91.14.51.12.31.90.80.71.30.70.40.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Indians 8 Rays 7 +0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Indians vs Rays+0.5-0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
109-140100
10889-32991
10788-339820
10687-34964
10586-359280
10485-3690100
10384-37841510
10283-387820200
10182-397027300
10081-406034600
9980-41493911100
9879-423743173000
9778-4326422561000
9677-441638311220000
9576-459303520610000
9475-464203427113000000
9374-472112732207100000
9273-481518302814410000
9172-4902923302310300000
9071-500031325291972010000
8970-510015152627165130000
8869-5200016172725133710000
8768-53000027182722813300000
8667-540000271826152092000000
8566-55000028192021199200000
8465-560000291716241993100000
8364-570000310719262010310000
8263-5800001429202622124100000
8162-5900001029182523145100000
8061-6000000027162424167200000
7960-6100000016142325189310000
7859-620000000141222262010310000
7758-63000000141020262212410000
7657-6400000013919262313510000
7556-650000003818262414510000
7455-660000000281826241451000
7354-670000028192724145100
7253-68000003920282412410
7152-69000013112229221020
7051-700000141426301961
6950-71000016183029132
6849-7200002102534236
6748-730001417343311
6647-74000029284120
6546-7500014214431
6445-760002134243
6344-7700183755
6243-780043066
6142-790022375
6041-80011783
5940-81001288
5839-8200892
5738-830595
5637-840397
5536-85298
5435-86199
5334-870100
5233-88298
19-51100
Total:001122344445666666555443322110