Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances

Beat Rays 5-4, playoff odds up 4.1 to 60.6%
14-6   .700

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Orioles 5 Rays 4 +3.3
+0.3
+0.3
White Sox 5 Royals 2 -0.3
Tigers 0 Mariners 8 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Blue Jays+0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays+0.1-0.1
Indians vs Astros-0.1+0.1
Red Sox vs Yankees+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-156In1009,173*
10894-48In10004,384
10793-49In100008,313
10692-50In1000014,746
10591-51In1000026,124
10490-52In10000042,781
10389-53In990071,044
10288-54In9911111,843
10187-55In98101172,309
10086-56In962020257,844
9985-57In943030375,398
9884-58In915040530,407
9783-59In877060726,599
9682-60100.0%80100900971,100
9581-61100.07214113001,257,052
9480-62100.06219117001,583,995
9379-63100.051232231001,937,079
9278-64100.038274292002,307,248
9177-6599.9262863630002,668,137
9076-6699.6162794170002,999,452
8975-6798.882212441310003,280,648
8874-6896.2316134221300003,487,112
8773-6990.119133630910003,603,419
8672-7078.00412263618400003,621,738
8571-7159.002915342811200003,538,848
8470-7236.80066253421710003,361,420
8369-7317.8003213293117510003,103,076
8268-746.5010518312813300002,792,259
8167-751.8010172132251020002,438,803
8066-760.4000021025322281002,071,183
7965-770.1000031328321851001,712,005
7864-780.0000015173129143001,374,500
7763-790.000000172234259101,070,826
7662-800.0000021229341940814,338
7561-81Out00015193530101600,140
7460-82Out0002102837203429,796
7359-83Out00141938308299,610
7258-84Out00211333914203,636
7157-85Out00016254524133,736
7056-86Out00317453485,918
6955-87Out00111424652,931
6854-88Out006375632,280
6753-89Out004296718,866
6652-90Out02237510,588
6551-91Out0117825,919
6450-92Out011893,110
6349-93Out08911,610
6248-94Out694808
6147-95Out595391
6046-96Out1397173
5945-97Out19975
14-58Out1004,550*
Total:60.6%151061812976543221054,229,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeYankeesAstrosWhite SoxIndiansRangersRed SoxTwinsTigersRaysMarinersAthleticsAngelsBlue JaysRoyals
109-15613.0%Yes
10894-4812.31000
10793-4913.2100000
10692-5012.110000000000
10591-5112.11000000000000
10490-5212.11000000000000000
10389-5312.31000000000000000
10288-5412.1990000000000000
10187-5512.19900000000000000
10086-5612.09800000000000000
9985-5712.09700000000000000
9884-5812.09600000100100000
9783-5911.99401111100100000
9682-6011.79101111111110000
9581-6111.58711111211210000
9480-6211.28211221311211100
9379-6310.87622222422311100
9278-6410.46922333522421100
9177-659.86133443633521110
9076-669.25244554733632210
8975-678.64254665844732210
8874-687.93365665944842210
8773-696.92465775954842210
8672-705.71665665844742210
8571-714.21044554643532210
8470-722.6622333422321110
8369-731.3311121211211100
8268-740.5100110100100000
8167-750.2100000000000000
8066-760.0000000000000000
7965-770.0000000000000000
7864-780.000000000000000
7763-790.0000000000000
7662-80No0
14-75No
Total:5.6%30.42.72.43.13.02.54.12.12.03.71.81.11.10.50.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles 5 Rays 4 -0.5
ThursdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
111-156100
11096-461000
10995-471000
10894-481000
10793-491000
10692-50991
10591-519910
10490-529910
10389-539820
10288-549640
10187-5594600
10086-56901000
9985-57851410
9884-5878202000
9783-5968284000
9682-605734810000
9581-6144401430000
9480-62304122610000
9379-63193729123000000
9278-641028332072000000
9177-6541730271551000000
9076-6618212923124100000
8975-670311222721113101000
8874-68014112126201030300000
8773-6900131020252092810000
8672-70000139182318716510000
8571-71000002715211421145100000
8470-72000015131618221562000000
8369-73000151292024179310000
8268-74000152918242113520000
8167-750002026152223179310000
8066-76000000141019242113520000
7965-7700000027152223179310000
7864-78000000141120242112510000
7763-7900000013817242315720000
7662-800000002614232418931000
7561-81000001513222520103100
7460-820000141222262110300
7359-830001412232721920
7258-84000151425281971
7157-8500026172828153
7056-86000292233258
6955-870001415313415
6854-880018254025
6753-89014174138
6652-90002103850
6551-910163262
6450-92032473
6349-93021880
6248-9401288
6147-951991
6046-961395
5945-97199
5844-98694
14-57100
Total:887766655454443332222111110000