Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Beat Athletics 7-3, playoff odds up 1.5 to 6.9%
61-64   .488

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 -2.9
-0.3
-0.3
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -0.4
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 -2.7
-0.2
-0.3
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.4
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.3
Indians 0 Padres 1 +0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9837-0In792100664,171
9736-1In1001
9635-2In574335
9534-3In425700460
9433-4In2967123,874
9332-5In19743425,596
9231-6In1074690136,798
9130-7In56612180604,342
9029-8100.0%2501829102,264,025
8928-9100.003222433007,283,963
8827-1099.60162253900020,373,380
8726-1197.306175422300049,946,668
8625-1288.60194137101000108,143,756
8524-1368.20042242256100207,854,267
8423-1438.70183037194000356,192,357
8322-1514.1002123234163000546,007,958
8221-162.80003153332143000750,545,668
8120-170.30003173431122000927,029,056
8019-180.000004193630101001,029,910,916
7918-190.00000152238286001,029,998,370
7817-200.000018284221200927,024,930
7716-21Out0001123941700750,548,070
7615-22Out000324531910545,961,733
7514-23Out00110503450356,186,581
7413-24Out00033747130207,827,353
7312-25Out0012251261108,154,349
7211-26Out00104542349,945,909
7110-27Out043356720,368,821
709-28Out012064157,284,252
698-29Out01064262,265,331
687-30Out045639605,799
676-31Out014554137,130
665-32Out0336725,722
654-33Out022783,937
643-34Out1387455
632-35Out69453
621-36Out1003
610-37Out0298664,171
Total:6.9%000246911141516146208,013,990,260

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesTwinsAngelsMarinersRoyalsRangersRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
9837-012.4%10000000
96-9713.9Yes
9534-311.310000
9433-412.498000000000
9332-512.3960001110010
9231-611.891001212111000
9130-711.48200143421200000
9029-810.67001275632300000
8928-99.654023127953500000
8827-108.5370441791164600000
8726-117.52206520111385700000
8625-126.21106421111385710000
8524-134.540531891074610000
8423-142.51032115643310000
8322-150.9001042211100000
8221-160.2000010000000000
8120-170.0000000000000000
8019-180.0000000000000000
7918-190.00000000000000
7817-20No00
61-77No
Total:0.5%0.60.00.50.31.80.91.00.70.40.50.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 +0.7
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 +0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9837-00732620
9736-1100
9635-2493714
9534-3275122
9433-41552312
9332-57434550
9231-63295413100
9130-711552265100
9029-80638371530000
8928-9011937291230000
8827-100062233251120000
8726-1100172131251123000
8625-12001619292491020000
8524-130001515272021920000
8423-1400003132224231131000
8322-15000031112262615510000
8221-1600003312242820920000
8120-1700000282028241341000
8019-1800001515262717610000
7918-19000001311232922920000
7817-2000000282030251130000
7716-210000161830271330000
7615-220000151730291440000
7514-23000015163029154000
7413-24000151731291430000
7312-2500015183229132000
7211-2600001620342810100
7110-2700018243624600
709-2800021030371830
698-29000316373391
687-3000162642223
676-310213393610
665-3205294521
654-3302174536
643-34183953
632-3522672
621-36100
610-37001090
Total:000000112334678999987542110000