Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances

Beat Rays 3-2, playoff odds up 0.08 to 0.8%
58-62   .483

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -0.1
-0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.1
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10042-0In38611204,143
95-96In1002*
9436-6In7916519
9335-7In345214124
9234-8In2351251623
9133-9In12444033,160
9032-1099.9%532549014,759
8931-1199.511958211058,859
8830-1297.709513820209,734
8729-1392.7033653700668,688
8628-1481.601216017101,906,016
8527-1563.2009543150004,910,228
8426-1640.303374315200011,416,371
8325-1719.501194229810024,048,692
8224-186.6007283821510045,953,946
8123-191.400112313417400079,834,563
8022-200.200315333214300126,080,843
7921-210.000418343112100181,168,030
7820-220.00015213828700236,991,344
7719-230.00001728432010282,046,684
7618-24Out0002134140400305,277,682
7517-25Out000427561300300,150,356
7416-26Out00113592610267,687,997
7315-27Out0005504140216,105,466
7214-28Out0013652110157,549,343
7113-29Out002257210103,364,620
7012-30Out00115434160,828,299
6911-31Out054448331,932,947
6810-32Out023160814,868,163
679-33Out001966156,100,005
668-34Out01065252,184,839
657-35Out055937674,869
646-36Out024850176,339
635-37Out1376338,743
624-38Out027726,893
613-39Out1783934
602-40Out991110
591-41Out1004
580-42Out397204,143
Total:0.8%00001235812192916402,462,668,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesRangersAngelsRoyalsTwinsMarinersRaysOriolesTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
95-1000.6%Yes
9436-6No955
9335-71.686182211
9234-80.57461133111
9133-90.357100205420210
9032-100.3370150316521210
8931-110.320020039762121000
8830-120.290230458631210000
8729-130.230230467631210000
8628-140.210210436521210000
8527-150.100170354311110000
8426-160.100110242110100000
8325-170.00060121000000000
8224-180.0002040000000000
8123-190.0000010000000000
8022-200.0000000000000
7921-210.0000000000
7820-220.0000
7719-23No00
58-76No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.20.00.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 +0.3
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 -0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10042-02757160
95-96100
9436-6115337
9335-722048246
9234-80123539131
9133-9423392671
9032-10019293619400
8931-110214323315210
8830-1200418353110200
8729-130162239256100
8628-1400183142126100
8527-1500021546151651000
8426-1600053512261751000
8325-1700119524301651000
8224-1800711228301651000
8123-1901031427291861000
8022-200000312253020820000
7921-2100002102330231020000
7820-220000028213125112000
7719-230000017203327102000
7618-2400001722352681000
7517-250000182637226100
7416-260002123235163000
7315-270003183631111000
7214-2800172538246100
7113-290002123236153000
7012-3000041938299100
6911-3100172837215000
6810-3200214343414200
679-330005223827710
668-340011030381830
657-3500317383291
646-360172842202
635-370021540357
624-3806304617
613-392175030
602-4074646
591-415050
580-420011981
Total:0000000010122356811131513106310000