Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances

Lost to Mariners 6-7, playoff odds down 2 to 2.6%
59-62   .488

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 -0.3
-0.2
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +0.0
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 -0.2
-0.2
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10041-0In386200200,787
9637-4In25754
9536-5In94636
9435-6In1671714207
9334-7In049262501,303
9233-8In031303816,863
9132-9100.0%01627534030,897
9031-1099.90620621200122,614
8930-1199.5212612510425,870
8829-1297.7055142201,312,050
8728-1392.402345670003,593,329
8627-1480.9001962172008,823,434
8526-1562.30085431600019,487,663
8425-1639.5002374216200038,757,345
8324-1719.100194130910069,701,935
8223-186.50062738226100113,423,912
8122-191.4001123135184000167,372,621
8021-200.200315333214200224,001,737
7920-210.0000418363010100272,108,394
7819-220.00016234026400300,028,852
7718-230.00001932431410300,103,538
7617-24Out000216473230272,152,490
7516-25Out000635491000223,377,898
7415-26Out00120562210165,644,032
7314-27Out008513640110,733,957
7213-28Out003384811066,503,443
7112-29Out01235322035,752,126
7011-30Out00125037117,133,923
6910-31Out05395247,265,126
689-32Out02266482,708,692
678-33Out0156915882,720
667-34Out076825246,285
656-35Out03603858,574
645-36Out01495011,628
634-37Out037631,910
623-38Out02971218
612-39Out307020
590-41Out694200,787
Total:2.6%000025710131620187102,422,177,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesRangersAngelsRoyalsTwinsMarinersRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
10041-01.2%1000000000
95-96NoYes
9435-60.5861620211
9334-71.2752014412110
9233-80.8614023422210
9132-90.842080346332100
9031-100.726013143734310000
8930-110.5130171507443100000
8829-120.550191537443110000
8728-130.420190536442110000
8627-140.300170485332110000
8526-150.300140383221110000
8425-160.20090252111100000
8324-170.10050131000000000
8223-180.0002040000000000
8122-190.0000010000000000
8021-200.0000000000000
7920-210.0000000000
7819-220.000
7718-23No00
59-76No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.60.01.70.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 +0.4
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 +0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10041-02756160
9637-45050
9536-587517
9435-60452367
9334-7233421930
9233-801537321320
9132-9052236269200
9031-10019263522710
8930-1102112834204100
8829-12003143235142000
8728-13000418393161000
8627-14001628471261000
8526-150011349141661000
8425-16000436102419610000
8324-17001185213019610000
8223-18006110263019710000
8122-1901021225302082000
8021-20000031124302292000
7920-210000029223124920000
7819-22000002822332591000
7718-23000001823352471000
7617-2400001926352161000
7516-2500002113035184000
7415-2600003153332143000
7314-270005203628101000
7213-28000172537236100
7112-290002113135173000
7011-300003173632111000
6910-3100162439245000
689-3200111333715200
678-33003204029710
667-3401831401830
656-3500217403281
645-360173041192
634-37021641347
623-38110264914
612-39155530
590-410033066
Total:0000000021235781012131210742100000