"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.07 to 3.1%
59-65   .476

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -1.7
-0.1
-0.3
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 +0.2
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +1.5
+0.1
+0.3
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9738-0In683100664,171
9637-1In1004
9536-2In524823
9435-3In29692261
9334-4In1971912,189
9233-5In1071154014,913
9132-6100.0%4642390081,750
9031-7100.0250311800372,167
8930-8100.00323531201,436,937
8829-999.701732447004,781,225
8728-1098.20624501820013,841,895
8627-1191.802144333810035,187,792
8526-1273.9006254222400079,070,027
8425-1344.30293336163000158,035,058
8324-1416.7002143433143000282,018,241
8223-153.40003163331133000451,066,143
8122-160.3000417333113200648,251,562
8021-170.00000417343112100838,812,444
7920-180.000005193730800978,437,037
7819-190.0000162543242001,029,888,694
7718-20Out0001103744800978,458,014
7617-21Out000221552010838,769,800
7516-22Out0009503650648,238,194
7415-23Out0033648130451,074,862
7314-24Out0012152261282,020,325
7213-25Out001046413158,020,928
7112-26Out0043455779,076,553
7011-27Out0121631535,180,705
6910-28Out0011632613,836,882
689-29Out0556394,778,347
678-30Out0245531,437,646
667-31Out013367372,373
656-32Out0227881,783
645-33Out0148614,730
634-34Out8922,137
623-35Out793253
612-36Out59522
601-37Out1002
590-38Out0100664,171
Total:3.1%000123571014182212408,013,990,260

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesTwinsAngelsMarinersRoyalsRangersOriolesRaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
9738-012.5%100000
94-9611.8Yes
9334-413.8990000000
9233-512.0960001011000
9132-612.191000212211000
9031-711.48201051431200000
8930-810.56702192762400000
8829-99.3490511441083501000
8728-108.13107218513114711000
8627-116.71608220614124811000
8526-125.0607218612104711000
8425-132.92041124763411000
8324-141.1002052221100000
8223-150.2000010000000000
8122-160.0000000000000000
8021-170.0000000000000000
7920-180.000000000000000
7819-19No00
59-77No
Total:0.2%0.30.00.30.10.80.30.50.40.20.30.00.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 +0.7
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 -0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9738-00593740
9637-17525
9536-2394317
9435-31452322
9334-474244710
9233-5228531520
9132-611450286100
9031-7053639163000
8930-8011837291220000
8829-90062334251020000
8728-10018233224912000
8627-110018213123771000
8526-12001719291819610000
8425-130001516232620820000
8324-14000041316282412410000
8223-15000034142627177200000
8122-1600002920272312410000
8021-17000001514252718720000
7920-1800000292129241130000
7819-1900000161830271430000
7718-200000151630291541000
7617-210000141530301541000
7516-2200014163030154000
7415-2300015173129143000
7314-2400016193228122000
7213-250001721332710100
7112-2600018243524710
7011-2700021129351930
6910-280003163534111
689-2900162341254
678-3000211364011
667-31004244823
656-3201134739
645-330053757
634-34022573
623-3511881
612-361486
601-37100
590-380298
Total:000000001122345679101110975321000