Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to White Sox 6-7, Beat White Sox 10-2, playoff odds down 1.2 to 36.8%
64-60   .516

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Twins 9 Angels 5 +3.9
+0.4
+0.4
Mariners 1 Royals 3 -0.4
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Twins 5 Angels 4 +4.1
+0.4
+0.4
Indians 0 Padres 1 +0.7
+0.1
+0.1
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 +0.3
Mariners 3 Royals 7 -0.3
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 4 +0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10238-0In982664,012
10137-1In1001
10036-2In95520
9935-3In8812252
9834-4In792102,227
9733-5In67320014,605
9632-6In54451081,273
9531-7In395641371,093
9430-8In26648201,434,138
9329-9In156515504,771,103
9228-10In759259013,825,855
9127-11100.0%34635160035,148,072
9026-12100.0131432510079,034,570
8925-13100.00174535300157,978,061
8824-1499.60840439000281,948,003
8723-1597.9033244202000450,947,856
8622-1691.20121353481000648,090,149
8521-1774.300122142224000838,565,330
8420-1846.900683337142000978,242,488
8319-1920.10221637311120001,029,701,527
8218-205.10104213628101000978,277,104
8117-210.700162235269100838,574,285
8016-220.1000172336258100648,117,321
7915-230.000017253724500451,003,319
7814-240.0000019294019200281,953,334
7713-250.000002133838900157,974,880
7612-26Out00032248242079,039,680
7511-27Out000841428035,142,213
7410-28Out002265319113,824,974
739-29Out0012513434,776,505
728-30Out04394881,434,111
717-31Out01255619369,877
706-32Out013543481,195
695-33Out06435114,800
684-34Out229682,197
673-35Out01485267
662-36Out188211
640-38Out0199664,012
Total:36.8%019111515131197531008,012,070,720

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesAngelsMarinersRoyalsRangersOriolesRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
98-10212.4%Yes
9733-512.7100000000
9632-612.4100000000000
9531-712.4990000000000
9430-812.39800100000000
9329-912.2950002110100000
9228-1011.9910103210100000
9127-1111.5840106320210000
9026-1210.97402095413100000
8925-1310.162040147624110000
8824-149.248050199725210000
8723-158.3340702411936210000
8622-167.1220712611946211000
8521-175.4120712410846211000
8420-183.36040166524111000
8319-191.4202082211100000
8218-200.4101020000000000
8117-210.1000000000000000
8016-220.000000000000000
7915-230.00000000000
7814-240.00000
7713-250.00
64-76No
Total:2.9%10.30.12.80.210.34.13.51.52.40.90.50.30.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins 9 Angels 5 -0.7
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Twins 5 Angels 4 -0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10238-039520
10137-1100
10036-29010
9935-386131
9834-4073262
9733-50573850
9632-604147120
9531-7026512120
9430-801347355000
9329-905354513100
9228-10022147265000
9127-1100937381320000
9026-1203224126710000
8925-1301931361940000
8824-140021533321430000
8723-1500051933281122000
8622-1600162031258810000
8521-170001618282019610000
8420-1800015162527196100000
8319-1900014161929219200000
8218-2000005618282413510000
8117-21000114132427199200000
8016-2200002818262515510000
7915-2300001412232821920000
7814-24000000281828261341000
7713-2500000151427301751000
7612-260000031226312061000
7511-2700021025322171000
7410-280002102633226100
739-290002102735205000
728-30000212303517300
717-310031535331210
706-3200521392860
695-3300192942182
684-34021642336
673-3506334912
662-36273636
640-380043561
Total:000124678999876554321110000000