Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 20.6%
62-61   .504

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 +3.7
+0.4
+0.4
Twins 9 Angels 5 -0.3
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 -0.3
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 +4.0
+0.4
+0.4
Indians 0 Padres 1 +0.6
+0.2
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.3
Twins 5 Angels 4 -0.3
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 +0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10139-0In982664,012
9937-2In86147
9836-3In8713149
9735-4In792101,240
9634-5In6732008,629
9533-6In54441048,133
9432-7In405641225,919
9331-8In2664820901,698
9230-9In156517403,102,464
9129-10100.0%757289009,293,643
9028-11100.0343381600024,482,625
8927-12100.0126452620057,092,864
8826-1399.601245358000118,499,791
8725-1497.6043638192000219,961,354
8624-1589.70124313391000366,457,920
8523-1670.600131839245000549,536,044
8422-1741.80672937183000743,373,741
8321-1816.4021133333142000908,423,014
8220-193.70103173531122001,003,970,294
8119-200.50004193629101001,004,007,478
8018-210.0000162237278100908,409,446
7917-220.0000017253823500743,327,501
7816-230.00000110313917200549,546,252
7715-240.000002154035700366,469,469
7614-25Out000527472020219,953,182
7513-26Out000112453760118,489,563
7412-27Out0004314916057,088,932
7311-28Out001165131224,488,085
7210-29Out006414679,295,586
719-30Out022755163,100,882
708-31Out00145530902,750
697-32Out064647226,057
686-33Out02346448,069
675-34Out121798,559
664-35Out11891,200
653-36Out892144
63-64Out10012*
620-39Out0100664,012
Total:20.6%015591213141311952008,012,070,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxIndiansYankeesTwinsAngelsMarinersRangersOriolesRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
97-10112.5%Yes
9634-512.7100000
9533-612.510000000000
9432-712.4990000000000
9331-812.598000100000000
9230-912.396000101100000
9129-1012.0910103111100000
9028-1111.5830206132200000
8927-1210.77203010344310000
8826-139.857051154754110000
8725-148.641061206975210000
8624-157.226072236985211000
8523-165.314061216875211000
8422-173.06041144543110000
8321-181.1202061221000000
8220-190.3100010000000000
8119-200.0000000000000000
8018-210.0000000000000000
7917-220.0000000000000
7816-230.0000
7715-24No0
62-76No
Total:1.7%5.90.11.60.35.51.52.01.71.20.40.30.20.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 -0.7
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 -0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10139-019630
9937-28614
9836-378211
9735-468293
9634-50514270
9533-6035511400
9432-7020522620
9331-80104440600
9230-904305015100
9129-1001164829500000
9028-11006354015300000
8927-12021839301020000
8826-130062335259200000
8725-1400182332239120000
8624-1500182129228910000
8523-160001617262021710000
8422-1700014142325229200000
8321-18000031314272513410000
8220-1900004313252718820000
8119-20000002920282312410000
8018-2100001515262717610000
7917-220000013112329229200000
7816-230000002820302512300000
7715-2400000161830281330000
7614-25000151630291541000
7513-26000141630291541000
7412-2700014162930164000
7311-2800014163030153000
7210-290001517313114200
719-30000151935301010
708-31001723382550
697-32002103240161
686-330031743315
675-34017334515
664-352185128
653-3685042
642-3793655
631-38100
620-39001585
Total:000012345668888887653211000000